We're sunsetting PodQuest on 2025-07-28. Thank you for your support!
Export Podcast Subscriptions
cover of episode Global Markets Receive A Jolt After Trump Tehran Warning

Global Markets Receive A Jolt After Trump Tehran Warning

2025/6/17
logo of podcast Bloomberg Daybreak: Asia Edition

Bloomberg Daybreak: Asia Edition

AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
J
James Abate
R
Rodger Shanahan
Topics
Rodger Shanahan: 我认为,美国对伊朗的政策目前主要体现在防御能力上,例如协助以色列进行空中防御,以及提供后勤和情报支持。虽然特朗普总统一直试图避免卷入冲突,但美国似乎乐于让以色列采取攻势,以此迫使伊朗重返谈判桌。然而,以色列的真正目标尚不明确,可能不仅仅是削弱伊朗的核能力,还可能涉及更广泛的战略目标。如果伊朗受到直接攻击,可能会促使其发展核武器作为自卫手段。此外,伊朗国内民众对政府的不满情绪高涨,但外部攻击不太可能引发民众起义,任何变革都将由伊朗人民根据自身情况决定。 James Abate: 我认为,特朗普总统呼吁撤离德黑兰的言论加剧了市场的紧张情绪。伊朗目前在地区内处境艰难,缺乏盟友,而美国对以色列的支持是明确的。以色列摧毁伊朗情报部门等行为可能暗示其目标是政权更迭,这将对市场产生重大影响。尽管如此,我并不认为当前的石油市场风险会像俄乌冲突时期那样严重,因为沙特阿拉伯可能会增加石油供应,并且存在替代运输路线。此外,美国经济数据显示出放缓迹象,油价上涨对消费者造成的压力可能导致通缩而非通胀。因此,我建议投资者关注长期国债,并考虑从小盘股中寻找机会。

Deep Dive

Shownotes Transcript

President Donald Trump called for the evacuation of Iran’s capital Tehran on Monday, hours after he urged the country’s leadership to sign a deal to limit its nuclear program and Israel signaled strikes would continue. It wasn’t clear if Trump knew of a fresh round of attacks Israel may have planned for the city, which has a population of more than 9 million people. Israel had earlier warned one Tehran neighborhood to evacuate and video showed massive traffic jams as people sought to escape. Soon after Trump’s post, Iran’s Fars news agency reported several explosions east of the city. For more, we heard from Middle East Analyst and Author Rodger Shanahan. He spoke to Bloomberg's Paul Allen and Shery Ahn.

Plus- President Trump's comments on evacuating Tehran caused a jolt in global markets, with US futures falling and oil prices rising almost 2%. Despite earlier optimism that the conflict between Israel and Iran wouldn't escalate, Trump's comments contrasted with his earlier statement that Iran wanted to make a deal. For more, we turn to James Abate, Managing Director & Head of Fundamental Strategies at Horizon Investments.

See omnystudio.com/listener) for privacy information.