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cover of episode Markets Slightly Down Ahead of February PCE Data

Markets Slightly Down Ahead of February PCE Data

2025/3/28
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Schwab Market Update Audio
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Colette O'Claire
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Kevin Gordon
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Colette O'Claire: 我是Colette O'Claire，以下是Schwab对3月28日星期五市场的初步观察。周四，在全天在小幅上涨和下跌之间摇摆不定后，股市收盘略低，交易员试图分析特朗普政府最新汽车关税消息的影响。良好的国内生产总值（GDP）和失业救济金数据几乎没有产生影响。汽车类股票，如通用汽车、福特和丰田，分别下跌了7.36%、3.88%和2.8%，但特斯拉却逆势上涨了0.39%。然而，更广泛的市场犹豫不决可能与在2月份个人消费支出（PCE）价格指数数据公布之前的观望态度有关，该数据将于今天上午8:30发布。普遍预期显示，月度价格将与1月份0.3%的涨幅一致，而剔除波动性食品和能源成本的核心价格可能会小幅上涨至0.4%。虽然PCE数据是美联储最喜欢的衡量标准，但由于关税的不确定性持续主导市场，它对市场的影响可能不如往常那么大。财政政策的支配地位可能会让美联储暂时处于瘫痪状态。GameStop周四暴跌22.11%，此前投资者消化了该公司发行债务以资助其计划购买比特币作为财政储备资产的消息。周四，标准普尔500指数下跌18.89点或0.33%，至5693.31点；道琼斯工业平均指数下跌155.09点或0.37%，至42265点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌94.98点或0.53%，至17804.03点。 Kevin Gordon: 我认为，从美联储3月份经济预测摘要中解读太多信息是有风险的，其基调并非极其鸽派。Schwab高级投资策略师总监Kevin Gordon指出，有八位联邦公开市场委员会成员预计2025年降息零次或一次，高于12月份的四位成员。Gordon表示，3月份的数据可能已经略显过时，因为贸易形势日新月异。我们看到的一些市场状况可能是反弹的迹象，包括情绪的清洗、潜在的超卖状况和广度的推动。标准普尔500指数的50日移动平均线回落，并收窄了与200日移动平均线的差距，因此未来几周对于判断市场是否拒绝熊市的概念至关重要。他周四表示，目前我们只看到指数层面的调整，而MAG-7已经下跌了20%，这是一个关键步骤。因此，持续的广泛复苏（不仅是指数价格，而且是成员广度）将对长期有利，因为它表明投资者并不过度依赖少数几家大型公司。

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Equities moved slightly lower Wednesday as investors digested the latest tariff news while also awaiting new inflation data from the February PCE report.

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