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cover of episode THOUGHTCRIME Ep. 51 — Joe Biden's "Big Boy" Press Conference

THOUGHTCRIME Ep. 51 — Joe Biden's "Big Boy" Press Conference

2024/7/13
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Andrew
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Blake
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Charlie: 拜登的新闻发布会虽然表面上没有造成灾难性的后果,但却进一步暴露了他的弱点,加剧了民主党内部的分裂,并为共和党提供了攻击他的机会。他认为,民主党内部对拜登的不满日益增长,他们正在寻找机会罢免他,而共和党全国代表大会将进一步打击拜登。他认为,拜登最终会下台,但时间尚不明确。他还分析了特朗普的策略,认为特朗普利用民主党内部的矛盾来打击拜登,并认为这对于保守派来说是理想的局面。 Jack: 他认为拜登的新闻发布会一开始很糟糕,但后来逐渐稳定下来。但他的一些言行并不会阻止党内对其的质疑。他还分析了媒体的动机,认为媒体意识到,如果拜登下台,民主党更有可能赢得白宫,所以他们有动机让他下台。他还认为,媒体现在开始提出尖锐的问题,质疑拜登是否能够胜任总统职务。 Blake: 他认为如果拜登严重失误或拒绝纠正错误,他将面临被罢免的风险。他还分析了民主党内部的策略,认为民主党人正在寻找一个可以罢免拜登的“致命一击”。他还参与了对拜登认知能力的测试,并对测试结果进行了分析。 Andrew: 他认为拜登的新闻发布会结果对他们来说并非灾难性,甚至可能是最好的结果。他还分析了媒体的动机,认为媒体意识到,如果拜登下台,民主党更有可能赢得白宫,所以他们有动机让他下台。他还认为,如果拜登坚持到底,他可能会挺过这场危机。他还分析了民主党内部的策略,认为一些民主党议员公开呼吁拜登下台,这可能是预先计划好的。

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The panel discusses Joe Biden's recent press conference, analyzing whether it helped or hurt his chances as the Democratic candidate.

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OK, everybody, this is Thought Crime Thursday. We are taking the big boy press conference with us is Blake, Andrew and Jack. Andrew, what is your original your initial reaction to Joe Biden's marathon press conference? Shaky, feeble, but not disastrous. Probably the best possible outcome for us. Jack, what do you think?

I think it started out bad, but he actually got a little bit more stable as it went on. He got his feet under him. I think obviously he wasn't prepared going into it. But as we got to this point, it seems like he's actually starting to get there. That being said, I don't see anything in this that's really going to stop some of the things that his own party's been saying about him.

Yeah, the predicted odds have just flipped, by the way. Joe Biden is now the frontrunner to be the Democrat nominee. Again, he's back. He's back on top. It's up and down. He was able to speak for 10 minutes straight. It swerves 20 points every day. But the amplification, I mean, he called Zelensky Putin. He called his vice president, Vice President Trump.

Every error is now amplified 100x. And it's so funny because you can think of a defensible thing. You or I could make a mistake calling it President Putin of Ukraine because you mix those streams of thought. But it's a pattern and he has no give on this.

But, as we said, he did muddle through the press conference. He was able to answer the questions, which might have been canned for all we know. That was a leak that they had today, that they have all these faked questions for him. So that is, I guess speaking selfishly, the perfect thing for us, which is we want this to go on forever.

Whether they dump him or not, you want it to go on as long as it possibly can. Yes. You want it to really rip the party apart. You want whoever loses to be extremely bitter about it. It's ripping the party apart. Yes. Because the coup is not done. It's not. This is not going to quell the rebellion. Joe Biden's going to go off stage and say, didn't I do great? And the Democrats are going to say, our internals have you down 10. Exactly. In Arizona. This is perfect because he will think I did fine. I answered the questions. I flubbed one name here and there. Who cares?

