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cover of episode 伊朗能撑多久?卖期权机会在化工

伊朗能撑多久?卖期权机会在化工

2025/6/23
logo of podcast 期权之路 | 赢在修正-不在预测

期权之路 | 赢在修正-不在预测

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洪霆
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洪霆: 作为一名交易员,我认为当前中东局势持续紧张,美国对伊朗的空袭行动增加了不确定性。虽然特朗普政府声称成功摧毁了伊朗的核设施,但实际效果有待考证。更令人费解的是,美国在空袭后呼吁伊朗进行谈判,这种做法显得自相矛盾。我认为伊朗如果真的要采取重大行动,不会事先大肆宣扬,真正的行动往往出其不意。伊朗在国际局势中显得被动,这与其国内复杂的政治生态和社会结构有关,国内存在亲美派,难以形成一致对外的局面。同时,伊朗因奉行独立自主的外交政策,未与主要大国结盟,导致在国际上缺乏支持。然而,巴基斯坦可能会在一定程度上帮助伊朗,因为两国同为伊斯兰国家,且存在共同的战略利益。总的来说,中东局势的未来走向充满变数,需要密切关注。

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This chapter analyzes the recent US air strike on Iran, examining the geopolitical implications and the various perspectives surrounding the event. It explores the reactions of different actors, including Iran, the US, and other regional players, and discusses the complexities of the situation.
  • US air strike on Iranian nuclear facilities.
  • Questionable effectiveness of the strike.
  • Iran's response and potential for escalation.
  • Geopolitical complexities and motivations of involved parties.

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