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cover of episode OpenAI Pours $12B into CoreWeave – Microsoft Surprised

OpenAI Pours $12B into CoreWeave – Microsoft Surprised

2025/4/26
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No Priors AI

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我今天要谈论一笔发生在AI领域的数十亿美元交易,涉及CoreWeave和OpenAI。这是一个引人入胜的组合和合作关系,OpenAI最近达成了这项交易。我将深入探讨所有这些,为什么这可能会损害OpenAI和微软之间的关系,以及CoreWeave计划如何利用这笔资金,尤其是在很多人预测其即将进行40亿美元IPO的背景下。 OpenAI向CoreWeave投资120亿美元,这是一个巨大的数额。如果还记得的话,几年前OpenAI最初从微软获得了100亿美元的投资,获得了该公司约50%的股份。那可是具有里程碑意义的重大新闻。而现在,他们又向另一家公司投入了120亿美元。CoreWeave究竟是做什么的?他们为什么要这么做?到底发生了什么?这实际上是一项为期五年的119亿美元协议,略低于120亿美元,但CoreWeave是一家GPU密集型云服务提供商,它基本上允许你在云端使用GPU。因此,如果OpenAI试图训练大量的AI模型,而他们没有足够的GPU,没有足够的资源,他们可以使用CoreWeave来帮助他们做到这一点。 这非常有趣且具有战略意义,因为就在一两周前,Sam Altman表示,他们正在耗尽GPU,GPU不足。他说,在过去的几个月里,他担心埃隆·马斯克的xAI拥有比他更多的GPU,因为我认为他们利用与特斯拉和SpaceX共享资源以及其他一些巧妙的方法获得了大量的GPU用于训练。这使得OpenAI感到担忧,如果其他公司能够获得更多数量的GPU,这对他们的业务来说是一种威胁。因此,他们正在建立大型合作关系,并且不仅仅是建立合作关系,他们还直接投资这家公司,这样他们就可以获得CoreWeave的GPU及其云服务提供商的优先级。 有趣的是,OpenAI并不是CoreWeave唯一的竞争对手,甚至直到现在都不是其最大的客户。在此之前,微软占据了CoreWeave约62%的收入。这只是去年的数据,2024年。令人难以置信的是,其收入增长到了19亿美元。这大约是2023年的2.28亿美元的8倍。这显然是一笔巨大的交易,CoreWeave上周刚刚申请上市。所以它还没有确定上市时间或价格。人们推测这将是一场40亿美元的IPO。这很吸引人。而且这不是一家默默无闻的公司。他们得到了英伟达的支持,英伟达拥有CoreWeave约6%的股份。而且,这本质上是一家专门从事AI的云服务提供商。目前他们拥有大约32个数据中心。 但真正让投资者感到担忧的是,62%的收入来自一个客户,微软。如果微软出于任何原因表示,他们不喜欢这家公司,或者他们找到了更好的选择,或者他们打算内部完成所有工作,那么他们就会损失62%的收入。这可不是什么好事。所以真正有趣的是,现在OpenAI进来了,实际上与他们签订了这项多年协议,金额高达120亿美元,为期五年。这显然不是一次性支付。我认为,当亚马逊或AWS投资Anthropic时,我们看到了很多这样的交易。他们分多年进行投资,希望他们达到不同的基准。有很多不同的因素,他们不会一次性支付所有款项。部分原因是,我认为,对于OpenAI来说,要获得批准并为这样的交易融资,他们银行里并没有120亿美元的现金。因此,他们基本上是根据他们未来的增长预测来借钱。我非常想知道这些未来的增长预测是什么,尤其是在OpenAI最近谈到他们将推出的20000美元的AI代理、10000美元和2000美元的AI代理时。 无论如何,OpenAI不仅将能够访问微软一直在使用的相同云,而且他们还将拥有该公司的一些股份。OpenAI和微软之间存在一种复杂的关系,人们称他们为“亦敌亦友”。他们说他们的关系正在恶化。这是因为他们之间存在竞争。OpenAI使用微软,微软Azure是他们的云提供商。如果微软使用CoreWeave来获得更多GPU,可以想象,OpenAI甚至可能通过微软获得CoreWeave的访问权限。这将直接影响微软的收入。这很有道理,但可以想象微软对此并不太高兴。 微软当然是OpenAI的大金主,投入了大量资金。现在,由于他们正在直接竞争,所以关系变得有些微妙。OpenAI直接与微软的企业客户竞争。早在1月份,当OpenAI宣布与软银和甲骨文达成大型Stargate AI基础设施协议时,微软就停止成为OpenAI唯一的云提供商。他们开始与甲骨文合作,现在他们需要更多的计算资源。所以他们说他们没有足够的GPU,所以这可能是一个很好的解决方法。但这不仅仅是OpenAI让微软不爽,并蚕食他们的客户。微软正在开发与OpenAI相同的技术。他们正在开发自己的AI模型。目前,他们正在开发自己的推理模型,就像OpenAI一样。所以他们都在彼此直接竞争,即使他们是朋友,并且有着良好的合作关系。OpenAI聘请了Sam Altman的竞争对手Mustafa Suleiman,因为Mustafa Suleiman负责Inflection Pi,这是ChatGPT的直接竞争对手。他们聘请他担任微软AI负责人,现在正在构建微软自己的内部ChatGPT版本,这将与他们直接竞争,尤其是在他们即将推出的这些新的推理模型方面。 CoreWeave在这一切中是一种策略。关于CoreWeave这家公司有趣的是,它是由一群对冲基金经理创立的。它最初实际上是一个加密货币矿场。他们使用所有这些设备来挖掘加密货币。然后当AI出现时,他们想,为什么我们不把这些租给那些试图训练AI模型的人呢?他们拥有所有这些基础设施。所以这很有道理。但这是一项成本非常高的业务。所以有三位联合创始人。有趣的是,在他们筹集的所有资金中,他们已经套现了大约4.8亿美元的股份。所以三位联合创始人每人套现了超过1.5亿美元。所以他们现在做得非常好。真正令人震惊的是,CoreWeave目前的债务约为79亿美元。 当然,这不仅仅是一家需要筹集资金来支付开发人员开发软件或提供商的软件公司。这是一家正在建设数据中心、购买GPU的公司。因此,他们账面上的80亿美元债务并不令人震惊。这只是他们能够建设所需成本。他们希望这次IPO能够赚取巨额资金,数十亿美元的新资本,他们基本上将用来偿还一部分债务,我认为在今天的利率下,这将非常痛苦。如果今天的利率是80亿美元的债务利息支付。所以他们将尝试进行IPO,筹集大量资金,并偿还部分债务,这非常引人注目。有趣的是,这三位创始人曾经试图利用GPU来赚钱,挖掘加密货币。现在他们显然做到了,虽然不是加密货币,但他们正在出租这些设备并赚钱,他们正在用GPU赚钱。所以看起来他们已经完成了他们的使命。我会随时关注这件事的最新进展。这显然是一笔巨额交易,120亿美元投资于CoreWeave。我们非常期待看到IPO的进展。我肯定会报告他们筹集了多少钱,价格是多少,上市时间表是什么,以及上市后公司的表现如何。这是一个非常引人注目的领域,CoreWeave也是AI领域一家非常大的公司。

