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cover of episode Can we just change how we measure GDP?

Can we just change how we measure GDP?

2025/3/21
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Planet Money

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#politics and government#consumer behavior Topics
@霍华德·卢特尼克 :我认为许多政府支出对经济没有好处,所以我打算将政府支出从GDP中剔除,以提高透明度。这样做可以避免政府支出被夸大,更准确地反映私人部门的经济活动。我不希望它被奖励,也不希望它包含在GDP中,因为这可能会扭曲经济发展的方向。 @史蒂夫·兰德费尔德 :我不赞成直接从GDP中剔除政府支出。虽然我理解对GDP计算方法进行改进的愿望,但我认为直接剔除政府支出可能会导致GDP数据失去其完整性和客观性,从而影响其作为经济指标的可信度。与其直接剔除政府支出,不如创建一个新的指标来反映政府支出对经济的影响,这样既能保持GDP的完整性,又能提供更全面的经济信息。此外,在更改GDP计算方法时,应充分考虑其对国际标准和跨国比较的影响。 @玛丽·柴尔兹 @尼克·芳丹 :更改GDP的计算方法是一个复杂的问题,它涉及到经济学、统计学和政治等多个方面。任何更改都必须谨慎进行,以确保GDP数据的准确性和可信度。同时,我们也应该关注GDP计算方法的演变,以及它如何反映经济的动态变化。

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There's one statistic that rules them all when it comes to keeping track of the economy: gross domestic product (GDP). It's the sum of all final transactions, so all the goods or services bought and sold, in an economy. GDP tells us how hot the economy is running, or how cool — like if we might be heading into a recession. And it's an important tool to compare countries, policies, and politicians. It's used by the U.S. government to allocate money and by businesses to make decisions about the future.

For close to a century the building blocks of GDP have been the same. Now Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, has proposed a big change: taking government spending out of GDP.

On today's show, can the U.S. change how it measures GDP? We talk with a former head of the BEA — about what he thinks they're likely to do now, and about the pressure he faced while trying to compile GDP for nearly two decades. Turns out, people have always been trying to bend it to make whatever grand project they're working on look better.

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