Bits + Bips: Trump Has Spread Uncertainty Across All Markets. What’s Next? - Ep. 798
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The markets are a bloodbath.

If you’re feeling lost in the markets right now, you’re not alone. Stocks are getting crushed, bonds are sliding, and crypto isn’t escaping the carnage. The question is: why is everything selling off—and where does it go from here?

One thing is clear: the next market move is extremely hard to predict. Between Trump’s economic policies, inflation worries, and DOGE’s cuts, there’s a storm of conflicting signals.

So, is this pain temporary? Or are we looking at a long trend downward?

Sponsors:

• Bitwise)

Hosts:

- James Seyffart), Research Analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence

- Alex Kruger), Founder of Asgard

- Ram Ahluwalia), CFA, CEO and Founder of Lumida

Guest:

- Travis Kling), CIO of Ikigai Asset Management

Links

**Recession? **

• Bloomberg: Trump Says US Economy Faces ‘Transition,’ Avoids Recession Call)

Inflation

• Bloomberg: Inflation-Linked Bonds Rebound on Trump Tariffs: Credit Weekly)

DXY

• FX Empire: US Dollar Forecast: DXY Sinks as Weak Jobs Data Fuels Rate Cut Bets, EUR/USD Surges)

Powell’s comments:

• CNN: Fed Chair Powell says he’s not worried about the economy amid Trump’s tariff chaos )

• FT: Federal Reserve chief Jay Powell plays down growth worries after jobs report disappoints)

Bonds:

• Bloomberg: The Bond Market’s Trump Trade Is Looking Like a Recession Trade)

• CNBC: 10-year Treasury yield rises after weaker-than-expected jobs growth)

• Bond yields in Europe and elsewhere are rising )

Tariffs:

• Bloomberg:** **Lutnick Says Trump Sticking to US Aluminum-Steel Tariff Timeline )

Japan and the carry trade:

• Japan's 20-Year Government Bond Yield rises) to its highest level since 2008. 

• Jeff Park tweeted) “Bitcoin is Japan’s game now whether you like it or not” - thoughts?

• FT: Japan seeks tariff reprieve after Donald Trump questions long-standing defence pact)

**China’s deflation: **

• Bloomberg: China’s Inflation Declines Below Zero for First Time in Year)

**Ukraine War talks: **

• FT: Ukraine seeks to persuade US to resume aid in high-stakes talks)

Timestamps:

• 👋 0:00 Intro

• 📉 3:05 What’s behind this brutal market selloff

• 🤔 7:26 Why making a market prediction right now is nearly impossible

• 🇺🇸 13:41 How Trump’s economic moves drive uncertainty

• ⚠️ 19:37 Is the Trump administration intentionally triggering a recession?

• 💰 20:30 The real impact of “austerity” on the economy

• 📉 22:59 What must happen before the market bottoms out

• 🔥 26:52 Where inflation might head next

• 📊 36:21 What the VIX is saying about the market

• 📉 39:00 How markets will react to today’s CPI numbers

• 🚀 43:40 When might Trump push for tax cuts?

• 🏦 49:19 Will ETF buyers create a bitcoin floor?

• 💴 55:12 What a declining Japanese yen reveals about demand for risky assets

• ₿ 1:00:35 Why BTC is the furthest that it has ever been from altcoins

• 🛍️ 1:11:00 What new groups might step in and buy bitcoin?📉

• 🤦‍♂️ 1:20:25 Whether the Trump administration “fucked up” the economy

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