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cover of episode US Treasury pressure cooker heating up once again

US Treasury pressure cooker heating up once again

2025/5/22
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Saxo Market Call

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John J. Hardy
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Ole Hansen
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John J. Hardy: 昨天股市下跌,主要是因为美国国债拍卖表现疲软,特别是20年期国债的拍卖。收益率曲线显示,20年期国债收益率通常略高于30年期国债,但这次拍卖中,20年期国债收益率显著高于5%。这引发了对美国财政可持续性的担忧。国会正在讨论一项法案,但该法案还需要参议院通过,时间非常紧迫。目前30年期国债收益率已达到自2007年以来的最高水平,这表明美国国债市场面临压力。我们需要关注美国国债将如何应对这种压力,以及美联储将如何应对。

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Today's slide deck: https://bit.ly/44JSSzS)   -

Today we look at the big spike in US treasuries yesterday on a weak treasury auction, which cratered confidence suddenly for the first time in weeks and sparked fresh USD selling. Elsewhere, a rundown of the action in metals, where platinum is making a strong bid for relevance, as well as weather risks for grain prices. Also, a long look at the massive uncertainties for market outcomes from here as the macro backdrop is without precedent. On today's pod are Ole Hansen, Saxo Head of Commodity Strategy and John J. Hardy, Saxo Global Head of Macro Strategy.

 

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