Besant is highly regarded for his understanding of markets and the economy, focusing on keeping oil prices down and increasing U.S. production to control inflation. His softer stance on tariffs and conventional approach to trade policies are seen as beneficial.
Markets are pricing a 76% chance of a rate cut in December, with expectations of only one cut between December and January. Inflation data shows stickiness, suggesting the last mile of inflation reduction could be challenging.
Operation Chokepoint 2.0 has led to significant scrutiny and debanking of crypto and fintech companies, with hundreds affected. Regulators have discouraged banks from dealing with entire industries, creating a challenging environment for innovation and fair access to financial services.
Libra had the potential to advance U.S. dollar hegemony by integrating a stablecoin into social media, similar to how Tencent and WhatsApp use native currencies. The project was stifled by regulatory pressure, preventing a challenge to legacy payment rails and benefiting consumers and merchants.
There is a 35% chance of stablecoin legislation passing in 2025, with a higher likelihood in the second half of the year. The focus on other high-priority issues like taxes and immigration might delay the passage of crypto-related bills.
Ryan Selkis has clarity of vision on crypto policy and understands the need for a self-regulatory organization. His third-party perspective and ability to address objections make him a strong candidate for leading the crypto agenda and building consensus among stakeholders.
Thanksgiving conversations have seen an increase in discussions about Bitcoin, with more people inquiring about it unprompted. This reflects a growing interest in digital assets among a broader audience, though it’s still not a mainstream topic for most.
The XRP rally, dubbed the 'most hated rally in crypto,' is seen by some as a negative indicator, as it involves coins that have been out of favor for years and are rallying without significant institutional support. This could signal a speculative phase in the market cycle.
James Seyffart believes it's likely that an XRP ETF will be approved, but the process could take until the back half of 2025. He notes that the SEC's division of enforcement has lawsuits against exchanges involving assets like Solana, creating a potential roadblock for ETF approvals.
Ethereum could see an increase in its ETH/BTC ratio due to potential regulatory clarity under a new SEC regime, which might integrate DeFi with TradFi. This could benefit Ethereum and other similar blockchains, driving up the ETH/BTC ratio as institutional adoption grows.
In this episode of Bits + Bips, hosts James Seyffart, Noelle Acheson, and Ram Ahluwalia are joined by Alex Thorn, head of research at Galaxy Digital, to discuss the surprising mainstream buzz around XRP’s latest rally, dubbed the “most hated rally in crypto.”
They also analyze the new Treasury Secretary’s ambitious economic plan and what it could mean for inflation, fiscal discipline, and market stability. Meanwhile, Ethereum struggles to reclaim its narrative as the go-to blockchain, even as its ETH/BTC ratio shows signs of life.
And in a moment that captures the personal side of crypto’s rise, the team reflects on Thanksgiving table conversations, where bitcoin and digital assets became unexpected stars.
Why the newly appointed Treasury Secretary might be the right person for the job
Whether the December rates cut is unnecessary
How Marc Andreessen brought Operation Chokepoint 2.0 to the spotlight
How Facebook’s project Libra would have benefited the US Dollar hegemony
Whether the U.S. Congress will pass stablecoin legislation in 2025
Why Ram believes Ryan Selkis would be a good Crypto Czar
How people have been asking more about bitcoin during Thanksgiving
Whether the XRP rally is a negative indicator
What James thinks about the filings for news ETFs, such as WisdomTree’s XRP
Why Alex thinks that ETH could continue its recent rally
The impact of MicroStrategy being added to the Nasdaq-100, aka the QQQ ETF
- James Seyffart), Research Analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence
- Ram Ahluwalia), CFA, CEO and Founder of Lumida
- Noelle Acheson), Author of the “Crypto Is Macro Now” Newsletter
- Alex Thorn), Head of Firmwide Research at Galaxy Digital
Politics
Trump Taps Hedge Fund Manager Scott Bessent to Be Treasury Secretary)
The Trump-Connected Brad Bondi Is A New SEC Chair Contender and Pro-Crypto)
Macro
Operation Chokepoint 2.0
Marc Andreessen and the CFPB: Debunking the Debanking Debunkers) by Nic Carter
Unchained: Regulators Are Limiting Banks Serving Crypto Clients. Does That Violate the Law?)
Unchained: Killed By Politics, Ex-Diem Boss Says of Meta’s Stablecoin)
XRP
XRP Becomes the Top Traded Token on Binance and Coinbase, Hits Almost 7-Year High)
XRP Rallies 70% in a Week to Top Solana, Tether Market Cap)
Ethereum
** Timestamps:**
00:00 Intro
02:15 Why the new Treasury Secretary could reshape the economy
06:28 Is a December rate cut unnecessary?
15:18 How Marc Andreessen spotlighted Operation Chokepoint 2.0
19:54 The missed opportunity of Facebook’s Libra for USD dominance
26:48 Will stablecoin legislation finally pass in 2025?
31:28 Why Ram thinks Ryan Selkis should be the “Crypto Czar”
34:45 Bitcoin conversations taking over Thanksgiving dinner
39:48 Is the XRP rally a red flag for the market?
48:15 James’s take on new ETF filings like WisdomTree’s XRP
55:48 Why Alex believes ETH could extend its recent gains
1:01:37 What MicroStrategy’s NASDAQ addition means for crypto
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