We're sunsetting PodQuest on 2025-07-28. Thank you for your support!
Export Podcast Subscriptions
cover of episode ISIS rises: Trump mulls his response

ISIS rises: Trump mulls his response

2025/1/3
logo of podcast World in 10

World in 10

AI Deep Dive AI Insights AI Chapters Transcript
People
J
Josie Ensor
T
Toby Gillis
Topics
Toby Gillis: 新奥尔良发生的伊斯兰国恐怖袭击事件,引发了人们对该组织在西方再次崛起以及对美国安全构成威胁的担忧。事件被视为对即将上任的特朗普政府的警告,提醒其关注ISIS在中东日益增长的力量,并采取相应的反恐措施。 Alex Dibble: 对ISIS近期活动的讨论主要集中在该组织的策略转变和行动方式的变化上。 Josie Ensor: 虽然近年来ISIS的公开活动有所减少,但其威胁并未消失。ISIS的宣传和活动已经转移到阿富汗和巴基斯坦等地区,但在叙利亚的活动有所增加。网络上的活动也更加活跃。美国联邦调查局一直在拦截许多正在策划或进行中的恐怖袭击阴谋,尽管规模较小,但数量可观。ISIS的目标是制造恐慌,并通过宣传和网络招募成员。新奥尔良袭击事件可能会迫使特朗普政府重新关注打击ISIS的问题。特朗普政府面临着复杂的局面,需要应对中东地区多个不稳定因素,包括叙利亚ISIS的死灰复燃以及其他地区冲突。虽然特朗普政府可能拥有应对ISIS的资源和情报,但其策略和具体行动仍有待观察。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why has ISIS been relatively quiet in recent years before the New Orleans attack?

ISIS has been quieter due to the defeat of its physical caliphate in Syria and Iraq, which significantly reduced its territorial control and media operations. Many fighters went underground, and propaganda efforts were outsourced to regions like Afghanistan and Pakistan. Additionally, the FBI has been effective in intercepting plots before they materialize, leading to fewer high-profile attacks.

What is the current estimated number of ISIS fighters in Syria?

There are an estimated 2,000 to 3,000 ISIS fighters in Syria, with attacks tripling in the last year compared to the previous year. This resurgence reflects the group's shift to underground operations and increased activity in online chat rooms and Telegram channels.

How has ISIS's propaganda strategy evolved since the fall of its caliphate?

ISIS's propaganda strategy has shifted from centralized media operations in Syria and Iraq to decentralized efforts in regions like Afghanistan and Pakistan. The group now relies heavily on online platforms such as Telegram and chat rooms to recruit and coordinate, focusing on creating panic and attention through dramatic attacks.

What challenges does Donald Trump face in addressing ISIS's resurgence?

Trump faces a complex situation with ISIS's resurgence in the Middle East, particularly in Syria. He must decide whether to maintain a token U.S. military presence to counter ISIS expansion or risk destabilizing the region further by withdrawing troops. Additionally, the group's increased activity and propaganda efforts demand a renewed focus on counterterrorism strategies.

Why does ISIS attract more media attention than other terrorist groups?

ISIS attracts more media attention due to its history of brutal propaganda, such as videos of Western hostages being executed. This has seared the group into the public imagination, making it a focal point for media coverage. The group's dramatic tactics and ability to sow panic also contribute to its notoriety.

What role do online platforms play in ISIS's recruitment and operations?

Online platforms like Telegram and chat rooms are central to ISIS's recruitment and operations. These platforms allow the group to communicate with followers, coordinate attacks, and spread propaganda. The anonymity and reach of these platforms make them effective tools for maintaining influence despite the group's physical setbacks.

How has the FBI's approach to countering ISIS evolved in recent years?

The FBI has shifted its focus to intercepting smaller-scale plots before they materialize, leveraging increased resources to monitor and disrupt ISIS activities. This approach has been effective in preventing high-profile attacks, though the threat remains persistent and evolving.

Shownotes Transcript

After the Islamic State-inspired terror attack in New Orleans on New Year's Day fears are growing that the group is on the rise in the West again. Where has it been? Why return now? And how will Donald Trump respond? The Times' US Correspondent Josie Ensor analyses how IS activity thousands of miles away is dictating anti-terror policy in the West.

The World in 10 is the Times' daily podcast dedicated to global security. Expert analysis of war, diplomatic relations and cyber security from The Times' foreign correspondents and military specialists. 

Watch more)

Read more) Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy) for more information.