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cover of episode 美国通货膨胀为何难下降?3

美国通货膨胀为何难下降?3

2025/3/17
logo of podcast 美国真相|帝国理工小哥道

美国真相|帝国理工小哥道

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This chapter discusses Trump's aim to elevate tariffs as a major revenue stream for the US federal government, akin to income tax. It explores the international reactions to these tariff policies, particularly concerning relations with China, Canada, Mexico, and the European Union.
  • Trump aimed to raise the importance of tariffs in federal revenue.
  • China quickly signed a trade agreement with the US but faced subsequent challenges.
  • Canada and Mexico's economic dependency on the US is highlighted.
  • Trump's tariff policies were intended to pressure foreign manufacturers.

Shownotes Transcript

美国人都很怕过这些

Although the United States is a country built on tax resistance. Now Trump hopes to raise the tariffs tax revenue to tax revenue with the American people

特别是个人所得税, 美国虽然他也征收企业所得税, 但是美国整体的税收税法体制 是对于企业是非常友好的, 特别是对于大企业是非常友好的。 但是特朗普希望把美国的关税, 他的收入也能提升到, 在美国联邦政府收入中的重要性, 提升到于美国的国税, 美国的所谓的所得税, Internal Revenue Service, 要重要地位, 所以他要建立外部收入服务处, 就是外部服务处。

China has increased its income by 10% and it is not sure if it will continue to do so.

暂时服软的加拿大墨西哥包括即将要华贵的欧盟 会不会美国特别这届政府是不是要重蹈上一届政府 特朗普执政时期的一个形式逻辑呢 特别是中美开始打所谓的贸易战的时候

大家知道周美天当时签了一个什么, 当时刚刚开打的时候, 周末这边是派人来美国, 签了一个所谓第一阶段什么什么贸易协议, 刚签完,没两天, 在博尔顿的强烈要求下,强烈鼓动下, 特朗普就直接把当时的那个,

协议给撕了 因为当时博尔多给的逻辑是什么 中国这么快的就跟美国签立了妥协的法案 说明他们还有更多的妥协的空间 那么不趁这个时候再多诈取 那就是傻子 知道很多时候你太快的滑跪

In fact, for myself, the negative impact is actually to be more often there will be people say that in time to stop the loss in time to stop the loss but for the United States such a strong ah in fact, in the current international political system is playing such a bully rogue under such a role of the country you are the earlier you become rich in the United States will think you have no value can fight the trade or think

You gave up your interests so quickly. It shows that you have more space to give up. He thinks from this perspective. Now Canada and Mexico are in debt. Including the EU. Will Trump really not give any more tariffs? That's absolutely impossible. And now he is really very impulsive. To take this tax as a personal tax. The same important status as domestic tax.

It's hard to say that he won't go home. And what he hopes is that these tariffs will be finally from Europe, Canada, Mexico, including Japanese and Korean domestic companies to become this additional part of the tariffs. This is actually a very ridiculous thing in international trade. Most of the time, it's from this importer to take the tariffs. But

When the market of a country is too monotonous, it is very dependent on a particular country. For example, Canada now. Basically, after the relationship with China is completely destroyed, it wants to immerse itself in the embrace of the United States. The final result is that its market is too monotonous. In this case, the ownership of the US imports is too great.

He said, "I don't want to get a customs clearance. You, the exporters of the country, you can get a customs clearance yourself." The Chinese government said, "We can sell to other countries." The U.S. would say, "Where are you selling your stuff? Where are you selling those raw materials, those woods, those paper, paper bottles? You're not selling them to us, the U.S. Where are you selling them to?" Now the Chinese government has completely offended the Chinese government. They can only sell to the U.S. Why don't you get a customs clearance? You don't have anywhere else.

