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cover of episode Israel-Iran ceasefire, escalation fears and NATO

Israel-Iran ceasefire, escalation fears and NATO

2025/6/24
logo of podcast Reuters World News

Reuters World News

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Andrew Gray
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Benjamin Netanyahu
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Idris Ali
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Israel Katz
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Jeff Mason
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Kim Van Nel
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Martin Martinez
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Scott Malone
伊朗外长
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Kim Van Nel: 今天的主要新闻是以色利指责伊朗违反停火协议,美国人对以色利-伊朗冲突的看法,北约领导人讨论增加国防开支,以及美国最高法院允许特朗普政府恢复将移民驱逐到第三国。这些事件都对国际局势产生了重要影响,需要密切关注事态发展。 Israel Katz: 作为国防部长,我已下令军方打击德黑兰,因为伊朗违反了美国总统特朗普宣布的停火协议。维护国家安全是我的首要职责,我们绝不允许任何对以色列的威胁存在。我们将采取一切必要措施来保护我们的公民和领土。 Benjamin Netanyahu: 以色列已经实现了6月13日突袭的目标,并确认了停火协议。我们已经向伊朗发出了明确的信息,即我们不会容忍任何形式的侵略。我们将继续保持警惕,并准备好在必要时采取行动来捍卫我们的国家利益。 Jeff Mason: 特朗普总统暗示伊朗和以色列都有时间完成已在进行的任务,之后停火将分阶段开始。这一策略旨在确保双方在停火生效前能够完成既定目标,从而为和平过渡创造条件。同时,以色列同意停火,前提是伊朗不再进行进一步的攻击,并且伊朗已向美国表示不会这样做。总统将此描述为和平的重大胜利,并认为他能够果断地通过快速的美国军事打击来解决危机,最终促成了停火。然而,伊朗有兴趣同意停火,因为它无法升级与美国的对抗并获胜,伊朗更喜欢通过代理战争和代理战斗而不是传统的军事力量进行战斗。此外,有分析指出,以色列基本上已经实现了它的目标,即让美国摧毁伊朗的核设施,这是它自己无法做到的。 Idris Ali: 华盛顿认为伊朗袭击美国基地更多的是象征性的,伊朗为了向国内展示自己有能力反击,但同时不造成损害。这种姿态旨在安抚国内民众,同时避免局势进一步升级。美国政府正在密切关注伊朗的行动,并准备在必要时采取进一步措施。 Scott Malone: 美国人担心这场冲突会蔓延,暴力会继续升级。根据最新的民意调查显示,79%的受访者担心伊朗可能会针对美国平民进行报复,类似数量的受访者担心美国在中东的军事人员的安全。尽管如此,仍有36%的受访者支持空袭,其中共和党人的支持率最高,69%的共和党人表示他们赞成空袭。然而,69%虽然是多数,但不是压倒性的多数,这表明特朗普的党内对发起新的军事行动存在一些异议,因为他竞选时承诺结束战争而不是开始新的战争。

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Today, a Trump-brokered ceasefire is in jeopardy as Israel accuses Tehran of a breach and threatens to retaliate. How Americans view the Israel-Iran conflict. NATO leaders meet to discuss upping defence spending. And the US Supreme Court allows Trump to restart deportations to third countries.

It's Tuesday, June 24th. This is Reuters World News, bringing you everything you need to know from the front lines in 10 minutes every weekday. I'm Kim Van Nel in Whanganui, New Zealand. She's made up her mind, if pretty smart. Learned to budget responsibly right from the start. She spends a little less and puts more into savings. Keeps her blood pressure low and credits scoring.

Boring money moves make kinda lame songs, but they sound pretty sweet to your wallet. BNC Bank. Brilliantly boring since 1865.

Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz says he has ordered the military to hit Tehran after Iran fired missiles in violation of a ceasefire announced hours earlier by U.S. President Donald Trump. But Iran's ISNIS student news agency says reports that Iran had fired missiles at Israel after the ceasefire took effect were false. It's raised early doubts about the ceasefire announced by Trump earlier on Truth Social.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had confirmed the ceasefire, saying Israel had achieved the goals it had set in launching its June 13th surprise attack. And Iran's foreign minister set a deadline, saying if Israel stopped its attacks by 4am Tehran time, then Iran has no intention of continuing hostilities. That deadline has passed.

All this within 24 hours of Iran firing 14 missiles at a U.S. air base in Qatar. No one was hurt. The U.S. joined Israel in bombing Iran's nuclear facilities, dropping 30,000-pound bunker-buster bombs on underground sites after alleging Tehran was getting close to a nuclear weapon.

