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cover of episode Here's Why Trade Wars Are Easier To Start Than Finish

Here's Why Trade Wars Are Easier To Start Than Finish

2025/2/7
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Here's Why
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Brendan Murray
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Brendan Murray: 作为贸易专家,我认为特朗普政府利用关税的权力是毋庸置疑的。我看到,特朗普政府不仅将关税作为一种经济工具,还将其用于地缘政治目的,试图改变国际贸易关系。这种做法导致了极大的不确定性,使得企业在投资和商业决策方面变得非常谨慎。我亲眼见证了企业如何迅速适应关税的变化,但长期来看,这种不确定性对经济的负面影响是不可忽视的。我认为,特朗普政府的关税政策不仅仅是为了调整贸易关系,更是为了解决他认为需要改变的地缘政治问题,而这种做法可能会对全球贸易体系产生深远的影响。 Brendan Murray: 我认为特朗普政府的关税策略是多方面的。首先,我观察到关税被用作一种惩罚工具,针对那些特朗普政府认为不公平对待美国的国家。其次,关税也被用作谈判的筹码,迫使其他国家回到谈判桌前,以解决美国关注的问题。最后,关税也被视为一种增加收入的手段,为美国政府带来额外的财政收入。我注意到,这种多用途的关税策略在过去几十年中并不常见,特朗普政府的这种做法代表了一种新的贸易政策方向。虽然USMCA协议在一定程度上是对NAFTA的重塑,但我认为特朗普政府可能会利用关税来寻求在USMCA中获得更有利于美国的新条款。

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This chapter explores the ease with which a US president can impose tariffs, citing Donald Trump's swift actions. It contrasts the traditional purpose of tariffs with Trump's use of them as a political tool and discusses their lasting impact.
  • Donald Trump imposed tariffs quickly, demonstrating presidential authority.
  • Tariffs have been used to punish countries and raise revenue.
  • Past tariffs have persisted, even through changes in administration.

Shownotes Transcript

It took just two weeks for Donald Trump to impose the first trade tariffs since returning to the White House. His move to impose levies on China, and threats to Canada and Mexico, have political and business leaders scrambling to rethink complex supply chains and assess the economic impact. But if relations improve, how easy are these measures to unwind? Bloomberg's Trade Tsar Brendan Murray joins host Stephen Carroll to discuss.

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