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cover of episode All the world's a stage but is Australian politics playing its part, with Laura Tingle and Peter Hartcher

All the world's a stage but is Australian politics playing its part, with Laura Tingle and Peter Hartcher

2025/5/1
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Stop the World

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Peter Hartcher: 我认为澳大利亚需要建设自身的国家实力,而不是依赖其他国家。我们不能过度依赖美国的军事保护和中国的贸易,因为这两种依赖都是不可靠的,并且会损害我们的主权。我们需要在经济、国防和文化等各个方面建设独立自主的力量。我们需要进行投资,但也要控制支出,在一定程度上容忍债务,以便政府能够与私营部门共同投资,促进经济发展。澳大利亚的经济规模已经很大,我们应该积极发展经济实力,并在全球范围内发挥更大的作用。 我们需要对经济进行改革,并对未来经济发展进行长远规划。我们需要与非美国和非中国的国家合作,以实现贸易多元化,减少对中美两国的依赖。我们需要直面来自特朗普、普京和习近平等领导人的挑战,并为澳大利亚的未来做好准备。 在国防方面,我们需要根据自身的战略风险和所需能力来确定国防支出,而不是仅仅关注GDP占比。我们需要认识到中国构成的战略风险,并采取措施应对。虽然我们不预期中国会入侵澳大利亚,但我们需要防范中国可能采取的贸易封锁等行动。我们需要继续参与AUKUS协议,并寻求更独立的国防能力,以保护我们的海洋权益和贸易路线。 Laura Tingle: 我认为澳大利亚的政治辩论需要更加务实,需要回归到‘显性权衡’(conspicuous trade-offs),即在不同利益之间进行公开透明的权衡。我们需要重新审视政府在经济发展中的作用,并制定更清晰的政府干预战略。我们需要对债务采取更精细化的态度,并将其用于促进经济增长,而不是仅仅关注赤字规模。 我们需要对国防战略进行重新定义,并明确国防支出与国家利益之间的关系。我们需要将国防支出与贸易联系起来,使国防支出更容易被公众接受。我们需要认识到AUKUS协议的局限性,并寻求更独立的国防能力。我们需要认识到中国构成的战略风险,但也要避免过度夸大这种风险,并寻求与中国保持稳定关系。 我们需要认识到特朗普对澳大利亚大选的影响,并采取相应的策略。我们需要认识到选民对需要做出牺牲的政策持抵触情绪,这使得政府难以推行长期利益的政策。我们需要在经济政策中引入‘显性权衡’(conspicuous trade-offs)的概念,即在不同利益之间进行公开透明的权衡。我们需要更精细地讨论债务问题,并将其与经济发展联系起来。我们需要与非美国和非中国的国家合作,以实现贸易多元化。

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Shownotes Transcript

As Australians head to the polls, David Wroe interviews two of the best minds on the intersection of Australian politics and global affairs - the ABC 7.30 program's political editor Laura Tingle and The Age's political and international editor, Peter Hartcher.

As well as their reflections on the substance of the election campaign, the conversation considers the challenges to Australia from the current global geopolitical outlook and whether we are having the right policy debates about how we can and should respond over the long term. Given the security threats we face and the investments being made in defence, including through AUKUS, are politicians having the right conversations with the Australian public to ensure both understanding and support for expansive policy ideas?

This conversation tackles all the big issues, including economic security, defence, Trump, AUKUS and China and, while recorded in the context of this week’s election, it will remain relevant well beyond it as these are challenges that will face the next Australian government and future generations in the years ahead.