Vietnam's comparative advantages include its proximity to China, a strong STEM workforce, high female labor participation, and the ability to navigate geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and China delicately. Additionally, Vietnam benefits from rapid infrastructure development and a diverse pool of foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows, including significant investments from Japan and South Korea.
Southeast Asia has demonstrated economic resilience through stable governance, improving skill sets, and the ability to attract FDI, particularly in manufacturing. The region has also benefited from its strategic position in balancing geopolitical tensions between major powers like the U.S. and China. Despite challenges like COVID-19, countries like Vietnam have shown strong recovery, while overall wealth and living standards have risen across the region.
Key structural challenges include demographic issues like low fertility rates in Singapore and Thailand, rising costs of construction and energy, and resource constraints. Additionally, some countries face barriers to investment due to protectionist policies, such as Indonesia's downstreaming measures. Despite these challenges, trust in governance, infrastructure, and rule of law continues to attract investment in the region.
The Philippines leverages its large English-speaking population, particularly in American English, to excel in business process outsourcing and customer service. This has made the country a hub for services catering to U.S.-based companies, allowing it to move up the value-added layer of services and maintain a competitive edge in the global market.
China's influence in Southeast Asia is significant due to its role as a major investor in the region, contributing to infrastructure development and domestic capital formation. Southeast Asia views China as a neighbor and a reality, balancing its relationship with China alongside its ties with the West. The region benefits from China's overcapacity in areas like green technology, using it to diversify energy sources and reduce dependency on traditional suppliers.
Gullnaz Baig envisions a Southeast Asia where more people enjoy wealth, have access to quality education and healthcare, and no child goes to bed hungry. She believes this is achievable through leveraging technology, sustainable growth, and regional collaboration, emphasizing the region's potential to overcome challenges like climate change and economic instability.
"People always ask us this question, what can I learn from that country? People ask us about this from the report especially when we're talking to policymakers, or what should I learn from Malaysia? What should I learn? The thing to learn is to not learn to replicate exactly. But the thing to learn is sort of what are the principles behind what works for them. What are your comparative advantages, Every country needs to be asking that for themselves. So for Vietnam, comparative advantages are things like proximity to China, um, and ability at a geopolitical level to navigate between the U.S. and China. They do this pretty delicately, given their history with both countries. Um, and, and they've managed to sort of, yeah, and also, you know, there's an acquiescence by the major powers also to not force Vietnam to take sides. And, you know, and so it's a delicate balancing game that ASEAN always plays ..." - Gullnaz Baig Fresh out of the studio, Gullnaz Baig, executive director from the Angsana Council, shares her perspectives on the "Southeast Asia Outlook 2024-2034: Navigating the High Winds" report by Angsana Council, DBS and Bain & Co. In our conversation, Gullnaz emphasized Southeast Asia’s unique strengths, including its cultural diversity, openness to innovation, and ability to navigate geopolitical complexities between global powers like China and the U.S. She highlighted Southeast Asia’s resilience, citing its rising wealth, improving standards of living, and comparative advantages such as Vietnam’s strong STEM workforce and the Philippines’ English-speaking talent. Last but not least, she described the importance of leveraging regional collaboration and technology to foster sustainable growth and offered her thoughts on what great would look like for the region.
Episode Highlights: [00:46] Quote of the Day by Gullnaz Baig [01:28] Gullnaz Baig’s Career Journey and Key Milestones [03:53] Introduction to the Angsana Council and Its Mission [05:52] Career Lessons and Importance of Mentorship [07:50] Southeast Asia's Economic Outlook for 2024-2034 [10:03] Collaboration Behind the Southeast Asia Outlook Report [12:46] Economic Resilience of Southeast Asia Over the Past 30 Years [16:58] Structural Challenges Across Southeast Asia [20:29] Vietnam’s Growth Potential and Comparative Advantages [25:17] Philippines’ Services Sector and Comparative Strengths [26:14] Startups in Southeast Asia: Building and Scaling Across Borders [29:51] Southeast Asia’s Receptiveness to New Technology [31:50] China’s Influence and Opportunities in Southeast Asia [34:42] Navigating Geopolitical Tensions Between China and the U.S. [36:29] Leveraging China’s Strengths in Southeast Asia [38:52] The question that Gullnaz would like people to ask her more: Who are Southeast Asians? [45:19] What Does Great Look Like for Southeast Asia? [47:03] Closing
Profile: Gullnaz Baig, Executive Director of Angsana Council LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/gullnazbaig/ Angsana Council: https://angsanacouncil.org/member/gullnaz-baig/
Podcast Information: Bernard Leong hosts and produces the show. Proper credits for the intro and end music: "Energetic Sports Drive" and the episode is mixed & edited in both video and audio format by G. Thomas Craig. Here are the links to watch or listen to our podcast.
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