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cover of episode Have China’s emissions finally peaked?

Have China’s emissions finally peaked?

2025/6/19
logo of podcast Zero: The Climate Race

Zero: The Climate Race

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A
Akshat Rati
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Lauri Myllyvirta
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Akshat Rati: 中国作为全球最大的煤炭消费国和碳排放国,其气候行动对全球至关重要。近年来,中国在清洁能源领域取得了显著进展,但对中国排放达峰的判断需要更细致的分析。Lowry Moolavirtha的分析指出,中国的排放可能已经达峰,并且正在结构性下降,这并非由于经济危机或疫情,而是多种因素共同作用的结果。理解这些因素以及贸易战的影响,对于把握中国气候政策的未来至关重要。 Lauri Myllyvirta: 我认为中国碳排放达峰是多种因素共同作用的结果。首先,中国在清洁能源领域的投资和部署规模巨大,新增可再生能源已经能够满足新增的电力需求。其次,电气化进程加速,不仅在交通领域,工业和建筑领域也在推进电气化。此外,房地产和基础设施建设的放缓也对碳排放的下降起到了重要作用。当然,中国也面临一些挑战,例如煤化工产业的扩张以及全球贸易形势带来的不确定性。但总体而言,我认为中国有能力实现碳排放达峰,并在未来实现结构性减排。

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When exactly China’s emissions peak will make a big difference to the fate of the planet. That moment has come, according to Lauri Myllyvirta, co-founder of the Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air. A combination of factors – including a huge deployment of renewables and electrification of transport – has put China’s emissions into a structural decline. This week on Zero, Akshat Rathi asks Myllyvirta how confident he is that this really is a peak? What’s behind the decline in emissions? And how will the trade war with the US affect China’s climate and energy policies in the years to come?

Explore further:

Analysis: Clean energy just put China’s CO2 emissions into reverse for first time - Carbon Brief) China Set to Reach Peak Emissions Before 2030, Ex-Official Says - Bloomberg) China’s Solar Industry Gathers as Gloom Deepens Over Demand — Bloomberg)

Zero is a production of Bloomberg Green. Our producer is Oscar Boyd. Special thanks to: Jess Beck, Eleanor Harrison-Dengate, Sommer Saadi, Mohsis Andam and Siobhan Wagner. Thoughts or suggestions? Email us at [email protected]. For more coverage of climate change and solutions, visit https://www.bloomberg.com/green).

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