Legacy media faces significant challenges in 2025, including declining revenues from programmatic advertising, increased competition from alternative media, and the difficulty of scaling subscription models. The New York Times, Financial Times, and Wall Street Journal are cited as exceptions, but many other brands struggle to adapt. Google's unpredictable actions and the saturation of subscription markets further complicate the landscape.
Subscription-based media is struggling due to market saturation and consumer limits on the number of subscriptions they are willing to pay for. Even successful brands like The New York Times face challenges in scaling subscriptions, as consumers are unlikely to subscribe to multiple news sources. This has led to discussions about bundling subscriptions to make them more appealing.
Alternative media is expected to grow in 2025, particularly due to political pressures and the increasing influence of decentralized, niche content. Brands like The Free Press and The Daily Wire have already gained traction with large subscription bases. The rise of platforms like Dropsite News, which caters to liberal audiences, indicates a trend toward more fragmented but influential media ecosystems.
AI is transforming media consumption by shifting from traditional feeds to conversational interfaces. Services like ChatGPT and Perplexity are curating personalized content, making it easier for users to access news and information through natural language interactions. This shift is expected to continue, with AI agents becoming more integrated into daily life, offering curated feeds, podcasts, and even interactive media experiences.
X has emerged as a critical power center in 2025 due to its ability to influence political debates and shape public discourse. The platform has already impacted significant events, such as the H-1B visa debate, where it facilitated widespread discussion and data analysis. Its decentralized nature and the participation of independent analysts have made it a key player in the information space, often overshadowing traditional media.
Advertising in 2025 is expected to shift from targeting consumers directly to persuading AI agents. This change will make advertising less noticeable but more integrated into daily content habits. Platforms like Meta are experimenting with AI characters and influencers, while AI-generated video content is set to revolutionize the creative process in advertising, making it more efficient and dynamic.
Conversational UI is becoming a dominant interface in 2025, replacing traditional button-and-click interactions. This shift allows users to engage with technology through natural language, making it easier to access information and perform tasks. Companies like Apple are investing in devices that facilitate these interactions, and AI agents are expected to play a central role in this new paradigm.
The culture war is expected to morph into class wars in 2025, driven by growing economic disparities and housing affordability issues. As wealth inequality becomes more pronounced, debates around class and economic security are likely to overshadow traditional cultural conflicts, leading to a more polarized and contentious political landscape.
This week, we discuss the outlook in 2025 for legacy media (not great), alternative media (much better), chat as a new media mode, X emerging as a critical power center, and culture wars morphing into class wars.