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cover of episode Market Digests Microsoft, Tesla, Fed, Awaits Apple

Market Digests Microsoft, Tesla, Fed, Awaits Apple

2025/1/30
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Schwab Market Update Audio
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Keith Lansford
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Keith Lansford: 本期节目主要关注昨日市场动态,包括微软和特斯拉的财报以及美联储的利率决议。微软超出分析师预期,但其智能云业务收入仅达到公司指引的下限,个人电脑业务收入则超出预期。特斯拉的每股收益和营收均低于预期,利润率下降对其盈利造成影响。美联储维持利率不变,这是自9月以来100个基点降息后的首次暂停,市场对此预期广泛。美联储主席鲍威尔表示,劳动力市场状况有所降温但仍保持稳固,通货膨胀仍然高于2%的目标,但自上次会议以来的通胀数据良好,住房价格压力有所缓解。他强调,声明中删除的措辞只是简单的语言清理,并非美联储思维的改变。10年期国债收益率在美联储会议后波动剧烈,但最终保持不变,为4.56%;短期收益率上升,表明近期降息的可能性较小。3月份降息的可能性在美联储决定后下降到20%,此前为30%;期货交易仍显示年中降息的可能性很高,2025年可能降息一到两次。今日还将公布美国第四季度GDP初值,预期为2.8%,低于第三季度的3.1%;季度通货紧缩指数预期为2.5%。12月个人消费支出物价指数(PCE)预期为:月度总值增长0.3%,月度核心值增长0.2%;核心PCE不包括食品和能源价格。12月份生产者物价指数(PPI)和消费者物价指数(CPI)数据显示出进步的迹象,但对PCE的预测却喜忧参半。基准核心同比PCE指数预期将上升2.8%,与11月份相同;低于此数值可能被视为令人鼓舞的迹象。欧洲央行可能降息,市场关注欧洲央行行长拉加德关于下一步行动的言论。苹果公司业绩将在股价反弹后公布,每股收益预期为2.35美元,营收预期为1241亿美元。市场关注苹果国内iPhone需求能否抵消中国市场的疲软,以及苹果的积极人工智能计划是否促进了设备升级周期。标普500指数下跌0.47%,道琼斯工业平均指数下跌0.31%,纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.51%。

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After the Fed paused rates yesterday, Microsoft beat earnings estimates and Tesla missed expectations. Shares of both were down afterward, and Apple reports after the close today.

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