美国通货膨胀为何难下降？1
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大家开始今天的直播了,给我们讲讲通货膨胀。 现在这个川普上来,现在整个美国,尤其是华盛顿啊,大家都是过得人心惶惶的,人心惶惶当然也很好理解啊。

Of course, this is also inevitable Because now Trump's government The government of the president has a big difference from his first term The biggest difference is that this year He basically put those so-called establishment parties Most establishment forces Excluding their core class circle There may be a few places left The position of compromise For example, the Secretary of State of the United States

We don't need to go into details. Other than those, including the hot fire in the National Assembly hearing,

The U.S. Department of Health, Human Resources and Health, including the U.S. Director of Intelligence, including the FBI and CIA, are now in a big business. Trump uses them to stir up the so-called establishment. In his last term, in 2016, Trump just wanted to play a vote. But he didn't expect to play a vote.

再经过一些人的点拨,特别是班农他的点拨之下, 当时抓住了美国选民中国的最重要的一个痛点, 经济,关于收入问题,然后直接的当选。 所以那个任期,16 年那个任期的时候, 川普没有做好准备,可以说是没有做好准备, 所以大部分的这些所谓内阁人选都是建制派直接塞给他的, 自己没有人,但是随着这个选民,

The 2016-2020 presidential term was in conflict with many of the establishment parties. Not only did they not reduce it, but it was increasing. Especially during the 2020 presidential election, the establishment parties were completely disbanded. Not only did they disband the Democratic Party, but also the establishment parties in the Republican Party. In the end, they became enemies of the CCP.

特别是所谓的 1 月 6 号国会大厦出击案之后,基本上川普那个时候他的权力就被架空了,离他离搬出白宫只剩下十天左右的时间,十几天的时间,但是他权力全部被抓空了。 而川普这个人,他作为一个人的一个重要特点就是特别记仇。

当时是把他搞得不仅是脸面全无,而且更重要的是在他退下来之后,从走投位置上退下来之后,建制派一直想把他彻底的拍扁,之后一直搞各种法律诉讼,

He went to the legal office and then he had to dig up all the money of his family, the Trump family, through legal proceedings. So these years, especially the first two years he just got out of prison, the whole Trump family was in a very bad situation.

They are in a state of stagnation. They can't expand. There is no new growth point. And then, they rely on New York. Especially New York. It's two buildings. They are in...

There are two big buildings in the lower part of New York and the middle part of New York. The rents of those buildings are barely able to maintain their base rents. It seems that he has a lot of Chinese companies in the building in the lower part of New York. Many Chinese companies are his tenants. Of course, we won't talk about these exceptions. But it is because of this reason that Trump and the establishment have become a low-level relationship.

There is no middle class. So most of the people he used this time were his own people. In the past four years, he has changed through his own support rate in the folk. Especially this support rate can be seen from the voting rate of the MAGA election in the last year, 2020. Everyone voted for the Republican Party, not the candidate for the Republican Party, but his vote.

而他可以挟持这种民意上的大型的支持,因为除了共和党,除了他,所有的民众其实都不相信共和党的建制派。

He was supported by the people and was subjected to a series of reforms. Now, basically, in the Republican Party, anyone who opposes him will be kicked out. For example, Liz Cheney, who is said to be the biggest traitor in the Republican Party during her time in college in 2020. Trump is also a relationship between you and me.

后来他直接被踢出了锅子。 当然有一些稍微闭上嘴巴, 没有做太多事的, 比如说现在这国务卿, 他还留在这儿, 但是实际上他是一个典型的美国的这种, 靠这个拍金主马屁上来的这么一个建制派的政客的形象。

This time, Trump only gave the position of Secretary of State to the establishment. Specifically, in the past year, especially in the past four years, the important national security affairs and diplomatic affairs in the United States, whether they came from the U.S. State Department or not,

知道在拜登时期, 拜登时期的两个重要的外交口的两个人, 一个是国务卿, 还有一个是总统的国家安全顾问, 在很大程度上, 国家的安全顾问和国务卿是互相竞争的关系, 所以民意上, 包括他在实际上的在美国政府里的所谓的地位, 排位,都是国务卿要比国务卿,

The national security guard is high, but it depends on the real mastermind.

For example, when Nixon visited China, Nixon's State Security Advisor was left aside. It was Nixon and his State Security Advisor, and Kissinger, who led the matter. This shows that Nixon was more confident in his State Security Advisor, rather than the official of the then Secretary of State.

