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cover of episode The Trade War That Never Was

The Trade War That Never Was

2025/2/8
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Slate Money
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E
Elizabeth Spiers
E
Emily Peck
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Felix Ammon
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Felix Ammon: 我认为特朗普政府的贸易战并未真正发生,但这一“未发生”本身就是值得关注的新闻。威胁要对朋友和邻居征收高达25%的关税,而给出的理由是虚假的,贸易和芬太尼之间没有关联。即使关税没有实施,美国也已经表现出作为不可靠贸易伙伴的形象,这可能会产生长期的负面影响。企业需要可预测性来进行长期投资,而特朗普政府的不确定性政策阻碍了这种投资。 Emily Peck: 特朗普曾威胁对墨西哥和加拿大征收关税,引发了人们对贸易战的担忧,但最终并未实施。墨西哥和加拿大承诺了一些事情以避免关税,但实际上他们只是在重复已经宣布的计划。特朗普可能会再次威胁发动贸易战,他视其为一种随时可用的工具。特朗普和许多人认为北美自由贸易协定(NAFTA)对美国不利,希望做出改变以加强美国制造业。特朗普政府试图通过关税来实现重振美国制造业的目标。 Elizabeth Spiers: 特朗普可能会在最后一刻与墨西哥和加拿大领导人通话,并声称自己取得了胜利,尽管他们只是承诺了已经宣布的事情。技术变革和生产力提高才是导致美国制造业岗位流失的真正原因。制造业岗位本身并不一定是好工作,只有通过工会争取才能成为好工作。

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This week: Trump almost started a trade war with our nearest neighbors. Felix Salmon), Emily Peck), and Elizabeth Spiers) explain why Trump’s trade war with Canada and Mexico *not *happening is still newsworthy. Then, Felix breaks down why Trump’s plan for a US sovereign wealth fund makes no sense. And finally, Kalshi seems to have found a loophole by offering event contracts on the Super Bowl even in states where sports betting is illegal. The hosts discuss the distinctions between betting and trading futures, and how each are affected by their respective regulating entities. 

In the Slate Plus episode: Egg Watch 2025 gets its own episode. 

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Podcast production by Jessamine Molli and Cheyna Roth.

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