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cover of episode Trump Sparks a Global Trade War: Here's the Latest from Bloomberg

Trump Sparks a Global Trade War: Here's the Latest from Bloomberg

2025/3/4
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Here's Why

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K
Karen Moskow
N
Nathan Hager
加拿大外交部长Melanie Jolie
特朗普总统
领导成立政府效率部门(DOGE),旨在削减政府浪费和提高效率。
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特朗普总统:我实施关税是为了将制造业带回美国,并迫使加拿大和墨西哥解决芬太尼流入美国的问题。这些关税对美国汽车制造商来说将是令人兴奋的。对那些试图偷走我们的钱财、工作岗位、工厂和企业的国家,他们将受到关税的惩罚。 Nathan Hager和Karen Moskow:特朗普总统兑现了对中国和北美盟友实施大规模征税的承诺,对来自加拿大和墨西哥的大部分商品征收25%的关税,并将对中国商品的关税提高一倍至20%。这引发了加拿大和中国的迅速报复。 加拿大外交部长Melanie Jolie:美国的举动对加拿大构成生存威胁,数千个加拿大就业岗位面临风险,但加拿大已做好准备应对美国的贸易战。 Joe Livornia:市场可能没有充分考虑特朗普的举动,今天的市场反应是对投资者的一种现实检验。市场所谓的“恐慌指标”VIX达到了12月以来的最高水平。 Amy Morris:特朗普总统在连任后,对联邦政府进行了大刀阔斧的改革,这些举动可能会掩盖他对国会的讲话。 Brendan Murray:墨西哥的报复行动值得关注,因为墨西哥是食品、消费电子产品和汽车的重要供应国。加拿大、美国和中国都在加剧言辞,这预示着贸易战可能长期化,并对经济产生影响。中国的报复行动主要针对美国农产品,这具有象征意义,而非实质性打击。这可能会损害美国农民的利益,因为中国可以从其他国家(如巴西)进口农产品。特朗普对美国农民的保证可能预示着中国将对美国农产品采取报复行动。美国对加拿大和墨西哥实施关税的策略可能是为了在2026年重新谈判贸易协定中占据更有利的地位。

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President Trump implemented sweeping tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China, leading to immediate retaliatory measures and plunging the global economy into a deepening trade war. The tariffs impact roughly $1.5 trillion in annual imports and mark a new phase in Trump's economic and diplomatic reset. Markets reacted with a mix of initial calm and subsequent drops in US equities.
  • 25% tariffs on most Canadian and Mexican imports
  • Tariff on Chinese goods doubled to 20%
  • $1.5 trillion in annual imports affected
  • Swift retaliatory measures from Canada and China
  • Significant market reactions, including drops in US equities

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Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. And I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. President Trump has made good on a promise of sweeping levies on China and North American allies. As of midnight, most goods from Canada and Mexico now face a 25% charge, while the tariff on Chinese goods has been doubled to 20%.

In comments heard live on Bloomberg Radio, President Trump said the tariffs will help bring manufacturing back to the U.S. I would just say this to people in Canada or Mexico, if they're going to build car plants, the people that are doing them are much better off building here because we have the market, we're the market where they sell the most. President Trump says there was no room left to reach a deal with Canada and Mexico as he hopes to force them to address fentanyl flows into the U.S.

Vast amounts of fentanyl have poured into our country from Mexico. And as you know, also from China, where it goes to Mexico and goes to Canada. And China also had an additional 10. So it's 10 plus 10. And it comes in from Canada and it comes in from Mexico. And President Trump added the tariffs will be exciting for U.S. automakers.

The administration has delayed the removal of a so-called de minimis exemption for now. That means Canada and Mexico can continue shipping low-cost goods over the border without a tariff.

Well, Nathan, Trump's move has prompted a swift retaliation from Canada and China. Canada has imposed phased levels on $107 billion worth of U.S. goods, while China imposed tariffs as high as 15 percent, mainly on agricultural shipments. Meanwhile, Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum said her government would await for the tariffs to go into effect before reacting, but they are ready to respond. Canadian Foreign Minister Melanie Jolie spoke before the tariffs were put into place.

We know that this is an existential threat to us and there are thousands of jobs in Canada at stake now.

We've done the work. We are ready should the U.S. decide to launch their trade war. Canadian Foreign Minister Melanie Jolie said her government was ready to go ahead with retaliatory duties. Karen, President Trump also announced he's imposing tariffs on external agricultural products on April 2nd. He didn't provide detail on which products would be affected or if there'd be any exemptions.

The U.S. agriculture trade deficit is projected to hit a record $49 billion this year. Well, Nathan, all this has sparked a bearish mood across markets. Asian shares sold off and the S&P 500 suffered its worst drop of the year. Joe Livornia was chief economist at the White House National Economic Council during President Trump's first term. He told Bloomberg's balance of power the markets might have not priced in Trump's move.

The markets also, I think, were not believing the president was serious with these tariffs. So today might just reflect the fact that for much I think of this year, there was thoughts that they would actually never be implemented or be watered down. So I think today was really a reality check for many investors.

