We're sunsetting PodQuest on 2025-07-28. Thank you for your support!
Export Podcast Subscriptions
cover of episode After Near-Record Run, Fed Minutes, Home Data Loom

After Near-Record Run, Fed Minutes, Home Data Loom

2025/2/18
logo of podcast Schwab Market Update Audio

Schwab Market Update Audio
AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
C
Colin Martin
无可用信息。
K
Kevin Gordon
空
N
Nathan Peterson
Topics
Colin Martin: 作为固定收益策略主管，我认为尽管1月份的零售销售数据令人失望，但我们不能完全以此为依据判断经济走向。恶劣的冬季天气和加州野火等特殊因素可能对数据产生了负面影响。因此，我们需要密切关注下个月的数据，以确定这是否仅仅是暂时性的回落，还是预示着某种趋势的开始。如果下个月的数据出现反弹，那么我们就可以认为1月份的疲软只是一个例外，否则，可能需要重新评估经济前景。 Kevin Gordon: 作为高级投资策略师，我观察到市场对2025年的盈利增长预期正在下降。最初，我们对2025年抱有较高的期望，但随着时间的推移，这些预期逐渐被下调。我认为，公司对未来的展望仍然不明朗，尤其是在当前经济和政策环境下。或许到年中，随着更多公司发布业绩报告和提供更清晰的指引，我们才能更准确地评估未来的盈利增长潜力。目前，投资者应该保持谨慎，关注公司的实际业绩和未来展望，而不是盲目乐观。 Nathan Peterson: 作为衍生品分析主管，我认为标普500指数未能突破历史高点是一个值得关注的信号。如果指数能够成功突破并维持在历史高位之上，那将是一个非常积极的信号，表明市场情绪乐观，投资者对未来充满信心。然而，未能突破可能意味着市场可能会进入一个区间震荡的阶段，投资者应该为可能出现的回调做好准备。我们需要密切关注市场的后续表现，以确定未来的走向。

Deep Dive

Chapters
Last week's market performance was mixed, with the S&P 500 nearing an all-time high but failing to surpass it. Disappointing retail sales data and inflation figures influenced investor sentiment, leading to shifts in Treasury yields and the dollar's value. Earnings season also played a role, with companies exceeding expectations but not receiving significant market rewards.
  • S&P 500 neared all-time high but failed to surpass it
  • Disappointing retail sales data
  • Inflation figures influenced investor sentiment
  • Shifts in Treasury yields and dollar value
  • Companies exceeding earnings expectations but not receiving significant market rewards

Shownotes Transcript

Housing data, leading indicators, Fed minutes, and Walmart earnings are on the calendar this holiday-shortened week after stocks just missed an all-time high close Friday.

Important Disclosures

The information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision.

All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed.

Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve.

The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.

All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results, and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.

Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.

Diversification strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.

Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see schwab.com/indexdefinitions.

The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.

Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.

The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.

(0128-0225)