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Munis Maybe the Play for Bond Investors

2025/3/25
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Schwab Market Update Audio

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Cooper Howard
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Keith Lansford
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Keith Lansford: 我观察到股市上涨,这主要是因为有报道称特朗普总统可能会调整4月2日的关税政策,使其更针对与美国贸易逆差的国家。此外,3月份的S&P全球综合PMI数据高于预期,表明经济扩张正在加速。制造业似乎正在萎缩,因为3月份的S&P全球制造业PMI低于50的阈值。然而,更好的PMI报告导致债券价格下跌,这凸显了软数据和硬数据之间的差异。 大型科技股推动标普500指数上涨突破200日均线。特斯拉涨幅最大,达到11.93%。亚马逊和家得宝分别上涨3.59%,英伟达上涨3.15%。标普500指数上涨100.01点,涨幅为1.76%,收于5767.57点。道琼斯工业平均指数上涨597.97点,涨幅为1.42%,收于42583.32点。纳斯达克综合指数上涨404.54点,涨幅为2.27%,收于18188.59点。 Cooper Howard: 目前市政债券的相对收益率接近一年来的最高点,为投资者提供了具有吸引力的进入点,可以获得税收优惠的收入。虽然回报会受到国债利率方向的影响,但目前的相对收益率非常具有吸引力,对于寻求税收优惠收入的投资者来说,这是一个绝佳的进入时机。

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Welcome to the Schwab Market Update podcast, where we prepare you for each trading day with a recap of recent news and a look at what's ahead. I'm Keith Lansford, and here is Schwab's early look at the markets for Tuesday, March 25th.

Stock investors will hope to build on Monday's surge that was prompted by the reports that President Trump may tone down his April 2nd Liberation Day round of tariffs by trying to be more targeted towards the countries that have an unfavorable trade imbalance with the U.S.,

Stocks were also helped by the March S&P Global Composite PMI that was reported after Monday's open with the 53.5 print, which is above February's 51.6, suggesting that the economic expansion is speeding up. Much of the growth was driven by the services side, with the S&P Global Services PMI at 54.3 for March, which was higher than the consensus estimate of 50.8 and the previous month at 51%.

Manufacturing appears to be contracting because the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for March was 49.8 below the 50 threshold. Bonds sold off this morning due to the better-than-expected S&P Global PMI report. This is additional evidence of the divergence between the soft and hard data. The hard data continues to perform well, but soft data is weak, said Cooper Howard, director of fixed income strategy for the Schwab Center for Financial Research.

Howard also noted, now presents an attractive entry point for munis. Returns will be influenced by the direction of treasury rates, but relative yields are near the highest they've been in a year and present an attractive entry point for investors looking for tax-advantaged income.

The S&P 500 stock index rallied above its 200-day moving average on Monday. The rally was driven by mega cap stocks. Tesla led the big boys by jumping up 11.93%. Amazon and Home Depot both rose 3.59%, while Nvidia grew 3.15%.

The S&P 500 index surged 100.01 points or 1.76% to 5,767.57. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 597.97 points or 1.42% to 42,583.32. Finally, the Nasdaq Composite jumped 404.54 points or 2.27% to 18,188.59.

This has been the Schwab Market Update podcast. To stay informed, visit www.schwab.com slash market update or follow us for free in your favorite podcasting app. And if you like what you've heard, please consider leaving us a rating or a review. It really helps new listeners find the show. Join us for another update tomorrow. For important disclosures, see the show notes and schwab.com slash market update podcast.