We're sunsetting PodQuest on 2025-07-28. Thank you for your support!
Export Podcast Subscriptions
cover of episode With Win Streak Over, Market Awaits Sentiment Data

With Win Streak Over, Market Awaits Sentiment Data

2025/2/21
logo of podcast Schwab Market Update Audio

Schwab Market Update Audio

AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
C
Colette O'Clare
K
Kevin Gordon
Topics
Colette O'Clare: 本周股市创下历史新高,但成交量低迷,涨幅有限,显示市场可能正在盘整,未来可能出现震荡。沃尔玛发布令人失望的业绩展望,导致股市周四暂停上涨。今天的密歇根大学消费者情绪指数将提供更多关于通胀预期的线索,这对于即将发布的关键物价数据和英伟达财报至关重要。市场对关税威胁和贸易政策的反应有所减弱,但昨日股市收盘价远高于低点,显示市场韧性依然存在。密歇根大学消费者情绪指数的初步数据显示,消费者对未来一年的通胀预期大幅上升,这可能对市场,特别是收益率产生重大影响。美联储密切关注通胀预期,如果消费者普遍预期物价上涨,那么通胀预期将难以控制。美国上周初请失业金人数保持在中等水平,但大型公司裁员和政府部门裁员可能会导致未来几周初请失业金人数上升。领先经济指标下降幅度超过预期,花旗经济意外指数趋于下降,这值得关注,因为股市仍接近历史高点。CME FedWatch工具显示3月份暂停加息的概率接近98%,到6月份降息的概率上升到50%以上,这反映了市场对未来加息的预期。沃尔玛并非唯一一只周四股价下跌的大型股票,Meta Platforms和Palantir也大幅下跌,市场宽度有所下降。零售商股价普遍下跌,这可能与对消费者需求的担忧有关。其他与消费者相关的股票也下跌,这表明消费者的实力可能不如华尔街预期的那样强劲。金融股也下跌,这可能表明市场存在板块轮动,防御性板块表现强劲。从技术角度来看,标普500指数面临阻力位6150点,支撑位6050点,波动性有所上升。周四,标普500指数下跌0.43%,道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.01%,纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.47%。 Kevin Gordon: 如果消费者普遍预期由于关税而物价上涨,那么通胀预期将难以控制。

Deep Dive

Shownotes Transcript

Walmart-related weakness took consumer stocks lower yesterday, ending a short streak of record market highs. Today's sentiment data will be scrutinized for inflation expectations.

Important Disclosures

The information provided here is for general informational purposes only and should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The investment strategies mentioned here may not be suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for his or her own particular situation before making any investment decision.

All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third-party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness, or reliability cannot be guaranteed. 

Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve.

The Schwab Center for Financial Research is a division of Charles Schwab & Co., Inc.

All names and market data shown above are for illustrative purposes only and are not a recommendation, offer to sell, or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security. Supporting documentation for any claims or statistical information is available upon request.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results, and the opinions presented cannot be viewed as an indicator of future performance.

Investing involves risk, including loss of principal.

Diversification strategies do not ensure a profit and do not protect against losses in declining markets.

Indexes are unmanaged, do not incur management fees, costs, and expenses and cannot be invested in directly. For more information on indexes, please see ​schwab.com/indexdefinitions).

The policy analysis provided by the Charles Schwab & Co., Inc., does not constitute and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of any political party.

Fixed income securities are subject to increased loss of principal during periods of rising interest rates. Fixed income investments are subject to various other risks including changes in credit quality, market valuations, liquidity, prepayments, early redemption, corporate events, tax ramifications, and other factors.

(0128-0225)