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cover of episode Behind Ukraine’s readiness to accept a US-proposed ceasefire with Russia

Behind Ukraine’s readiness to accept a US-proposed ceasefire with Russia

2025/3/12
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World Today

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People
H
Harvey Zeldin
H
He Wenping
Q
Qu Qiang
T
Timo Kivimaki
Y
Yan Liang
Topics
Qu Qiang: 我认为特朗普的关税政策是过于理想化的。短期内,它可能满足选民,特别是工会选民的期望。但长期来看,它会损害美国工业。例如,为了保护少量钢铁和铝行业工人就业,却损失了整个产业链上数百万个工作岗位。此外,关税导致美国企业将生产线转移到海外,削弱了美国的竞争力。加拿大由于水电价格低廉和便利的物流网络,其铝生产成本远低于美国,关税对其影响有限。加拿大可以通过与欧盟等合作,减少对美国市场的依赖,抵消关税的影响。总而言之,特朗普的关税政策最终会增加美国人民的负担,无法达到其预期目标,其出发点是为了政治目的,而非真正关心美国经济。 Yan Liang: 特朗普政策的不确定性导致美国股市波动剧烈,市场对美国经济衰退的担忧加剧。华尔街并不相信关税能够帮助美国经济,反而损害了美国与盟友的关系,对企业造成负面影响。关税政策反复无常加剧了市场的不确定性,不利于企业规划。关税是一种累退性税收,会推高物价,加剧通货膨胀,并加剧美国家庭之间的收入差距。特朗普的关税政策目标相互矛盾,无法同时实现其所有目标,反而损害了美国的国际信誉,并可能引发报复性措施。

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Shownotes Transcript

① US President Donald Trump’s additional tariffs on steel and aluminum have taken effect after prior exemptions and duty-free quotas expired. How will they hurt the US itself? (00:54)

② We explore how Trump’s move to plow ahead on tariffs has made US equities lose trillions of dollars in value. (13:55)

③ The US has agreed to resume military aid and intelligence sharing with Ukraine after Kyiv showed readiness to accept a 30-day ceasefire with Russia. Does Ukraine genuinely share Trump’s vision for peace? (25:00)

④ We take a look at Greenland’s elections which have been dominated by independence and Trump’s interest. (34:43)

⑤ Angola has announced a plan to act as a mediator in the conflict between Congo and the rebel group M23. What leverage does Angola hold? (44:06)