His family will say the same thing. But no one who no one who thinks Biden needs to go will think, oh, this is great. If we have a bunch of these, we'll win the election. And nobody who thinks Biden is fine thinks it's fair to push him out. By the way, can we just the questions that were asked were so unbelievably light. How about this? Mr. President, credible reports say that you need a diagram to be able to take the stage. Is that true?

How about that as a question? Yeah. Right? I mean... Mr. President, today there was a report that you need to get the questions in advance when you talk with your own cabinet ministers. Yes, your cabinet secretaries. Yeah. Like...

Hello? I will say, I mean, I think that a lot of the questions are dealing with the elephant in the room, right? Because a lot of people were like, is the media going to continue covering for him? I think it's very simple. The media realizes that, or at least they believe, that there will be a better chance for a Democrat in the White House if they get Joe Biden out. So they're incentivized now to get him out. Also, CYA, they get to play the victim like they too were lied to. Now they're upset. I

I don't believe any of that stuff. I think they were all sort of in on it. And then when they realized they couldn't cover it up anymore, now they have to act shocked. Right. But the questions now are about journalists saying, oh, I got the one question in on him that he couldn't answer that that he looked really bad on. So I think there's an incentive to ask tough questions. And I think they're doing it. Every single reporter thus far in the presser has been asking, you know, are you going to step down? Essentially, can you do the job still?

Yeah. And again, the flubs are what's going to go viral and they should go viral because it's now a pattern of this. And so I what did I say when I walked in? I said, I think Biden stays. Now, do you agree with me after 15 minutes of him meandering about China incoherently? I think ultimately he will go. I don't know what the timeline for it will be. I've gone back and forth right after the debate. I think I pegged about 40 percent chance he'd leave, which was pretty high.

And it's swerved up and down. Every day, it'll be one day I'll feel this is it. The cascade has hit. He'll be done by tomorrow. And then Biden will hit back and say, I'm not leaving. I don't know how much more clear I can be. And I'll think, oh, I don't know.

I want everyone to understand how this is an ideal situation for us. So Joe Biden might get a slight internal Democrat bump out of this. Survive. And what happens Monday, guys? The most sustained anti-Biden programming. He now has to withstand four days of Republican convention, of scripted programming, of this is why this guy is the worst president in history. Your border is open. 10 million foreigners. Look at all the wars. You can't afford anything. And so he's now going to have...

Understand there has been no campaign in opposition to him for like two weeks. It's been Trump doing an event and all this. And I think, Jack, I think Trump has been handling this correctly. Allow the bad headlines. Allow it to occur. Show the acrimony in the Democrat Party. The clips alone we are getting of Democrats attacking Biden are delicious.

Well, I want people to consider something else today, too, because go and turn and take a look at your calendar or take a look at your phone. What day is today? Today is July 11th. So in, you know, Earth Prime or whatever, in the first universe, this today was supposed to be the day that Juan Merchan sentenced Trump. He was going to be convicted.

convicted. He might be sentenced to jail, house arrest. Who knows? He was supposed to be arrested, handcuffed. This is what they wanted, I'm saying. And instead, they have to do a press conference to prove that their candidate, the sitting president, is still lucid enough to actually stay in the race. It's

It's absolutely insane to think that it's gone such a 180. I mean, it's it's miraculous. It's just miraculous. And by the way, just just everyone understands yesterday a report came out where New York Democrats say we are now a battleground state.

There are reports that the map is expanding for Biden and the bottom is falling out. And I don't think I think people don't quite grasp every one of these major Democrats on camera saying Biden can't win. Biden can't win. Biden is not. There is now a 60 million dollar ad buy that will begin right during the Olympics.

hammering Biden funded by Miri Madelson. There has been no air coverage whatsoever. And paid at... I don't even know if you'd ever need a single Republican name. You should just put out every single thing of Biden flubs, Democrats trashing Biden. You almost barely need to have anyone run for the Republican race. Well, yeah, I mean, the...

