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cover of episode Ukraine's ceasefire plan analysed

Ukraine's ceasefire plan analysed

2025/3/11
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World in 10
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J
Justin Bronk
T
Toby Gillis
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Toby Gillis: 乌克兰和美国的团队正在就与俄罗斯的战争进行和平谈判。乌克兰在谈判前发动了大规模无人机袭击，以提醒俄罗斯其威胁，并推动泽连斯基的陆地和海上停火计划。 Justin Bronk: 乌克兰在空战中并未取得胜利，但成功阻止了俄罗斯空军的优势。俄罗斯在远程打击方面具有压倒性优势，但乌克兰也在努力平衡这一局面。乌克兰的远程打击行动虽然效率降低，但并未停止，尽管缺乏美国情报支持。如果双方停止远程打击，乌克兰将受益，但俄罗斯的地面行动也会变得更容易。乌克兰在黑海的成功是乌克兰的创造力和俄罗斯海军无能的结合。乌克兰在黑海的停火提议对乌克兰有利，但俄罗斯可能不会接受。停火提议可能迫使俄罗斯表态，如果俄罗斯不接受，这也是美国策略的一种成功。

Deep Dive

Chapters
This chapter delves into Ukraine's air strategy against Russia, including the recent drone attack on Moscow and the implications of losing US intelligence support.
  • Ukraine launched a significant drone attack on Moscow, termed the largest in history, to push for a ceasefire.
  • Russia has maintained a technically superior air force, but Ukraine's tactics have kept them at bay.
  • Ukraine's loss of US intelligence affects their air defense efficiency, but operations continue using publicly available resources.

Shownotes Transcript

As Ukrainian and US teams resume talks aimed at peace in the war with Russia, Ukraine's air and sea initial ceasefire plans will be at the forefront. Marco Rubio has suggested they "have merit" but are they a realistic proposition for Vladimir Putin? RUSI's Senior Research Fellow for Airpower in the Military Sciences team, Justin Bronk analyses what those merits actually are.

The World in 10 is the Times' daily podcast dedicated to global security. Expert analysis of war, diplomatic relations and cyber security from The Times' foreign correspondents and military specialists. 

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