Former Trump official Joe Livornia notes that Wall Street's so-called fear gauge, the VIX, hit its highest level since December. And tonight, Karen, many are going to be watching as President Trump addresses Congress for the first time in his second term. Bloomberg's Amy Morris is in Washington with a preview.

Since his reelection, President Trump has blazed across the federal government, dismantling norms and traditions and parts of the government itself, firing thousands of federal workers, closing agencies, and positioning the U.S. closer to Russia, all issues that may overshadow his address to Congress. The White House says President Trump will also discuss his economic agenda.

In Washington, Amy Morris, Bloomberg Radio. Amy, thank you. And for full coverage of the president's address to a joint session of Congress, stay with Bloomberg for a special edition of Balance of Power with Joe Matthew and Kayleigh Lines. It starts at 8 p.m. Wall Street time on Bloomberg Radio, Bloomberg Television, and the Bloomberg Podcasts page on YouTube.

Coast to coast on Bloomberg Radio. Nationwide on Sirius XM. And around the world on Bloomberg.com and the Bloomberg Business App. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager. The trade war is on. President Donald Trump has made good on threats to impose 25% tariffs on most imports from Canada and Mexico and to double the levy on all Chinese goods.

to 20%. The president says it's about stopping illegal immigration and drug flows and boosting U.S. manufacturing. They can't come in and steal our money and steal our jobs and take our factories and take our businesses and expect...

Not to be punished. And they're being punished by tariffs. President Trump spoke there at a White House news conference heard live on Bloomberg Radio. This morning, we are joined by Bloomberg News global trade editor Brendan Murray. And Brendan, could we see trade flows upended dramatically following this first major salvo in what looks like a new trade war? Good morning.

Morning. Yeah, it could happen fairly quickly. Now, we haven't heard the retaliation yet from Mexico. That will be something to watch today and tomorrow. Mexico is, of course, a big supplier of food products and

and consumer electronics and automobiles. And so we'll see how a lot of the food products are perishable too. So you can't really stick those in a warehouse for very long. So we'll see how the trade flows

play out here. But it seems that all three sides are kind of talking a big talk right now about how tough they're going to be on their retaliation. There's even a Canadian politician who's saying, we're going to cut off your electricity supply from our province into the U.S.,

So we'll see how you like that. So it's getting it's getting it's I wouldn't call it, you know, that the tone isn't, you know, very, very sharp just yet. But both sides are kind of sharpening up their sharpening up the rhetoric. And, you know, we'll see how if this is a short run situation or something that turns into a more prolonged trade war that starts to hit the economy.

Well, as we start to see these rhetorical knives get sharpened here, Brendan, we've heard Canada announce phased-in tariffs on $107 billion in U.S. goods, China with 15% tariffs mainly on U.S. agriculture. What kind of impact could that have on the U.S. economy? So China's...

China's retaliation that they announced just a few hours ago was fairly reserved. It was on a tiny fraction of the goods that China imports from the US, but more symbolic than anything, they targeted agricultural products.

u.s farmers and and u.s farmers for years have tried to develop markets in china and to and to and to increase uh all the soybeans and and and all the wheat and crops that they that they that they ship overseas china has been the big market for those at the at the moment

Guess who's having a bumper harvest? Brazil. So if China says, look, we're going to slap tariffs on American agricultural products, the message is we've got somewhere else to buy from. So American farmers would be getting nervous about this. And I think that's one of the reasons why you saw Trump post on social media yesterday something about

farmers are going to do great because we're going to put, we're going to put tariffs on all food, food imports. And so American farmers are going to do great. So a bit of preemptive reassurance there, I think maybe the president Trump anticipating that China would come back and retaliate against, you know, the heartland of America. Only about 30 seconds left, Brandon, what does this mean for the existing U S trade deal with Canada and Mexico? And is the door still open to a trade deal with China? Well,

Well, there's an interesting role that that trade deal, the USMCA, previously NAFTA, plays into this. That's supposed to be renegotiated in 2026. This was the deal that Trump renegotiated in his first term. It's up for renegotiation in 2026. And so perhaps...

what the strategy here is to put Mexico and Canada on the back feet, hit them with these tariffs, drive them to an early renegotiation in more favorable terms to the U.S. That's one way some folks are speculating this could play out, that this is really just kind of a flurry of things that the U.S. could do to sort of enter those negotiations in the strongest position possible.

This is Bloomberg Daybreak, your morning podcast on the stories making news from Wall Street to Washington and beyond. Look for us on your podcast feed by 6 a.m. Eastern each morning on Apple, Spotify, or anywhere else you listen. You can also listen live each morning starting at 5 a.m. Wall Street time on Bloomberg 1130 in New York, Bloomberg 99.1 in Washington, Bloomberg 92.9 in Boston, and nationwide on Sirius XM Channel 121.

Plus, listen coast to coast on the Bloomberg Business app now with Apple CarPlay and Android Auto interfaces. And don't forget to subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. It's the latest news whenever you want it, in five minutes or less. Search Bloomberg News Now on your favorite podcast platform to stay informed all day long. I'm Karen Moscow. And I'm Nathan Hager. Join us again tomorrow morning for all the news you need to start your day right here on Bloomberg Daybreak.

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