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cover of episode Everything Is a Circle

Everything Is a Circle

2025/6/25
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Motley Fool Money

AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
A
Asit Sharma
金融分析师,专注于市场趋势和公司表现分析。
M
Mary Long
主持金融播客,讨论伯克希尔哈撒韦、TGI Fridays 和 Uber 等公司的最新动态。
Topics
Mary Long: 房地产市场正在从疫情高点回落,最新的S&P Case Index报告显示,4月份房价仅上涨2.7%,低于3月份的3.4%。Redfin表示,该市场中卖家与买家的比例为3:1,并预测到2025年末价格可能会下滑1%。 Asit Sharma: 作为一个行业,房地产市场归根结底是一个供需关系的故事。2008年、2009年的金融危机打破了房价永远上涨的神话。现在经济放缓,不确定性增加,关税成为一个大问题,利率仍然居高不下,人们的收入没有那么多。我们看到卖家的数量超过了买家。这意味着很多人有大量的资产以房产的形式存在,但现在经济中没有那么多人有能力和意愿购买这些房子。所以,当卖家聚集时,它变成了一个有点买方市场。我毫不怀疑我们可能会开始看到价格在今年晚些时候下滑。从历史数据来看,房价下跌的情况并不常见,但我们可能再次面临这种情况。请密切关注。

Deep Dive

Chapters
The S&P Case-Shiller Index shows a slowdown in home price growth, and Redfin predicts a potential 1% price drop by late 2025. This is due to a combination of economic slowdown, uncertainty, high interest rates, and a surplus of sellers.
  • Home prices rose 2.7% in April, down from 3.4% in March.
  • Sellers outnumber buyers 3 to 1.
  • Economic slowdown, uncertainty, high interest rates, and reduced buyer purchasing power contribute to the market shift.

Shownotes Transcript

A stablecoin stock isn’t so stable; an accessible watch brand looks to lean into luxury.

(00:21) Asit Sharma and Mary Long discuss:

  • The housing market slowdown, and where prices go from here.

  • How Carnival rides the waves of uncertainty.

  • Circle’s meteoric rise.

  • Diworsification at a watch company.

The Wall Street Journal story discussed at the end of the show can be found here: https://www.wsj.com/business/american-investor-steven-wood-swatch-hayek-founding-family-7e17f6c6)

Companies discussed: CCL, CRCL, COIN, SWGAY

Host: Mary Long

Guest: Asit Sharma

Producer: Ricky Mulvey

Engineer: Dan Boyd

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