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cover of episode UK to snub Trump on NATO defence spending

UK to snub Trump on NATO defence spending

2025/1/28
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World in 10

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Lord Dannatt
英国政府消息人士
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英国政府消息人士: 英国不可能在2030年前将国防支出提高到GDP的2.5%,更别说5%了。因为这需要大幅削减其他公共服务开支,这在下次大选前是不可行的。 Tom Noonan:特朗普要求增加国防开支的背景是全球紧张局势加剧,包括中美关系、中东冲突以及俄乌战争。历史上,在冷战后期,欧洲国家的国防支出就达到过GDP的5%。英国政府更害怕特朗普的报复措施(例如关税),而不是普京的侵略行为。北约成员国的国防支出存在很大差异,这与地理位置和国家安全威胁有关,也反映了各国政府在财政支出上的优先级选择。增加国防开支需要时间,不能操之过急,需要制定合理的计划。美国也计划增加国防开支,但能否达到GDP的5%还有待观察。 Lord Dannatt:政府的首要职责是保护国家安全,而英国目前的国防支出(2.3%)不足以做到这一点。如果英国不增加国防预算,将为其他欧洲国家树立一个坏榜样,导致他们效仿,从而依赖美国的援助。英国首相苏纳克更害怕特朗普的报复,而不是普京的侵略。增加军事实力是为了威慑战争,而不是为了应对战争的灾难性成本。增加国防开支到GDP的5%可以有效威慑普京进一步的侵略。特朗普不太可能让美国退出北约,因为这关系到美国的战略利益,包括核保护伞。欧洲需要承担更大比例的负担分担,而特朗普正在敦促欧洲这样做。

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Donald Trump wants NATO members to increase their defence spending to 5 per cent of GDP by 2030, but he’s facing opposition from a key European ally. The UK government doesn’t think it can hit even half that target by the end of the decade without deeply unpopular spending cuts at home. Former head of the British Army Lord Dannatt says that would set “an extraordinarily bad example” for the rest of Europe as it tries to keep Vladimir Putin at bay.

The World in 10 is the Times' daily podcast dedicated to global security. Expert analysis of war, diplomatic relations and cyber security from The Times' foreign correspondents and military specialists. 

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