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cover of episode 12.30【盘前】荣耀IPO,不借壳;中核科技合并吸收,停牌…

12.30【盘前】荣耀IPO,不借壳;中核科技合并吸收,停牌…

2024/12/30
logo of podcast 【信息差】A股复盘,客观/最全/好用

【信息差】A股复盘,客观/最全/好用

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以丰富的内容和互动方式帮助学习者提高中文能力的播客主播。
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主播:本周末最大的新闻是荣耀即将独立IPO,而非赵薇离婚。荣耀IPO估值达2000亿,但上市进程可能较慢。赵薇离婚事件可能与其前夫巨额债务有关,她本人已与前夫黄有龙多年离婚,并声明与黄有龙的任何事情都无关。 周末市场消息相对清淡,但美股出现大跌,可能与节假日休假有关,缺乏合理理由。上周五股市走势为小A字形,波动不大。中小盘股表现突出,军工和农业板块大涨,分别受第六代机试飞、歼20半飞消息和一号文件预期刺激。 周四AI硬件板块大涨后缺乏持续性,DeepSeek发布新版本引发市场震荡。AI硬件板块上涨逻辑与去年CPU板块不同,不可简单类比。市场止跌但缺乏进攻欲望,超跌股领涨才能开启新周期。六板成为天花板,量化交易频繁平推板块,市场存在博弈。 市场流传央妈将清退不具有重整价值的上市公司,引发市场担忧。但央妈发布的金融稳定报告强调强监管的延续性,并非新的政策。监管部门调查六家上市公司,但未有新的公司被立案调查,释放积极信号。A股市场存在大量不负责任的谣言,投资者需理性判断。 央视纪录片《大国基石》第三期关注算力,强调算力对数字经济的重要性。中国与美国在算力方面仍存在差距,明年机器人产业发展前景更佳。上海最新算力规划超预期,科技巨头纷纷布局AI。A股市场对算力概念存在分歧,投资者需谨慎。算力最终将利好电力和光伏行业。DeepSeek发布新版本,性能大幅提升,仅用十分之一算力即可达到与GPT-4相当的效果。知识蒸馏技术可降低AI模型开发成本,利好AI应用公司。中国人工智能发展需自主创新,算力需求仍将持续增长。量化交易机构利用AI大模型割韭菜,需警惕监管风险。 近期并购重组活动频繁,市场反应热烈。央企中核科技将收购中核西仪71.965%股份,中核科技停牌。特朗普要求美国最高法院暂停执行TikTok强制出售令,TikTok概念股或将反复活跃。贵州茅台首次回购股票用于注销减少注册资本,利好有限。白酒行业面临困境,市场预期明年将是白酒行业爆雷之年。三部门将加大农业农村基础设施中长期信贷投资,利好农业板块。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why is the divorce of Zhao Wei considered a significant event in China?

Zhao Wei's divorce is significant due to her high-profile status and the financial controversies surrounding her ex-husband, Huang Youlong, who allegedly owes billions of yuan. Their involvement in a leveraged acquisition of Wanjia Culture, which led to regulatory scrutiny and a ban from the securities market, has also kept them in the public eye.

What is the significance of the IPO of Honor?

Honor's decision to pursue an independent IPO rather than a backdoor listing is significant as it marks a major step for the company post its separation from Huawei. The IPO is expected to be substantial, with a valuation of around 200 billion yuan, and it has already influenced the stock performance of Shenzhen state-owned assets.

What are the implications of the new AI model DeepSeek Version 3?

DeepSeek Version 3 is notable for its efficiency, achieving performance comparable to leading models like GPT-4 using only a tenth of the computational resources. This is achieved through a technique called knowledge distillation, where a smaller model learns from a larger one, significantly reducing costs and computational needs.

What are the key points from the latest financial stability report by the People's Bank of China?

The report emphasizes the continuation of strong regulatory measures, particularly in dealing with financial fraud and companies that fail to meet listing standards. It reiterates the commitment to delist companies that do not comply with financial regulations, aiming to maintain market integrity and stability.

What is the impact of the latest industrial profit data on the Chinese economy?

The data shows a 7.3% year-on-year decrease in profits for large-scale industrial enterprises in November, though the decline has narrowed compared to previous months. This suggests a gradual recovery in corporate profitability, supported by government policies targeting high-tech and consumer goods sectors.

Chapters
This chapter covers significant events from the past week, including Zhao Wei's divorce, the upcoming Honor IPO, market fluctuations, and the impact of AI hardware. Specific examples include the performance of the AI hardware sector and the market's reaction to various news.
  • Zhao Wei's divorce announcement
  • Honor's plans for an independent IPO
  • Market analysis of the week's performance, including the impact of AI hardware
  • Discussion of the sixth-generation fighter jet test flight and the launch of the Sichuan aircraft carrier

Shownotes Transcript

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