It would be great if we don't have these companies in Canada to do the factory break-up. And in fact, Trump is also very impulsive now. He wants to force these European companies, Japanese companies, Korean companies, including Canada and Mexico companies, to use this tax policy to force them to open these factories in the United States. Because if you only rely on the US market,

Then the United States added a tax that you can't afford And the additional cost of this tax is needed It's for foreign manufacturers to take over That will make them export to the United States The cost of this market is too high I want to use this method to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to force these American allies to

必定会造成一个问题 就是今天这个说的 跑偏了很多的通货膨胀问题 在这么一个贸易战在打起来 而且是美国是有很大的冲动 一是要通过关税来增加收入 二是要通过关税的办法 详细的要求这些国家的制造商 把他们的工厂迁到美国 这个过程中 势必会带来很严重的通货膨胀 美国这边

Some people will ask if the US has been so seriously inflated and the Trump administration originally said that it was to reduce the cost of living of the people. Now, the price of eggs has reached a situation where you can make up for it. If you offend all these overseas politicians, then you have elected Trump for the American voters. Isn't it making your inflation more

无法承担,特别是对于 MAGA 群众来说,那你们就不是自作自受嘛。

You need to know one thing, everyone needs to know one thing, that is, when you are particularly poor, everyone knows there is a so-called marginal cost problem. When you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the middle class, when you are in the

For those middle-class middle-class people in the United States and the next middle-class people in the United States, they are very painful. This feeling is very painful. It's very understandable. From the low to the low, from the low to the low. You have already spent a lot of money on this big house and wasted your life. You want them to eat canned food every day. The ordinary middle-class people in the United States are very painful. But once he accepts it, this pain is a very bad reality. You have to accept it for a long time. You are no longer a middle-class person.

已经是一个穷人的这么显示 已经习惯了天天啃这个罐头食物为活 甚至去领这个食品券 这么一种生活的情况下

Then the inflation continues to grow at a very scary rate. For them, it will continue to be a blow to their lives. But in their hearts, this kind of blow, including for him, actually his growth, the actual loss of growth ratio, is just from the middle class to the poor. Their support capacity is much stronger.

The US government has been attacking the middle class. The US economy was in a state of disarray in 1927. The US economy was in a state of disarray in 1927.

基地大相调其实对他们没啥影响,因为他们已经穷得叮当响了,所以再穷一点,那他们来说也就是一天吃两个罐头和还是一天吃一个罐头的事情,但对于美国的中产阶级来说,那是在每天能在后腹的买有机的鸡翅和有机的这个牛肉。

还是在这个虎头的什么 Safeway 啊 在什么这种 Giants 这种超市 甚至更低一点的 更廉价点的那些一元钱的超市 买罐头牛肉啊 这么一个区别 这种落差是很大的

So in fact, due to the extreme decline of the middle class in the United States, a lot of these, especially the MAGA people, they have fallen from a relatively decent life. And after all these years of turmoil, after the turmoil of the past four years, they have completely turned into such a poor class. So for them, it's okay to suffer a little more.

And what is their purpose in choosing Trump? We can bear the pressure from Trump in the short term. The purpose is to completely shock these foreign companies, beat them down, force them to come to the US, and then lure us to do something. This is the mentality of many MAGA.

So the KGB wanted to get Trump's attention. Trump's current policy is to use violent means, political pressure, economic pressure, trade pressure, financial pressure, to force foreign companies to come to the US. The former top government, Biden, was going to have all kinds of so-called subsidies.

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For example, the Taiwan branch has not been able to operate normally in the US and Arizona until now. On the other hand, the Taiwan branch has received a lot of government subsidies from the United States, including Japan and Germany.

This is a kind of government policy to attract foreign investors to local investment. If the government does not have long-term supervision and strict restrictions, it is easy to become a fish in the pond.

So the Trump administration is going to change some of the Biden administration's behavior. He said, "You government subsidies are still paying off. We're losing money to let foreign companies come to the US." "I might as well use a big bank, a big tax bank, or a military bank to ask these foreign companies to come." "I'm not playing soft with you. I'm playing hard with you." "If you don't start here, those companies won't survive."

The whole logic is based on these countries' serious dependence on the American market. And indeed, in the past four years, especially because of the death toll like this in Canada, including the European government like this, like this Schultz, this Huludin government, has also been taking advantage of this.

