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cover of episode Episode 745 | Reflecting on 2024: Revisiting My Predictions, The Best Episodes, My Favorite Frameworks, and More (A Rob Solo Adventure)

Episode 745 | Reflecting on 2024: Revisiting My Predictions, The Best Episodes, My Favorite Frameworks, and More (A Rob Solo Adventure)

2024/12/24
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Startups For the Rest of Us

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Rob Walling: 本期节目回顾了2024年,重点回顾了过去一年播客中介绍的关键概念和框架,例如2-20-200验证框架、正交SaaS和SaaS平台风险的八个级别。他还回顾了自己的成就,包括克服倦怠、调整工作安排,以及MicroConf活动的成功举办。此外,他还回顾了自己对2024年的预测,其中一些预测得到了验证,另一些则没有。 在概念和框架方面,Walling详细阐述了2-20-200验证框架的三个阶段,以及正交SaaS的概念,即一种既能横向应用于任何类型的企业,又能针对公司中特定职位或角色的产品类型。他还深入探讨了SaaS平台风险的八个级别,强调了平台风险并非非此即彼,而是一个连续谱。最后,他还介绍了1-9-90规则,认为只有1%的风险投资合格的科技初创公司应该考虑风险投资,9%应该考虑其他融资方式,90%应该自举。 在成就方面,Walling提到了自己克服倦怠的经历,以及由此做出的调整,例如减少旅行和降低YouTube视频发布频率。他还提到了MicroConf活动的成功举办,以及《SaaS Playbook》和《Exit Strategy》两本书的出版和销售情况。 在预测方面,Walling回顾了自己对2024年的七个预测,并对每个预测的准确性进行了评估。其中,他对垂直SaaS领域存在机遇、新兴市场SaaS持续增长以及人工智能发展趋势的预测是正确的或大部分正确的;而对Twitter易主、订阅疲劳对B2B SaaS采用影响较小以及低代码/无代码平台专业化的预测则是不正确的或部分正确的。

Deep Dive

Chapters
Rob Walling recaps the key frameworks and concepts he introduced in his podcast during 2024, including the 2-20-200 Validation Framework, Orthogonal SaaS, the eight levels of SaaS platform risk, and the 1-9-90 rule for startup funding.
  • Introduced the 2-20-200 Validation Framework for SaaS idea validation.
  • Defined Orthogonal SaaS as a third category beyond horizontal and vertical SaaS.
  • Developed an eight-level framework for assessing SaaS platform risk.
  • Proposed the 1-9-90 rule for determining appropriate funding strategies for startups.

Shownotes Transcript

In episode 745, Rob Walling goes solo to reflect on 2024. He revisits key concepts and frameworks introduced on the podcast, including the 2-20-200 Validation Framework, Orthogonal SaaS, and the eight levels of platform risk. Rob also looks back at his top five favorite episodes and reviews his predictions for the year—some of which came to pass, and others that didn’t.

**Topics we cover: **

  • (2:05) – Looking back at concepts and frameworks from past 12 months

  • (8:50) – Rob’s 5 favorite episodes

  • (11:56) – Reflecting on 2024 accomplishments

  • (19:47) – TinySeed Tales Returns in 2025

  • (21:18) – Evaluating 2024 predictions

Links from the Show: 

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