The issue that I think is in front of us, Andrew, is that this is like the best possible outcome for us. Biden's numbers are not going to recover because of one press conference. Right. I mean, they might slide up a little. They might take up a little bit within the internal Democrats. But he is just one more flub, one more thing away from Biden.

not being able to survive this. And we as conservatives, we have been watching, holding fire, hold. It's like that Braveheart scene. Hold, hold. We haven't done anything, Andrew. But next week that changes.

Yeah, I mean, people also need to remember the timeline here. So to your point earlier, Charlie, it's like the best possible outcome is that he does just enough to hold on. And from what I can tell, that's kind of what it appears to be. Super shaky. Everybody's holding their breath the whole time. But it looks like he's going to get through it. We'll see. He's still on stage. Here's what I will say, though. Timeline. It's July 11th.

We have the RNC starting essentially on Sunday, but really on Monday, taking us to July 19th.

They have a virtual roll call on July 21st, and that's actually where the delegates have to pledge their support in keeping with Ohio, which I believe had an August 17th deadline. The DNC was not until August 17th or 19th. So they've got Joe Biden has to barely white knuckle this thing, cling on to power and really support within the DNC delegates.

He's got 10 days. He's got 10 days, and the RNC is going to suck up a lot of that attention. So if he can get through the Lester Holt interview, which I believe is going to be a Monday night, I don't see how they have any time to do what they need to do if they're going to remove him.

By the way, we cut out. People are saying that Joe started glitching more in the last five minutes. Excellent. He just started combusting a little bit. Excellent. But I'm going to read this text here. Yeah, I know. The drugs are wearing off, that he's starting to yell. He's doing all sorts of stuff. I'm going to read this text from a top-level reporter. The avalanche will occur to remove Biden if and when Biden either passes on a major opportunity to course-correct or flubs it. I don't quite understand what that means. Do you, Blake? What's that again?

passes on a major opportunity to course correct or flubs it i think maybe they're saying it was an opportunity to either tank completely or completely fix it and instead it just continued the same thing and like literally right now the presser that should have been gone an hour ago i'm talking to tons of democrats even the ones who say he should go would reverse field if he had showed capacity on the other hand if he doesn't show capacity then it's curtains for him

Oh, sorry. I misunderstood. You're saying if Biden either flubs up badly or if he just refuses to even go out on a chance to do it, if you cancel this press conference, for example, that would show he can't do it anymore. Knowing Democrats like I do, the reporter writes, they're looking for a kill shot in either direction. What he's doing right now would be OK for them pre-debate, but a disaster right now.

It's bad. I think a great one, Ezra Klein is very much like a normie Dem, very much speaks for establishment, very insufferable. He used to be more radical, actually. Well, keep in mind that Demons have just gone so insane that I think that's a big part of it. He's also very...

He's very grating about the Democrat Party. He's honest about the Democrat Party, I would say. I think he's kind of lizard like in a lot of ways. But I enjoy this tweet from him because it goes with what I want. He says what I'm hearing from he said this at one ten p.m. Eastern today.

What I'm hearing from congressional Democrats about Biden is this. He has done nothing to allay their fears, but his defiance and his fury has been enough to stay their hand. This is arguably the worst of all worlds. Democrats realize they are drifting towards a grim march to defeat led by a candidate they have no faith in, but they have no plan to do anything about it.

Congressional Democrats aren't at the point where they're going to abandon Biden en masse, nor are they at the point where their confidence in him is restored. They need a process that will get him to one side or the other end fast. So, Jack, what are you seeing in here and here as you're trying to listen in as Joe Biden continues? I'm being told that he's starting to combust a little bit, losing his stature. What do you think, Jack? Jack is listening to something. Andrew, what do you think?

