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cover of episode The 12 Day War is Over. Michael Reacts.

The 12 Day War is Over. Michael Reacts.

2025/6/23
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The Michael Knowles Show

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Michael Knowles: 我认为特朗普总统促成了以色列和伊朗之间的停火协议,结束了这场他称之为“十二日战争”的冲突。此前,各方都担心美国会因此陷入一场旷日持久的中东战争。伊朗对美国在卡塔尔和伊拉克的基地进行了象征性的报复袭击,但事先已通知美国,旨在尽量减少伤亡,这表明伊朗主要目的是为了挽回面子。虽然很多人担心以色列会采取进一步行动,扩大冲突,但特朗普政府成功地促成了停火,避免了局势进一步升级。我早就预料到不会爆发世界大战,特朗普政府在此次事件中的处理方式值得肯定。我认为特朗普将这次冲突称为“十二日战争”,并认为是他结束了这场战争,这符合他一贯的行事风格,也突显了他在国际事务中的作用。 Michael Knowles: 我最初的担忧是以色列可能不满足于摧毁伊朗的核设施,而是希望进一步推翻伊朗政权。因此,我认为特朗普需要约束以色列,确保他们不会采取过激行动,使美国陷入更深的泥潭。特朗普宣布停火表明,正如我之前预测的那样,整个事件可能已经结束。虽然伊朗采取了相对较弱的报复行动,但我们仍然需要警惕潜在的恐怖袭击。总的来说,我认为特朗普政府在此次事件中的表现是积极的,成功地避免了一场可能旷日持久的中东战争。

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President Trump has just announced a full ceasefire not only between the United States and Iran but between Israel and Iran which is the real heart of that war. It's over. The Panikans are totally defeated.

Some of us, I'm not going to say who, some of us are totally vindicated here. Everyone was losing their mind. This is World War III. Trump isn't allowed to hit the Iranian nuclear sites. He's going to get us dragged into a long regime change war. And actually that didn't happen. So what just broke earlier today,

And we'll talk about this more on the show tomorrow. But what just broke earlier today is that Iran retaliated against the United States by striking bases primarily in Qatar, but also in Iran.

Iraq and maybe in Kuwait. I lobbed some missiles. And when I saw this, all the panic hands on Twitter were saying, this is it. We're in a full war. This is George Bush 2.0. Here we is World War III. And I said, hold on, hold on. I said, first of all, we need to see where the missiles land. God forbid if they injure an American serviceman, now we're in a different situation. Then it's an escalation. I said, right now what it's looking like is

Nothing. Right now what it's looking like is Iran is trying to save face. The U.S. just came in and completely obliterated their chief strategic objective, their nuclear program, and they need to save some face or they're going to put on a fireworks show.

I didn't say this publicly. Publicly, I said all of that. But the thing I said privately was, I wouldn't be surprised if they called the U.S. to get permission beforehand. And then what happens? We find out, according to reporting, Iran called Qatar and back-channeled to the United States to tell them, hey, we're going to hit your bases, so let's minimize casualties. And so they lobbed some missiles. They basically put on a glorified firework show. And then that's it. Trump announces, I'll just read it for you right here. I got the Truth Social right here.

Congratulations to everyone. It has been fully agreed by and between Israel and Iran that there will be a complete and total ceasefire in approximately six hours from now when Israel and Iran have wound down and completed their in-progress final missions for 12 hours, at which point the war will be considered ended. Officially, Iran will start the ceasefire, and upon the 12th hour, Israel will start the ceasefire, and upon the 24th hour, an official end to the 12-day war will be saluted by the world. Notice the branding here.

He already brands it because we have the Six-Day War. He's going to call it the Twelve-Day War, and Trump's the one who ended it. That's how he's viewing this. I'm quite confident. I hate to speak for the president, but that's what I'm seeing here. During each ceasefire, the other side will remain peaceful and respectful on the assumption that everything works as it should, which it will. I would like to congratulate both countries, Israel and Iran, on having the stamina, courage, and intelligence to end what should be called the Twelve-Day War. He's hitting it again. He's branding right again. The Twelve-Day War brought to you by Trump. Actually, the end of it brought to you by Trump.

This is a war that could have gone on for years and destroyed the entire Middle East, but it didn't and never will. God bless Israel. God bless Iran. God bless the Middle East. God bless the United States of America. God bless the world. Donald J. Trump, President of the United States of America. We'll get into his takes, the President's takes, on some of those missiles earlier as this was unfolding, delightful posts, but this is really what it's about because the fear of

for a lot of people was not that we take out the Iranian nuclear program. The vast majority of Americans and the vast majority of Trump's base wanted that. The fear was we don't want to get bogged down in a protracted war.

So once Iran had the weak retaliation today, my only concern was, okay, I'm not concerned about the Iranians so much. They have sleeper cells of terrorists. I mean, we have to be on guard for that. But the official response seems to have been kind of weak. My fear was that Israel would not be happy with merely taking out the nuclear sites, but would want to go further for regime change and take out the Ayatollah. So I thought, actually, now what Trump has to do, he's dealt with the Iranians. Now he's got to rein in our interests.

Israeli friends to make sure they don't keep going further and bog us down even more. The fact that Trump can then announce a ceasefire means, as I predicted earlier, you can check the timestamps on X, that this whole episode may have come to an end. This brief episode of the show that I have to keep showing up for because events keep happening around the world, this has come to an end, but we will have much more on my show tomorrow. See you then.