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cover of episode Frontline special - intelligence analyst Malcolm Nance

Frontline special - intelligence analyst Malcolm Nance

2025/6/8
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World in 10

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Malcolm Nance: 我认为乌克兰正在有效地利用非对称战争策略,通过情报行动和创新战术打击俄罗斯的战略要害。例如,对俄罗斯空军基地和克里米亚大桥的袭击显示了乌克兰有能力在俄罗斯境内进行深入打击,这不仅对俄罗斯的军事能力造成了实际损害,也对俄罗斯的士气和公众信心造成了打击。这些行动需要广泛的情报网络和后勤支持,显示了乌克兰情报机构的成熟和适应性。此外,乌克兰还在不断适应战场变化,从最初的直接攻击转向更复杂的机动战和防御策略,这使得俄罗斯难以预测和应对。我认为,乌克兰的这些行动正在削弱俄罗斯的战争能力,并为未来的反攻创造条件。我特别强调,乌克兰的优势在于其情报能力和对俄罗斯弱点的深刻理解,这使得他们能够以小博大,有效地对抗强大的俄罗斯军队。通过持续的情报收集和分析,乌克兰能够发现并利用俄罗斯的漏洞,从而实现战略目标。我认为,乌克兰的这种非对称战争策略是其抵抗俄罗斯侵略的关键,也是其未来胜利的希望。

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This chapter analyzes Ukraine's successful asymmetric warfare tactics against Russia, focusing on the audacious attacks on the Kerch Bridge and Russian airfields. It highlights Ukraine's ability to leverage intelligence and technology for strategic advantage, contrasting this with the misperceptions of Western analysts.
  • Ukraine's successful attacks on the Kerch Bridge and Russian airfields demonstrate Russia's inability to win through conventional warfare.
  • Ukraine's strategy utilizes asymmetric warfare tactics, employing intelligence operations and long-range attacks.
  • Western analysts often misinterpret the war's dynamics, focusing too heavily on frontline movements rather than strategic actions.

Shownotes Transcript

In this extended Frontline conversation, intelligence analyst Malcolm Nance - who served in the US military and has worked in Ukraine - says Ukraine's attack on the Kerch Bridge in Crimea and its daring drone attack on Russian airfields shows Vladimir Putin can't win the war by simply grinding forward on the frontline.

The World in 10 is the Times' daily podcast dedicated to global security. Expert analysis of war, diplomatic relations and cyber security from The Times' foreign correspondents and military specialists. 

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