We talked a little bit about the Trump era. When Trump came up, his core goal was to try to stir up the establishment. He was coming to revenge. This is his current biggest goal. So now the entire US, D.C., and Washington are basically all federal government officials are

心惊胆颤,生怕哪一天,现在包括马斯克也说了,鼓励什么联邦政府雇员去寻找他们的新的生活,如果现在就直接声明要辞职,说可以给他们到发工资发到今年的 8 月份。

能不能发到那还是一回事儿呢。 这些都是政府随便而已说, 大家要是这个稍微活的岁数九点都知道, 这种事情是不可能的, 哪有这样的保票, 他只不过是一说而已。 但是现在很大, 特别是特朗普经过 2016 年到 2020 年, 这个总统政绩, 他觉得很多事情他没法推进下去, 一个重要的原因就是联邦政府里的这些,

公务员不听他的 所以他现在要把这个 还为家族集团的企业的管理模式 家族企业的管理模式 想直接搬到这个联邦政府这边来 不忠诚于这个总统的人 就都给我辞任

This kind of thinking is common in big companies in China and the US. But you know, basically, governments in different countries, including China, including the US government, civil servants, are not ordinary government employees. They enjoy a lot of political protection, political privilege, or let's just say political privilege.

The US wanted to fire civil servants, but it was a very troublesome procedure. In the era of Jimmy Carter, the US passed a bill that required civil servants to be given political protection by civil servants who came up through political appointment, not by officials.

说他们的职务不会因为他们的政治立场或者这个政权的更迭而受到任何的侵害,就他们的工作与政治无关,所以他实际虽然他们做的是政治相关的工作,但是他们的这个职务,他们的位置跟政治的政权的更迭没有关系。

然后你想开它,或者包括不光是开它,包括比如说要把公务员的等级给贬下去,官职给贬下去,这个在现阶段的美国政府的法律之中是非常麻烦的,不说不可以,但是是非常麻烦。

It's the same in the United States. Recently, Musk's idea of "doggo" is to give up the position of a small right-wing party member. He said, "I'll give you some money and drive you away." I don't think most of the government's employees are willing to do that.

They want to be civil servants because they want to mix the system. There are a lot of American civil servants, especially the residents of Washington. Many of them are directly in the State Department system. They can stay for a long time. They are so-called professional diplomats or professional government officials. They are not government officials. They are directly through the government.

招聘公务员的考试或者是其他的途径进入这个体制 进来的目的就是因为联邦政府虽然他挣不了太多的钱 但是他是一个铁饭碗 旱老保收 而且比普通的企业其实相对来说福利这边要好 之前节目也跟大家讲过 联邦政府有自己的这个养老金计划

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He thought about these four years and the struggle between the establishment and the government. He wanted to come up with a name. The biggest topic he couldn't avoid was the economic topic. These so-called economic issues cannot be avoided.

Because no matter how much you argue about various non-economic political issues, when you go to the general election, most of the ordinary people vote to see how much interest your new political party can bring them. And that's why the Democratic government lost the first place in the general election in 2024. It's a defeat on the face.

是因为它的经济搞得非常差 具体表现就在于通货膨胀 一直没有压下来 之前节目也给大家讲过 隋岸拜的政府不断的说说 我们什么这几年

所有的主要的自由经济体中 自由经济体中的经济增长是排名前茅的 说美国的股市欣欣向荣 但是民众在投票中做出了自己的决定 他们不管你表面的账面数据是怎么样的 而是更关心自己能不能活到 2025 年 四面一身的很多人 可能真的是过的是照顾保息的生活

One of the major reasons is the inflation. The inflation has not gone down since Trump took office. In some areas, there are even more and more serious phenomena. For example, the very popular egg problem has been a hot topic these days. Now the eggs in the United States have entered a high price range and are very expensive.

