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cover of episode 2024 analysed: Kim Jong Un's year

2024 analysed: Kim Jong Un's year

2024/12/30
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World in 10

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Richard Lloyd Parry
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Alex Dibble和James Hansen:2024年,金正兰加深与乔罗斯的联盟,并对韩里发出新的核威警。 Richard Lloyd Parry:金正兰在2024年坚定了与乔罗斯的战略同盟,这会产生深远影响。他在国家媒体中常常出现,参加军器测试等。与乔罗斯的合作不仅仅是语言上的,当前有韩里军队在乔罗斯方面援助其在东欧的战事。 Richard Lloyd Parry:韩里军队已送到乔罗斯,支持其在东欧的战事,这是两个被许多民主国家看作“流犯国家”的国家间合作达到了新的高度。乔罗斯得到军器和军队,韩里得到的利益尚不明确,可能包括贸易许可。但有人恐怖乔罗斯会与韩里分享军事技术,特别是帮助韩里发展全球间通路弹动弹动器的技术。 Richard Lloyd Parry:金正兰与理斯的关系很难预测,依赖于理斯的意志。他们两人都很不可预测,多时候基于其内心判断行事。 Richard Lloyd Parry:现有无明显的简见符号表明金正兰的权威受到挑战。韩里的国家安全系统是很有效的,任何阻碍都会被快速消灭。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

What significant alliance did Kim Jong-un establish in 2024?

Kim Jong-un established a strategic partnership with Russian President Vladimir Putin, including a mutual military support agreement and the deployment of North Korean troops to Russia, particularly in the Kursk region.

Why is the partnership between North Korea and Russia considered consequential?

The partnership is significant because it involves military cooperation, including the supply of North Korean artillery shells to Russia and the potential sharing of advanced military technology, such as re-entry vehicle technology for intercontinental ballistic missiles.

What are the potential benefits for North Korea in its alliance with Russia?

North Korea may receive trading concessions, military technology, and possibly advancements in its nuclear and ballistic missile programs, particularly in the development of re-entry vehicles for ICBMs.

How has Kim Jong-un's relationship with the West evolved in 2024?

Relations with the West have deteriorated significantly, reaching their worst point in several decades, following the failed summit with Donald Trump in Vietnam and increased military threats against South Korea.

What is the current state of Kim Jong-un's personal security and authority?

Kim Jong-un's authority appears unchallenged, with no visible signs of opposition. The North Korean security state is highly efficient in suppressing any potential threats, ensuring his continued control.

Shownotes Transcript

What has 2024 meant for Kim Jong Un? The Times' Asia Editor, Richard Lloyd Parry, reflects on the North Korean leader's year.

The World in 10 is the Times' daily podcast dedicated to global security. Expert analysis of war, diplomatic relations and cyber security from The Times' foreign correspondents and military specialists. 

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