Now, give me give me one sec because I had the audio up. Yeah. So he's getting cranky now. You can tell that the drugs are wearing off. So he's hitting. We're just at the one hour mark, by the way. He was the one who delayed this thing two hours beyond where he was going to be started. It was originally supposed to be at 530. Then they said they were scheduling it back to 630. Goes over, has that.

press conference where he's, you know, recalls Zelensky, the President Putin. And I was just listening back here. I'm pausing it real quick. But yeah, he's starting to get cranky. He's starting to get really upset. You can tell he just physically doesn't seem like he wants to be there. And if you're looking for good optics to come out of this, you're not really getting that strong, confident, relaxed,

feeling from him because we can all remember by the way those press conferences that trump used to hold when he was president and he would just sit there for and sometimes they'd be completely impromptu and he would just come down the brady press room or be on the um on the south wall of the white house or in front of the west wing and he'd start going in fact i would even say

That this press conference, if you take it as a whole, may have actually been detrimental to Biden other than the fact that he had to do it. He just had to do this. Did Biden release his delegates? That's what I'm saying. That just happened a minute ago, supposedly. That's what I'm saying. He was combusting and he released them. I just see that. Apparently they said he's free to vote for whoever they want. And he says they won't vote for someone other than him, but he says they're free to do it. Is that an official releasing of delegates? I don't know. I don't know.

We're going to get this in as soon as we can. Politico had this morning that Biden campaign was actually calling around to his delegates, that's probably what they were asking about, to ensure whether or not those delegates were planning to stay committed. Because I think there's been this story floating around that some of the Biden delegates...

have been starting a group chat, dozens, by the way, dozens of dozens, according to Politico, have started a group chat saying that they're going to push for the opening of the rules at the DNC to allow for an open floor vote at the convention. And Biden basically, you know, I'm sure he's saying that, you know, he's trying to say it and sound confident, but it's not a conversation we're going to be having right now.

We're getting the clip, so just stand by and we can all watch it in just a second. But I think it sounds like typical Joe Biden bluster, right? Like, I'll challenge you to a push-up contest or a golf match or whatever. It's kind of one of those verbal flourishes of his, but that is a huge mistake if he just did that. Because people will take him at his word. But, I mean, it doesn't have to sound like a document or something to actually let that happen.

Like, I release you. Here you go. I truly don't know. Because one thing that people are bringing up is Democrat rules literally say that they have to vote for their candidate unless, like, in all good conscience, they cannot. Like, there's totally a safety valve. Is that right? Yeah. The real obstacle here is there's all these fantasy scenarios about getting the delegates to vote another way. But.

These delegates are all people picked to vote for Joe Biden by the Biden campaign. Now, I'll bet a lot of them would be willing to defect regardless. But will over 50 percent of them be willing to defect? I doubt it.

Or it'll be hard, especially if Biden is saying they can't. And a lot, even if they are told you can vote for someone else, they might think they're not allowed to. There's that line from Ezra about his fury is real, which is if you're a top Democrat, I think there is an element where you might as well just go all out against Biden because your big goal is just don't have this election be a disaster. Yes. But if you're a low end Democrat, you actually do have something to lose if Biden does somehow survive this election.

And then it's like everyone who came after me, you're done. You have to wonder with all the electeds and Pelosi, what data are they seeing that we aren't seeing? Right. I mean, because remember, Pelosi was awfully confident going into the 2022 midterms. There will be no red wave. She saw a lot of things in the data that we didn't see. Now they're really hyper react. Well, we had that leaked polling shortly after the debate that was leaked.

worse than all of the public polling we're seeing. The puck news. Yeah, that puck news stuff that's saying Minnesota's super close. New Mexico. Virginia's in play. Every major swing state is solidly Trump. So that was really bad. I wouldn't be surprised if high-end Democrats, maybe some of them have...

more knowledge on biden's health maybe they maybe they're literally just been told it's parkinson's this is going to get worse uh and so they know that biden will almost certainly substantially decay by election day and there's like no hope that he'll stay in it uh those are probably the big ones they might have some data and they might have uh

So this is it right here. This is Joe Biden releasing his delegates. This is the biggest news. Play cut 128. If I may, your convention is coming up where your delegates are pledged to make you the official nominee. If they have second thoughts, are they free to vote their conscience? Obviously, they're free to do whatever they want. But I get overwhelming support, overwhelming support. Well, I mean, so that's that's a question. What do you mean they're they're free to do whatever they want?