Now, President Trump did appear to suggest that both Iran and Israel would have time to complete any missions already underway, at which point the ceasefire would begin in a staged process. Jeff Mason is our White House reporter. Jeff, what else do we know about the ceasefire?

Israel had agreed to it as long as Iran did not provoke further with more attacks of its own and that Iran has signaled to the United States that it would not. The president is portraying it as a major victory for peace.

And it gives him an opportunity to also show to his supporters, many of whom were concerned about the U.S. potentially getting tangled up in another Middle East war, that he was decisive and was able to address a crisis with quick U.S. military strikes that then eventually led to this ceasefire, if it holds.

Another official briefed on the negotiations said Qatar's prime minister also secured Tehran's agreement in a call with Iranian officials. If this goes ahead, Jeff, is it likely to hold?

I think that is the key question. I spoke to an analyst who said that Iran had an interest in agreeing to a ceasefire because essentially it can't escalate against the United States and win. And that Iran prefers to battle in different ways and basically...

in a proxy war and proxy battles rather than using traditional military might israel this analyst told me it had also essentially achieved exactly what it was looking for by getting the united states rather to destroy iranian nuclear facilities that it was not capable of doing

As we mentioned earlier, Iran attacked a US base just outside of Qatar's capital Doha. In a social media post, President Trump thanked Iran for giving the US a heads up, which meant no one was injured.

Idris Ali covers the Pentagon. What happened is being viewed in Washington, at least for now, as something that's being seen as more symbolic, something that many officials and experts in Washington see as something Iran had to do for domestic audiences' purposes to be able to say, look, we are capable of fighting back when we need to, but at the same time, not causing damage.

A new Reuters Ipsos poll finds that Americans are worried that this conflict will spill over and that violence will continue to escalate. U.S. political editor Scott Malone breaks down the numbers. 79% of respondents said they were concerned that Iran might target U.S. civilians in response. A similar number of respondents were concerned about the safety of U.S. military personnel in the Middle East. Importantly, we should note that this poll was taken in

in the hours and day following the US strikes on Iran, but before Iran on Monday fired missiles at some US military facilities in the region. Overall, 36% of respondents to the poll supported the airstrikes with the strongest support among Republicans, 69% of Republicans saying they approved of the strikes.

69% is a majority, but isn't an overwhelming majority. And that shows in what we know to be some dissent within Trump's party on the idea of launching some new military activity after campaigning on a promise to wrap up wars and not to begin new ones.

Trump's so-called forever ceasefire between Israel and Iran surprised markets, investors hoping it's real and it's going to hold. Oil prices slumped 3% this morning on top of an almost 9% tumble overnight, as the immediate threat to the crucial Strait of Hormuz shipping lane appears to have eased. And US crude futures are back at $66.80 a barrel, about the lowest since before Israel's attacks on Iran began.

The Supreme Court says the Trump administration can resume deporting migrants to countries they aren't from. The decision lifts a lower court order that had required migrants have a meaningful opportunity to express fears of torture at their new destination. The administration says its policy already complies with due process and is critical for removing migrants who commit crimes.

In New York's Washington Square Park, Martin Martinez sums up what many are thinking. It feels like an armpit out here. Large parts of the Northeast and Midwest are stifling hot, and heat warnings remain in place for the rest of the week. But it's not just in the US. Many parts of Europe have been sweltering too, and a team of UK scientists say extreme heat this week could result in hundreds of deaths in England.

President Trump will arrive at a NATO summit in The Hague later today, eyeing a possible diplomatic win. There, leaders are expected to endorse a big new defence spending target, something Trump has long called for. Andrew Gray is our European Affairs Editor and caught up with us from the very busy NATO media headquarters.

Andrew, what can we expect? Well, the big deliverable, as they say in diplomatic language from the summit, is meant to be an agreement by NATO allies to meet a big new defence spending target, which Donald Trump has demanded, which is 5% of GDP. If this spending level were to be applied right now, this year, it would be hundreds of billions of dollars of extra spending. So it's a big jump for a lot of countries.

And in terms of what it would be spent on, there are areas that NATO has identified as gaps, particularly areas that European nations don't have the equipment, the kit, the weaponry that the Americans have. They want to try and fill those gaps. So those are everything from air defence, missiles and just sheer numbers of forces. We're talking about extra troops here as well.

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And for today's recommended read, To Syria, where Christians are struggling to understand why their community was targeted in a suicide attack and whether they can rely on the Islamist-led government's assurances of protection. You can read the full story by following the link in the description. For more on any of the top stories from today, check out Reuters.com or the Reuters app. Don't forget to follow us on your favorite podcast player. We'll be back tomorrow with our daily headline show.