国内我知道这个大家很多国内中国的很多的这些听友啊可能早饭不一定一定要吃鸡蛋特别是街片的那种所谓的早餐不你吃包子的喝粥的吃什么炒干的南方有吃这个烧卖的甚至是肠粉的都有

大家可能吃的这些馅物花八门,并不是说一定要吃鸡蛋。 鸡蛋占的比例比较大,茶叶蛋,煎个蛋,或者甚至很多的这些包子, 肠粉,烧麦,可能会有鸡蛋馅。 其他的那些面类,或者米类,淀粉的制品中可能会有鸡蛋馅, 但并不是作为你必须吃的东西。 但你要在美国这边,你去任何的一个外面要吃早餐,

躲不开的东西就是鸡蛋,所有的食物都是围绕着鸡蛋展开的。 比如说这个我傅家附近的这些餐馆,你走进去,早上只要他开早餐的,你进去首先就是两个蛋,三个蛋,或者是鸡蛋卷,或者呢这个稍微你想奢侈点吃个奔尼迪克蛋,所有东西都是鸡蛋。

然后美国的很多的这些不光是早餐以鸡蛋为主,包括很多的这些午餐,晚餐其实都或多或少带有鸡蛋,比如甜点中基本上都要打个蛋,两个蛋,然后很多的面食,美国的面食,老说西方人不吃碳水,其实很多的你要看他们吃什么样的碳水,并不是说不吃碳水。

如果你不吃土豆,不吃什么红薯这样的碳水呢,很高的可能性你中餐或者中午的饭或者晚上,特别的晚上饭可能是吃意大利面。 而意大利面,其实很多的意大利面之后是要有鸡蛋的。

鸡蛋就当然更多的,包括在晚中餐晚餐之中是出现在甜品里,基本上你做十种甜品差不多有五六种都是有鸡蛋,所以在美国人的生活中鸡蛋是一个必不可少的东西。

From a certain point of view, its importance may be equivalent to the pork in the Chinese cabbage basket. I just feel very intuitive. We didn't look at the relevant data.

中国美国人鸡蛋的消耗量和中国的猪肉消耗量 有没有一个相对于的数据比例 但是至少是从我的个人生活经验来看 鸡蛋是很重要 顺带着大家知道美国人是非常喜欢吃鸡的 不仅是喜欢吃鸡蛋 鸡也是非常吃的 鸡一直以来都是美国人吃的

Why? Because of the cheap price.

In China, the only reason why chicken is consumed more than pork is because of religion or food. In the eastern part of China, the only reason why people eat chicken is because of Guangdong people. But in the US, people in Guangdong like chicken. So eggs are also a very important reason.

美国几乎每天都会碰到东西啊但是呢现在鸡蛋的这个价格是长得非常的厉害 前不久一直在那包括小胡书上啊我看也有这美国人在那诉苦 我说美国这鸡蛋长得现在已经到了天价了差不多快到一个刀一美刀一个鸡蛋了 我今天去看了看我这附近的超市啊差不多一个鸡蛋能个五毛钱 哎就是零点五美元

没有到将近一美元或者八毛钱或者九毛钱一个鸡蛋啊 没到那么贵 哎 但是在一些稍微高级一点的超市 比如说可能现在很多国内的网友也都 亲属了美国的所谓的一些比较高端的超市 比如说后富子啊 喜欢卖各种各样有机食品的超市 后富子有一些所谓的有机鸡蛋 确实是卖到了差不多将近八毛钱九毛钱一个蛋啊美元啊

It's very expensive to buy a bag of chicken with RMB.

Even if it's a normal supermarket, I just said I want a 5-dollar egg, that's about 2-3 dollars for an egg. 3 dollars for an egg, this price is really a little scary. You know, when I first came to the United States, an egg was sold in the United States for about 12 dollars. If you count the price of an egg, an egg is probably about 1-2 cents.

Now it can be said that it has really grown to a price And this thing is usually eaten by Americans every day From morning to night So I'm very sensitive to the price of this thing Including now

The Trump administration has also played its role. The most important feature is the habit of throwing away the problems. He said that the Biden administration killed 100 million chickens because of the so-called "flag" and now starts to throw away the pot. This problem is not their own, but the previous government's government's.

这个事情啊 这种政府上的事情啊 你甩锅啊 基本上每一届政府 哪一届的政府 都是喜欢甩锅 都说是别人干的 但最重要的事情不是甩锅 而是你怎么样控制物价

And now, in this situation, especially now, Trump's government has recently issued all kinds of laws that are intentionally and continuously pushing American prices up. He said the big problem is that he is still throwing it over. He didn't see any clear and new signals. They want to continue to reduce the price. To be honest, the price of these prices in the United States will never go down.

That's all for today. We will continue next time. Thank you. See you next time. Bye bye.