Deep Dive

Chapters
OpenAI's massive $12 billion investment in CoreWeave, a GPU-heavy cloud service provider, signifies a significant shift in the AI landscape. This strategic move raises questions about the future dynamics between OpenAI and Microsoft, its previous major investor, and the implications for the broader AI industry. The deal highlights the increasing demand for GPU resources in AI model training.
  • OpenAI's $11.9 billion five-year agreement with CoreWeave
  • CoreWeave's role as a GPU-heavy cloud service provider
  • OpenAI's concerns about GPU shortages
  • CoreWeave's anticipated $4 billion IPO
  • CoreWeave's network of 32 data centers and over 250,000 NVIDIA GPUs

Shownotes Transcript

Translations:
中文

Today on the podcast, we're talking about a multi-billion dollar deal that is happening in the AI space, and that involves CoreWeave and OpenAI. Now, this is a fascinating combination and partnership that OpenAI has recently done. I'm going to be getting into all of that, why this might be fraying the relationship of OpenAI and Microsoft, and what

CoreWeave plans on doing with this essentially as their position in itself for what is, you know, a lot of people are saying is a $4 billion IPO coming up. So we're going to get into all of this. Before we do, if you've ever wanted to grow and scale your company using AI tools or your career online,

level it up with AI tools, you need to join the AI Hustle school community. Every single week, I record exclusive content where I break down the tools, processes, and systems that I use with AI to grow and scale my company. So I share exact numbers. I share exact workflows. Everything I can't share publicly is

published on there. It's $19 a month. In the past, I had this at over $100 a month, but I've dropped the price. And if you're interested in locking in that $19 a month price now, when I raise the price in the future, it won't be raised on you. So if you're interested, there's a link in the description to my school community called AI Hustle. I'd love to have you as a member. There's over 300 members that are all sharing what they're doing, getting great feedback. It's an amazing group. All right, let's get into what is going on.

