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cover of episode After Worst Week of Year, Market Awaits Price Data

After Worst Week of Year, Market Awaits Price Data

2025/3/10
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Schwab Market Update Audio

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C
Colin Martin
无可用信息。
K
Keith Lansford
N
Nathan Peterson
Topics
Keith Lansford: 本周市场的主要焦点是周三和周四即将公布的关键通胀数据——消费者物价指数(CPI)和生产者物价指数(PPI)。这些数据将有助于设定市场基调,尽管经济增长担忧似乎已经取代通胀成为市场的主要关注点。此外,潜在的政府停摆也给市场带来不确定性,因为政府运营资金将于3月14日到期。就业报告显示,2月份就业人数增长151,000,失业率上升至4.1%。虽然就业报告没有带来太大意外,但联邦政府薪资下降以及失业率上升的原因值得关注。特朗普总统宣布对来自墨西哥和加拿大的进口商品给予为期一个月的关税豁免,这也在一定程度上影响了市场情绪。 本周还将进行国债拍卖,这可能会影响收益率走势。如果拍卖受到投资者热烈追捧,则可能意味着投资者对通胀的担忧减轻,而对经济增长的担忧加剧。技术面来看,周五中午的牛市反转使标普500指数重新回到200日均线上方,这可能有助于短期稳定投资者的信心。然而,市场广度仍处于52周低点,表明投资者情绪仍不乐观。各板块表现方面,能源和公用事业板块领涨,金融板块则持续低迷。 标普500指数周五上涨0.55%,但本周累计下跌3.1%;道琼斯工业平均指数上涨0.52%,本周累计下跌2.37%;纳斯达克综合指数上涨0.70%,本周累计下跌3.45%。10年期国债收益率本周上涨9个基点,达到4.32%,较2年期国债收益率高出32个基点。 Colin Martin: 二月份的就业报告没有太多意外,这其实是一件好事。报告中显示的数据与预期基本一致,不会改变美联储未来几次会议的思路。除非看到更多疲软迹象,否则美联储不太可能考虑短期降息。 Nathan Peterson: 潜在的经济增长放缓仍然是投资者最关注的问题,尤其是在股票估值仍然偏高的背景下,数据将面临更严格的审查。鲍威尔主席在周五的讲话中表示,不确定的贸易政策让美联储在调整政策方面犹豫不决,但他同时表示,尽管存在高度不确定性,美国经济仍然处于良好状态。周五的股价上涨,一定程度上反映了投资者对鲍威尔言论的积极回应。虽然短期内市场可能不会完全摆脱波动性,但周五的股价走势是一个令人鼓舞的迹象,至少从短期交易角度来看是这样。

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Chapters
This week, investors will be closely watching the CPI and PPI data releases on Wednesday and Thursday, which could significantly influence market sentiment. Additionally, Oracle's earnings report will offer insights into the struggling tech sector.
  • CPI and PPI data releases on Wednesday and Thursday
  • Oracle's earnings report
  • Economic growth concerns replacing inflation as the market's prime concern

Shownotes Transcript

Wednesday's CPI and Thursday's PPI are highlights ahead, but a possible government shutdown also looms after the worst week since last fall. Oracle reports after the close.

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