They were constantly saying that they would give up and continue to have meetings with German companies. They said they would ask German companies to stay away from the Chinese market as much as possible. Isn't this the result of their efforts? When the entire Trump administration's tax policy is to have a big tax break, increase their government income, and at the same time force these companies that strongly rely on the American market to come to the United States.

In the process, the muggers, because they are now in most of the muggers, have already fallen into the poverty line. So for them, the inflation is really a very painful thing. Continuous inflation, continuous high-level inflation is still a very painful economic and life problem for them. But from the time they fell from the middle class to the poverty line, that kind of psychological recession, now they have to bear this

There is a certain expectation, a certain expectation of this breakthrough. And they believe, you still have to say, this American voter vote is to a great extent a faith in the future, a faith in religion. They still believe that this government, this Trump government, can use this method to beat these enterprises. And then, as long as they endure the two-year breakthrough,

Then, when the Korean, Japanese, and German companies in the United States are all in the US market, they will be able to find a decent job again. Then, because these companies all came to the United States, the US inflation rate will go down. Then they can live a very good middle-class life as before.

It's like the US's air force has become, for Margaret, it's like the Korean army is suffering. So don't underestimate the US's ability to suppress the air force. Think about it.

The new coronavirus epidemic has killed millions of Americans. Nothing has happened to the country, not to mention the outbreak. Of course, the only people who are dissatisfied with themselves are those who have been in the bloodshed.

The Democratic Party underestimated the importance of the ballot. But we have to pay attention to this. The Americans actually when you have asked for it, you have nothing to be afraid of. This is now, you can say, the starting point for Trump to use this to push his own set of tariffs policies. Of course, I know you have to look further. Or many people may still ask

All these Trump's so-called "tourism" including Marksman, support Trump. In the end, they set out a hypothesis that these companies, you force these Japanese companies, Korean companies to come to the United States, will reduce the cost of living of the American people and bring jobs. But there is a very important hypothesis that the United States has enough labor to manage the manufacturing industry.

and their cost is not too high. This is from the human cost or from the supply of these manufacturing labor, the supply of human resources in the American market. These two aspects, now the United States can basically say that it is in the number of developed countries.

They say it's unbearable. In the book about Wise, he said he was the one who started it. These American rednecks don't have the work ethics.

um

穷山厄水之地, 全都是无赖, 没有任何工作道德可言的这么一个地方, 那最后的结果是什么? 都是可笑而知的。 还是举那个经典例子, 就是这个波音开在这个北卡的那个飞机工厂, 现在完全成了一个国际笑话了, 在北卡,

那个地方招的人当地没有合适的技工 全是招的什么快餐店的点餐员服务员 都是这种角色 而且他们没有任何的工作素养 职业素养 在这个炒房油直接的公开就开始贩毒 这种情况只能说是在美国各地普遍存在的现象 现在的美国的这个贫穷阶层 它不光是一个纯粹的收入问题 还有包括一个个人的这么一个自我毁灭的这么一个问题

Now the United States is really on the street, you walk on the street, if one day on the street, on the road, there is no big city, city or suburbs in the West China Sea, ah, that street go, did not smell the big horse, then I suggest you hurry to go, this 711 buy a lottery. In fact, this probability of appearance is almost non-existent.

这么一帮人,你不能够相信他们能做出优秀的制造业的东西了。 说实话就有某种程度来说,现在美国的整个穷人阶层正在迅速的印度化, 就是嘴说的很多,想的很多,想的都特别美好, 但是真正落到手头上,让他们去干活了, 要价要得高,要福利要得高,这还是一方面, 但是干活的素质,还有他们干活的能力却非常的糟。

This is a social media and social direction, including the lack of professional education, and the lack of co-creation of knowledge. So the bottom line is that we need to know that Trump's series of official policies may actually lead to a sudden surge in US inflation in the short term.

I can only cook more by myself. It's hard to eat a full meal for 20 yuan. If you want to eat something good, it's possible. But if you want to eat something good, it's impossible. 20 US dollars. I've complained to you about the Chinese restaurants in the US. I've seen the Chinese restaurants nearby. It's a rough potato. They can give you 17 or 18 US dollars. Try to cook at home.