So OpenAI is pouring $12 billion into CoreWeave. This is a colossal amount. I mean, if you remember, OpenAI originally took $10 billion from Microsoft a couple of years ago for like 50% of the company. And that was like massive groundbreaking news. And now they're putting $10

$12 billion into another company. So what exactly does CoreWeave do? Why are they doing this? What's going on? This is actually a five-year $11.9 billion agreement, just a little bit shy of the $12 billion, but

CoreWeave is a GPU heavy cloud service provider, which essentially allows you to use GPUs on the cloud. So OpenAI could, if they're trying to train a ton of AI models and they don't have enough GPUs, they don't have enough infrastructure, they could go and use something like CoreWeave to help

them do this. And this is really interesting and strategic because just recently, I think like a week or two weeks ago, Sam Allman said, we are running out of GPUs. We don't have enough GPUs. He said in the past months, he's concerned that Elon Musk's, uh,

X AI has access to more GPUs than him because I think they kind of relied on like sharing with Tesla and SpaceX and they did some other like clever things to get a whole bunch of GPUs in there to train. And this is making OpenAI concerned like this is a, you know, a threat to their business if other companies are able to get larger amounts of GPUs. So they're making big partnerships and beyond just making a partnership, they're

directly investing into this company so that, you know, people know or so that they have access, I would assume, to priority from CoreWeave's GPU and their cloud service provider. Now, what's interesting here is OpenANN is not the only competitor

competitor, and up until now, wasn't even their biggest customer. So before this actually happened, Microsoft accounted for about 62% of CoreWeave's revenue. This is just last year, 2024. And what's incredible is that the revenue grew to $1.9 billion. That's about

what it was in 2023, which was 228 million. So this is obviously a massive deal and CoreWeave just filed to go public last week. So it hasn't priced or scheduled when it's going to go public or priced out exactly what it's going to go public at. People are speculating it's going to be a $4 billion IPO. This is fascinating. And this isn't a company that is just kind of come out of obscurity. They're backed by NVIDIA. NVIDIA owns about 6% of CoreWeave. And

And essentially, this is an AI specific. So they really focus on AI cloud service provider. They have a network of about 32 data centers at this point. Now, this is a company I've been talking about on the podcast for years because they keep raising these eye watering rounds of funding. They're definitely a massive player in the space. And a lot of people are using them to help train their AI models.

But they are currently operating over 250,000 NVIDIA GPUs. Now, if I remember correctly, this is similar to what, you know, Grok AI has under management. I'm trying to remember if they have... I think they have 200,000. And so...

for one company to get their hands on this many is very, very impressive. And this is as of the end of this year. And then the thing that CoreWeave's doing is they're kind of just like renting them out. So people need them, they use them, and it's just like usage-based. So...

Since then, NVIDIA has added a bunch more GPUs since the end of last year, 2024 at 250. So I'm not sure the exact number now, but they've also added NVIDIA's the latest product, which is Blackwell. And essentially what this does is it's just supporting the AI reasoning. It's kind of the newest product. So the issue here that everyone has been talking about is, okay, fantastic, $1.9 billion, 8X growth since like the year before. This is amazing. This is exactly what you want to see in a company. But the thing that really...

kind of scares investors is 62% of the revenue is coming from one customer, Microsoft. So for any reason, Microsoft said, hey, look, we don't like the company or we found a better place or we're going to do this all in-house. That's, you know, 62% of all their revenue. They're down because of one customer walking away. So this is not good, right? That's to be down to 38% of the revenue total. And then, yeah, not great at all. So what's really interesting is now we have

OpenAI coming in and actually paying them this multi-year deal to

tons and tons of money, $12 billion over five years. So it's obviously not all at once. I feel like we see a bunch of these deals when Amazon or AWS is investing in Anthropic. They did it over multiple years. They want them to hit different benchmarks. There's a bunch of different things. They don't just get it all at once. And partially this is because I would assume for OpenAI to get approval and financing for a deal like this, they don't have $12 billion cash in the bank.

