cover of episode Despite Iran conflict, U.S. oil production is unlikely to budge

Despite Iran conflict, U.S. oil production is unlikely to budge

2025/6/23
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Catherine Lundeen
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Clark Williams Derry
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Guy Labar
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Hugh Daigle
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John Conrad
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Lawrence Gillum
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Lawrence Yoon
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Morgan Bazilian
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Randy Vogel
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Selma Hipp
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Martha Gimbel：2025年经济领域的主题是不确定性。人们已经学会了在关税带来的不确定性中生存，现在他们也准备接受中东地区日益增加的不确定性。我认为这次军事行动可能不会引发更大的冲突，但财政部的数据显示，美联储可能比之前认为的更愿意降息。许多人未预料到美联储可能考虑降息，因为他们认为美联储会希望花更长时间观察关税对通货膨胀的影响。目前有迹象表明，经济可能没有表面上那么强劲，因此美联储可能会有降息的空间。失业率有所上升，且对驱逐出境对劳动力市场的影响存在疑问，因为近年来美国的经济增长很大程度上来自于移民的增加。如果人们开始感到恐惧，不愿工作，或者移民减少，可能会阻碍劳动力市场，进而阻碍整体经济发展。人们需要确定在哪里投资感到安心，以及是否存在可以替代美国的投资选择。鉴于中东地区的紧张局势，一些人正在回归美国资产，因为在不确定性增加的时期，美国资产让人感到安心。

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After launching air strikes on Iranian unclear facilities over the weekend, President Trump posted to Truth Social, demanding that U.S. oil firms “drill, baby, drill.” Although ongoing conflict in the Middle East could balloon oil prices, it’s unlikely that domestic producers are racing to ramp up production just yet. Also in this episode: Renting may be more appealing than buying right now, Treasury auctions see stability, and tariffs threaten the success of a Wyoming trona mine.

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