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cover of episode Here's Why You Need to Understand Quantum Computing

Here's Why You Need to Understand Quantum Computing

2025/1/10
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Here's Why

AI Deep Dive AI Insights AI Chapters Transcript
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Isabella Ward
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Stephen Carroll
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Stephen Carroll: 我认为美国必须引领量子计算技术的发展,这是毋庸置疑的。 Isabella Ward: 量子计算机是一种新兴的超级计算机,它能够解决传统计算机无法解决的问题。它通过利用量子力学的特性,以一种全新的方式处理信息。例如,在解决旅行商问题时,量子计算机可以同时考虑所有可能的路线,并迅速找到最佳方案。 量子计算机的应用前景非常广阔,它可以用于药物研发、材料开发、气候和经济建模以及人工智能的机器学习等领域。 目前,IBM、AWS、微软、谷歌等科技巨头以及一些初创公司都在积极研发量子计算机。各国政府也投入巨资支持其发展,其中中国投资超过150亿美元,远超其他国家。 虽然量子计算机已经存在,但要实现广泛应用还需要一段时间。IBM的目标是2033年实现广泛应用,但一些初创公司预计在本十年末就能提供有用的机器。 然而,要制造出真正有用的量子计算机,其规模需要比现有机器大数万倍,这带来了巨大的技术挑战。因为规模越大,出错的可能性越高。谷歌在量子计算机规模化方面取得了突破,其Willow芯片在规模扩大时降低了错误率,但这项技术距离实用化还有几年时间。 量子计算机体积庞大、能耗高、高度专业化且成本高昂,不太可能像个人电脑一样普及到普通家庭。银行等机构也不太可能拥有自己的量子计算机,研究人员更有可能付费使用外部的量子计算机。 量子计算机将彻底改变研发,银行业将是较早受益的行业之一。它可以用于模拟风险、优化抵押品和商业银行业务、衍生品定价以及投资组合等,量子算法已经被开发出来用于优化投资组合。 然而,量子计算技术也存在风险。恶意用户可能会利用其强大的计算能力破解现有密码系统,窃取敏感数据。专家认为这种情况可能在未来15年内发生。这将对个人数据安全造成巨大威胁,也可能导致商业机密和知识产权被窃取。各国政府对此表示担忧,并呼吁企业更新加密技术。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

What is a quantum computer and how does it differ from traditional computers?

A quantum computer is an emerging type of supercomputer that processes information differently by exploiting quantum mechanics. Unlike traditional computers, which calculate possibilities one by one, quantum computers can simultaneously consider multiple possibilities, enabling them to solve complex problems much faster.

What are the potential applications of quantum computing?

Quantum computing can optimize logistical and transportation efficiency, simulate atomic behavior to accelerate drug discovery and material development, model complex systems like climate or the economy, and enhance machine learning for artificial intelligence.

Who are the major players and investors in quantum computing?

Major players include IBM, AWS, Microsoft, Alphabet (Google), and startups like Rigetti and Honeywell's Continuum. Governments and investors are also heavily involved, with China leading investments at $15 billion, more than triple that of any other country.

When will quantum computers be widely available?

IBM aims for widespread use by 2033, while some startups predict useful machines by the end of this decade. However, scaling up quantum computers to a useful size remains a significant challenge due to their delicate nature and high error rates.

What are the risks associated with quantum computing?

Quantum computers could be used by hackers to crack current cryptography, potentially accessing sensitive data. Experts predict this could happen within the next 15 years, posing risks to personal data and intellectual property. Governments and companies are already working to update encryption methods in preparation.

How might quantum computing impact the banking industry?

Quantum computing could revolutionize risk simulation, collateral optimization, derivative pricing, and portfolio management in banking. Quantum algorithms have already been developed to optimize investment banking portfolios, making it one of the earlier industries to feel the impact.

Will quantum computers become household devices like personal computers?

No, quantum computers are bulky, energy-intensive, and highly specialized machines costing tens of millions to build. They are unlikely to be used in homes or even by individual banks. Instead, researchers will likely pay for runtime on external machines.

Chapters
This chapter introduces quantum computing, highlighting its ability to solve problems beyond the capabilities of classical computers. It explains the difference in how they process information, using the traveling salesperson problem as an example, and explores potential applications beyond travel planning, such as drug discovery and economic modeling.
  • Quantum computers process information differently than classical computers.
  • They can solve problems that are intractable for classical computers.
  • Potential applications include drug discovery, material development, and economic modeling.

Shownotes Transcript

Move over artificial intelligence, a new technological game-changer is coming. Developers of quantum computers say they will deliver huge advancements in fields from drug development to financial modelling. Some of the world's biggest tech companies, investors and governments are pouring billions into making them a reality. Our reporter Isabella Ward tells us what to expect. Hosted by Stephen Carroll.

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