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cover of episode Here’s Why China Is A Quiet Force in the Israel-Iran Conflict

Here’s Why China Is A Quiet Force in the Israel-Iran Conflict

2025/6/20
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Here's Why
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Ellen Wald
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John Liu
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Ellen Wald: 作为中东石油的主要客户，中国不希望以伊冲突影响其能源供应。如果中国的石油运输受到干扰，或者无法获得足够的石油，中国将会非常不满。因此，中国在中东地区保持稳定具有重要利益。 John Liu: 作为世界上最大的石油进口国，中国需要伊朗的石油来维持其经济发展。由于美国对伊朗实施制裁，中国是伊朗石油的最大买家。中国与以色列的关系复杂，因为以色列与美国关系密切，而中美之间存在竞争。中国希望在国际舞台上扮演全球南方国家的倡导者，因此在冲突中，中国通常站在穆斯林国家一边。虽然中国谴责了对伊朗的袭击，并表示愿意在外交上发挥作用，但由于与以色列和美国的关系，中国可能难以充当公正的调解人。中国对以伊冲突的反应可能主要限于言辞，同时中国与沙特阿拉伯和海湾国家有更深的经济联系。如果以伊冲突导致美国卷入另一场中东冲突，中国可能不会感到不快。但如果出现推翻伊朗政权的行动，中国会非常敏感，尽管如此，中国不太可能采取军事行动来支持伊朗。中国将利用这一事件作为宣传工具，将以色列和美国描绘成负面形象，但不会因此进一步卷入冲突。

Deep Dive

Chapters
The escalating conflict between Iran and Israel has drawn significant attention to China's role as a major economic player in the region. China's substantial oil imports from the Middle East, including Iran, create high stakes in the conflict, making it a key player.
  • China is the largest customer for Persian Gulf oil producers, including Iran and Saudi Arabia.
  • Disruptions to oil supply would negatively impact China's economy.
  • China's significant role stems from its immense economic ties to the region.

Shownotes Transcript

China has condemned Israel's attack on Iran, while offering to play a positive role in facilitating dialogue between the two countries. China's economic ties to the region add to its geopolitical heft - and it's the latest example of Beijing’s growing role as a global power-broker and diplomatic force. Bloomberg News's Senior Executive Editor for the Greater China Region joins host Stephen Carroll to discuss.

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