This kind of plan, this kind of expansion, the situation that continues to deteriorate seriously, may still exist in the long term. But we don't want to think that the Americans don't have the ability to resist through expansion because of this. Just like I said, especially for the middle and lower-middle class in the US, they are actually well prepared in the big city. They chose the T-Mobile because they already have a new expectation.

But from another perspective, the reason why they can accept such a short-term pain is because they think that the United States will definitely win this trade war. It will force companies around the world to come to the United States to open up. Then they can go to a manufacturing company in a very happy technical factory and be a white face. As for those real physical work, let the old man do it. In this case, can it be achieved? In fact, everyone has a bottom line in their hearts.

People with a little bit of common sense know that it's hard to achieve. But for those who are not fully accepting the current stage of their lives, those 30s and 40s, those ordinary Americans, they are still in such a... They can't admit that the cost of living in the United States

The quality of all developed countries in the world, even compared to China, is considered a very bad level of government. They don't want to admit it. They still think that we can use some violent means, like 100 years ago, 200 years ago, the United States took over India through violent means, and then through World War II, it took over the world's economic leadership. It can come this time, no matter what. And they can't admit that the United States' economic situation is their own problem to a large extent.

Not only the country, the federal government, the local government, but also the problems of every person. They have been lacking in the ability to continue to engage in manufacturing. When the Americans do not lose their fantasy, the United States will continue to fight this trade war and raise the level of the country's control.

So the United States will have a high position in the next few years. So there will always be a fairly high position. Although it won't be like the 22nd year of the war, the kind of machine that just started to hit the ground. The scene of the scare that broke down to nearly 10 percent at once. But there will be a very, very high level.

When will this end? When the Americans realize their economic status and their own economic capabilities, and when they can't force other countries to open their factories in the US. That will be a long process. And it's impossible for Trump to do it within his term. When they realize this, Trump has completed his term. There will even be a few more grand finales.

然后把所有的这些包袱 投给下一届政府 再过去 20 年 可能人们记住的只不过是特朗普 在 2024 年这一届的总统任期内 可能叫吞并格林兰 或者甚至重新控制住巴拉马运河 这样的奉公委

As of today, many Americans, including Reagan, are in the top 10. Many Americans see Reagan as a very good president. But it is because of Reagan's series of disaster-like economic and financial policies that the U.S. economy has deteriorated and become more and more financial.

But most Americans don't think about this. They don't think about the consequences of the Reagan administration's launch of the Pandora's box disaster. They think about the so-called "Earthquake" of Reagan. Because of his very exaggerated behavior that led to the collapse of the Soviet Union. Until today, many Americans think that the United States is

The US government's decision to become the world's top leader is a wise decision. This is the reason why the US government is in a bad position today. I think the US government will be in a bad situation when it evaluates the Trump administration. The economic problem is very long.

It's a very long process to analyze a long-term macroeconomic trend. It's a very complex process and it's caused by a lot of these causes and effects. When you don't have a set of your own, you don't have a set of very strict logic reasoning. When the cause and effect relationship is easy to be these noise from the outside, it interferes with your own normal logic judgment.

Instead, these very short-term behaviors, such as conquering the territory, defeating a certain opponent, defeating the War of the Horse, but now Trump says he doesn't want to fight, so he may be more through this diplomatic means to ask other countries to surrender. For example, Greenland, if he really withdraws from Greenland, for the post-modern Americans, ordinary Americans, it may be a level similar to Reagan's or perhaps slightly inferior to Reagan's level.

He said that the US has become a strong role on the diplomatic stage again. Just like the previous Teddy Roosevelt in 1900. He was a big guy and he changed the world.

I analyzed the US inflation Why for Americans In fact, it did not affect many outsiders before It's because of his American psychological activity He is such a prediction This prediction is still a kind of fantasy for the future When his fantasy was broken What was the US like at that time At least for the Trump administration But it doesn't matter They would have gone down earlier And even

Thank you for listening. See you next time. Thank you. Bye-bye.