Russia has strategic interests in the Arctic, including resource extraction and the potential opening of a new trade route due to melting ice. The region is also militarily significant, as Russia has been building new Arctic bases and deploying advanced anti-aircraft missiles there. Trump's comments on Greenland provide Russia an opportunity to position itself as a rational, stability-focused power in contrast to perceived U.S. aggression.
Russia uses Trump's comments to present itself as a reasonable and stable Arctic power. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov emphasized Russia's commitment to peace and stability in the Arctic, while also highlighting its strategic interests. This contrasts with Trump's aggressive rhetoric, allowing Russia to appear as the more responsible actor on the global stage.
Russia has been relocating advanced anti-aircraft missiles to the Arctic and building new bases, partly to secure its northern flank and partly as a symbolic gesture of readiness. However, the majority of Russia's military resources are focused on Ukraine, limiting its capacity for significant Arctic expansion. The Arctic strategy also addresses challenges like melting permafrost, which threatens existing infrastructure.
Russia's portrayal of the West as hypocritical and self-serving resonates in the Global South, particularly in Africa, where many countries have experienced colonialism. By framing its actions in Ukraine as an anti-colonial struggle, Russia gains sympathy and credibility among nations skeptical of Western dominance and its claims to uphold global stability.
The melting Arctic ice is expected to open a new Northern Route, providing a faster and cheaper trade link between China and North America. This route benefits multiple stakeholders, including Russia, which aims to position itself as a steward of the region, and China, which seeks cost-effective shipping. Any conflict in the Arctic could disrupt this economic potential, harming global trade.
Russia would likely express dismay at a new U.S. base in Greenland but lacks the capacity to prevent it. Instead, Moscow would use the situation to reinforce its narrative of Western aggression and encirclement, appealing to European populations to question their alignment with an expansionist America. However, Russia's ability to act is limited by its ongoing commitments in Ukraine.