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cover of episode Data, Earnings Light, Keeping Tariffs in Focus

Data, Earnings Light, Keeping Tariffs in Focus

2025/4/8
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Schwab Market Update Audio
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C
Cathy Jones
具有超过30年金融和商业地产经验的专业人士，专注于投资销售和资产管理。
K
Keith Lansford
L
Lizanne Saunders
Topics
Keith Lansford: 我观察到市场缺乏重要的盈利数据和经济数据，投资者的注意力完全集中在不断升级的贸易战上。标普500指数较近期高点下跌超过17%，纳斯达克综合指数一度跌入熊市区域，尽管昨日略有反弹。市场对贸易新闻反应极其敏感，短期内可能出现剧烈波动。一季度财报可能被投资者忽视，他们更关注公司对全年的展望。大银行的财报可能会提供一些线索，显示出更广泛的经济如何应对新的贸易政策，以及企业高管的想法。此外，我们还需关注美联储的动向，包括本周的会议纪要以及即将公布的消费者物价指数和消费者信心指数。 由于市场的不确定性，公司可能不太愿意提供业绩指引。但我们可能会看到一些公司宣布新的股票回购计划，因为它们的股价下跌得如此之快。另一个不太积极的财报季发展可能是基于关税而削减先前的增长预期，或者随着公司试图在成本上升的情况下保持利润率而削减股息。 银行可能会增加贷款损失准备金，因为随着信贷担忧加剧，信贷利差扩大。银行可能会面临对其账面贷款以及在经济衰退情况下客户违约的担忧。如果贷款损失准备金增加，这可能会损害未来银行业的利润增长。 市场技术指标上周遭受了严重破坏，特别是当标普500指数和纳斯达克100指数跌破去年8月的低点时，以及周一标普500指数盘中跌入熊市区域（较近期高点下跌20%）时。如果跌势持续，更多被迫抛售的投资者可能会退出市场，并且开盘和收盘时交易活动可能会非常活跃。 Lizanne Saunders: 尽管短期关税和谈判结果如何，商业环境仍将高度不确定。 Cathy Jones: 债券收益率的上升反映了动荡市场中对流动性的争夺。对于一些投资者来说，他们可能正在抛售他们能够抛售的资产。

Deep Dive

Chapters
The recent market volatility is largely driven by escalating trade tensions. Despite the lack of significant earnings or economic data, investors are highly sensitive to trade war headlines, leading to wild intraday swings. The uncertainty surrounding the business climate is contributing to this volatility.
  • S&P 500 index down more than 17% from recent highs
  • Nasdaq Composite entered bear market territory
  • Headline-driven psychology on Wall Street
  • High uncertainty in the business climate

Shownotes Transcript

Investors have little data or earnings news to distract them from the tariff headlines today. The E.U. is expected to announce its counter-tariffs, which could bring new pressure.

Important Disclosures

The information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision.

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