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cover of episode What’s Coming in 2025? Bitcoin, Robots, Space Exploration & the AI Revolution w/ Salim Ismail | EP #137

What’s Coming in 2025? Bitcoin, Robots, Space Exploration & the AI Revolution w/ Salim Ismail | EP #137

2024/12/19
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Moonshots with Peter Diamandis

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Peter Diamandis
创始人和执行主席 của XPRIZE基金会和单点大学,著名企业家和未来学家。
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Salim Ismail
知名指数组织专家、连续创业者和技术策略师,新奇大学创始执行董事和ExO Works创始人。
Topics
Peter Diamandis: 比特币将成为公共公司财务组件,并可能达到百万美元一枚。 人工智能技术将持续发展,达到通用人工智能(AGI)可能不会引起广泛注意。 全自动驾驶汽车已经成为现实,只是人们尚未完全意识到。 Salim Ismail: 预测2025年底比特币价格将达到30万美元,但仍存在波动性风险;比特币是应对美元贬值的一种手段。 预测人工智能的智商将持续提升,Grok 3人工智能的智商将达到140;达到通用人工智能(AGI)时可能不会引起广泛注意。 预测2025年将出现重返太空探索的号召,并可能由机器人执行火星任务。 预测2025年将有大量资金投入人形机器人领域,人形机器人的租赁成本将降低到每天10美元左右。 预测在未来18个月内,人工智能可能达到或模拟自我意识。 预测果蝇脑部连接图谱的绘制将推动对更复杂生物脑部的研究,例如小鼠甚至人类;脑机接口技术将通过将部分大脑处理任务转移到外部设备来增强大脑功能。 认为目前正处于超指数增长的时期,并且这种增长趋势还在加速。 Peter Diamandis: 比特币突破10万美元。 埃隆·马斯克正在构建一个由10万个,甚至更多GPU组成的AI集群。 讨论自动驾驶汽车的进展,并指出其已经成为现实。 提问关于人工智能何时会展现出自我意识。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why are CFOs of public companies now considering Bitcoin as a treasury component?

CFOs of public companies are considering Bitcoin as a treasury component due to its performance as an asset class and its ability to hedge against the deflation of the dollar, which is losing value at a rate of 14% annually. If even 1% of Fortune 1000 companies allocate part of their treasury to Bitcoin, it could drive the price to $1 million per coin.

What are the predictions for Bitcoin's price in 2025?

Bitcoin is predicted to reach $300,000 by the end of 2025, driven by institutional adoption and its role as a hedge against currency deflation. MicroStrategy, a company heavily invested in Bitcoin, is already outperforming Bitcoin itself due to its innovative financial strategies.

What advancements in AI and AGI are expected by 2025?

By 2025, AI models like Grok 3 and GPT-5 are expected to launch, with Grok 3 potentially achieving an IQ of 140. AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) may be reached, but its arrival might go unnoticed as the goalposts for defining AGI continue to shift. AI models are also expected to become more integrated into daily life, assisting with tasks like meal planning and decision-making.

What is the significance of Elon Musk's XAI project with 100,000 GPUs?

Elon Musk's XAI project, which involves clustering 100,000 GPUs, is significant because it challenges conventional AI chip design. By rethinking coherence and aggregate performance from first principles, Musk has achieved a breakthrough that has impressed AI researchers. This project could lead to further advancements in AI scalability and performance.

What are the predictions for humanoid robots in 2025?

By 2025, humanoid robots are expected to become more affordable, with prices around $20,000 to $30,000. Companies like Tesla and others are working on robots that can perform tasks such as cooking and childcare. However, adoption may be slowed by concerns over liability and safety, especially in home environments.

What is the future of autonomous cars in 2025?

Autonomous cars are expected to become more prevalent in 2025, with companies like Waymo already conducting over 100,000 driverless rides per week. The cost of autonomous driving is predicted to drop significantly, potentially to just a few cents per mile, making it more accessible to the general public.

What advancements are expected in brain-computer interfaces (BCI) by 2025?

By 2025, advancements in BCI are expected to include the ability to model and upload brain activity, potentially even the entire human brain. Companies like Science, founded by Max Hodak, are working on technologies that could offload brain processing to external devices, enhancing cognitive capabilities.

What is the significance of the fruit fly connectome mapping?

The mapping of the fruit fly connectome, which includes 154,000 neurons and 50 million synaptic connections, is a significant milestone in neuroscience. It allows researchers to create silicon models of the brain that can predict behavior, paving the way for more complex brain modeling, including that of mice and eventually humans.

Shownotes Transcript

In this episode, Peter and Salim discuss their 2025 predictions for tech, AI, EVs, Humanoid Robots, and more.

Recorded on Dec 16th, 2024

Views are my own thoughts; not Financial, Medical, or Legal Advice

  • 11:09 | Bitcoin's Future and Its Role in Investment

  • 20:40 | Predictions for AI and AGI in 2025

  • 35:17 | The Future of Brain-Computer Interfaces (BCI)

Salim Ismail is a serial entrepreneur and technology strategist well known for his expertise in Exponential organizations. He is the Founding Executive Director of Singularity University and the founder and chairman of ExO Works and OpenExO. 

Join Salim's ExO Community: https://openexo.com)

Twitter: https://twitter.com/salimismail

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