Frontline special - the sea and air war in Ukraine during 2024
World in 10
Deep Dive
What innovations in drone warfare were seen in Ukraine during 2024?
Ukraine and Russia have significantly advanced drone warfare, with Ukraine developing long-range drones that, while slower, can travel great distances and have a substantial battlefield impact. Innovations include drones that drop grenades, use optical tracking, and terrain mapping to bypass GPS jamming. Ukraine aims to produce 1 million drones annually, supported by international aid.
How has drone warfare affected Ukraine's energy infrastructure?
Russia has targeted Ukraine's energy infrastructure extensively using drones and missiles, leveraging its knowledge of Soviet-era infrastructure. Ukraine, in turn, has used drones to strike Russian energy facilities, particularly those involved in oil and gas production, to disrupt Russia's war financing.
What was the impact of Western-supplied long-range missiles in Ukraine in 2024?
Western-supplied long-range missiles like the US Atacoms and British Storm Shadows were approved for use in Ukraine in November 2024, but only within Kursk Oblast. Their limited numbers and high cost meant they had minimal military impact, though they carried significant political weight, highlighting Western hesitancy and Putin's influence over the conflict.
How effective have Ukrainian air defenses been in 2024?
Ukrainian air defenses, including Patriot systems, have performed exceptionally well, particularly in protecting key areas like Kyiv. Most damage in cities has been caused by debris from intercepted missiles rather than direct hits. However, Ukraine's vast size makes it challenging to defend all energy infrastructure.
What role have F-16s played in Ukraine's air war in 2024?
F-16s, delivered in limited numbers in 2024, have had minimal impact due to a lack of trained pilots and operational challenges. They are primarily used to shoot down cruise missiles and drones, avoiding the front lines where Russia dominates the airspace.
How has the Black Sea Fleet's role changed in 2024?
The Black Sea Fleet has been significantly degraded by Ukrainian attacks, forcing it to retreat to the eastern Black Sea. With Russia securing a land bridge to Crimea, the fleet's role has diminished, and it has largely avoided active engagement to prevent further losses.
What is the overall assessment of the Ukraine war in 2024?
2024 saw Russia gaining ground despite heavy casualties, while Ukraine struggled with limited Western support. The West provided enough aid for Ukraine to survive but not to prevail, leading to a bleak outlook. Russia's economy is under strain, but Putin's gains may embolden other global powers like Iran, North Korea, and China.
- Largest drone war in history
- Ukrainian innovation in long-range drones
- Russia's attacks on Ukraine's energy infrastructure and defense industrial base
Shownotes Transcript