And so they're just like essentially borrowing money for this IOU based off of future growth projections that they have. And those I'm really curious what those future growth projections are, especially as OpenAI has been recently talking about having this like $20,000 AI agent that they're going to be pumping out and a $10,000 and a $2,000 AI agent a month.

month so like a $20,000 a month AI agent that can do a you know PhD research and all this other stuff so what's really interesting is I'd be super curious what their financial projections are what they think they can make and kind of what the terms of their debt or their financing they need in order to pay this money or what percentage they give in cash and etc etc so very very interesting

regardless, not only is OpenAI now going to have access to the same cloud that Microsoft has been using, but they also are going to actually have some ownership in this. And this is right. OpenAI and Microsoft have this sort of frame relationship. People are calling them frenemies. They say their relationship is deteriorating. And this is because there's a bit of a competition going on. And OpenAI

OpenAI uses Microsoft and Microsoft Azure is their cloud provider. If Microsoft is going and using CoreWeave to get access to more GPUs, presumably, it's like OpenAI, you could imagine, it might even be getting access to CoreWeave through Microsoft. So like, it'll just go directly to it, which breaks down Microsoft's revenue, blah, blah, blah, blah. It makes a lot of sense, but you could imagine Microsoft isn't super happy about it. So,

Microsoft, of course, big backer of OpenAI, put a ton of money in. And now, you know, there's some shaky grounds because they're kind of competing directly. OpenAI competes directly for Microsoft's enterprise customers. Yeah.

And back in January, when OpenAI announced their big Stargate AI infrastructure deal that they're doing with SoftBank and Oracle, Microsoft stopped being OpenAI's only cloud provider. They started working with Oracle, and now they need more compute resources, right? So they're saying they're out of GPUs, and so this might be a great way around it. But

This isn't just, you know, OpenAI getting under Microsoft's skin and kind of cutting at their customers. Microsoft is, you know, developing the same things that OpenAI has. They're developing their own AI models. And currently they're developing their own reasoning models, just like OpenAI has. So like they're both very much competing with each other.

head to head, even though they're like friends and they have a great partnership. OpenAI went and hired Sam Altman's rival, Mustafa Suleiman, because Mustafa Suleiman was running Inflection Pi, which was a direct competitor to ChatGPT. They hired him to be the head of Microsoft AI and now is building Microsoft's own in-house version of ChatGPT, which is going to compete directly with them, especially with these new reasoning models they have coming up.

So CoreWeave is sort of a, you know, a chess move in all of this. And what's interesting about the company CoreWeave is this was founded by a bunch of hedge fund guys. It actually started out as a crypto mining operation. So they were using all of these to mine crypto. And then when AI came out, they're like, hey, well, why don't we just rent these out to people that are trying to train AI models? They have all this infrastructure. So it makes a lot of a lot of sense.

But this is a very costly business to get into. So there's three co-founders. And what's interesting is of all the money they've raised, they have already cashed out about $480 million worth of shares. So that's over $150 million each for the three co-founders that they've pulled out. So they are doing quite well right now. And what's really astounding is that CoreWeave has about $7.9 billion of debt now.

Of course, this isn't just like a software company that needs to raise money to pay developers to make software or providers. This is a company that is building data centers, buying GPUs. So $8 billion of debt on their books isn't astounding. That's just what it costs for what they've been able to build.

They're hoping that this new IPO is going to make a ton of money, billions of dollars in new capital that essentially they're going to use to pay down a punch of their debt, which I'm assuming with interest rates today is not... It's pretty painful, I would imagine, to make that happen.

make interest payments on $8 billion of debt if today's interest rates. So they're going to try to do an IPO, raise a bunch of money and pay down some of that debt, which is really fascinating. What's interesting is the three founders were at one point trying to use GPUs to, you know, create money, mine crypto. And now they're apparently accomplishing this, except not necessarily the crypto, but they're renting them out and making money, uh,

you know, they're minting money with their GPUs. So it seems like they have accomplished their mission. I'll keep you up to date on everything going on with this. This is obviously a colossal deal, $12 billion to Core. We're really excited to see where the IPO goes. I'll definitely be reporting on how much money they raise, what the pricing is, what the schedule for this thing to come out. And once it launches, how the company is doing.

absolutely fascinating spot and very, very big company in the AI space. Thanks so much for tuning in. Make sure to join the AI Hustle school community if you want to learn how to use AI tools to boost your business and career. And also, if you want to join an amazing community of people using AI to create side hustles, to grow their businesses and to grow their careers. Link is in the description. Hope that you have a fantastic rest of your day.