You don't know. That's going to be what's part. What's exciting about it is. Well, I don't think that's true anyway. If you're just following the rules of the DNC, I don't they are pledged. And so they're pledged delegates, which means they've been submitted by the Biden campaign as pledged delegates.

to him. If he's saying they're personally free to do whatever they want, you know, then you could be looking at something like the the the faithless elector strategy from 2016 rearing its ugly head, saying that, well, even though someone's committed to be voting for someone that they need to pull back. But this is why we saw Trump's Electoral College go from 306 to 304. But I don't know. I don't know if the DNC legally allows that unless there's a rule change.

Well, no, to Blake's credit, I mean, this is an important distinction with delegates, right? Your vote, like when you vote in a primary, you're voting for delegates that have pledged to Joe Biden, right?

uh but there is a release valve so you're not actually in one sense you're not actually voting for joe biden you're voting for the delegates because you you you know those delegates and who they've pledged to but there usually is a release valve and i know that there was group reports of group chats with the delegates seeing if they could change the rules and do it in secret uh so that basically they could vote for somebody else toss the convention into chaos uh but

but do it with no egg on their face and no fingerprints. So I know that they're looking for different ways to be able to worm their way out, which suggests that they do have a way out.

So I want to read headlines here. We got the whole war room here. It's really helpful. ABC News. Biden holds first press conference in months as Democrats raise concern over candidacy. CBS says Biden, quote, I'm not in this for my legacy. I'm in this to complete the job I started. Newsmax says Biden confuses Zelensky with Putin. Biden refers to VP Harris as VP Trump, which he did. Fox.

Fox is Biden completes gaffe filled press conference. OK, fair enough. But all things being equal, is this enough to demand him to leave immediately? Like certainly I don't think so. I don't think it will flip anyone who wasn't already. You know, Biden's got to go. Now, what we don't know for sure is how numerous is that? We we talked a lot about Mark Halpern today. He's been saying every Democrat I've spoken with in private admits Biden has to go.

Now, he did another live stream today where he said, well, Biden's looking pretty firm. They might not be able to get him out. It goes back and forth every day. The fluidity here is remarkable. It's a degree of escalation where the Democrats keep bringing out more weapons. OK, now we're going to get George Clooney to do an op ed nuking you.

With Obama's approval. Now we have lawmakers, more of them coming out. There's reports that over the weekend it could be dozens of them will come out and say it. And each escalation where Biden is supposed to take the hint of it's bad, you should gracefully step aside. He's saying, nope, screw all you guys, flips them the bird, keeps going. And there's sort of a thing where...

Ultimately, the only way you can force him out is you invoke the 25th Amendment on him, which would require Vice President Harris to flip 50 percent of his cabinet to flip before he fires them. And then if he still defies that, you need a majority vote of Congress. And in theory, it's possible Republicans could say, well, the president says he's fine. Why would we go against the president?

In truth, I doubt they would do that because I think it would undermine the GOP attacking Biden. But you can still be the candidate but no longer be the president. Yeah. Oh, that's true. You can still be the nominee. You can still be the nominee and get 25th Amendment. He's like, I'm still on the ballot, pal. Yeah.

You know what they what they actually might start doing if they were, you know, you might. What if you actually start seeing a fusion of the two positions? So you see, they realize they can't get rid of him without his voluntary agreement and his acquiescence. He's not going to do that. And so what if you start getting Democrats saying, well, vote for Biden, but.

Kamala is really going to be the one in charge. And they start kind of like they start kind of like trying to merge the whole thing where, you know, they bring back the co-presidency talk of the Clinton era and say, well, you're really getting two presidents. And he did certainly mention a couple of times, I think, during his own press conference when he was asked that Kamala is more than qualified to be president. I do think that's going to be a headline out of this, by the way.

And, you know, you might start to see this weird kind of fusion where people say, well, you know, even if he has a bad day, Kamala can step in. It'll be fine. So let me let me read some headlines. Immediately, ABC News is now pivoted. Another Dem lawmaker urges Biden to withdraw from race following press conference. I mean, it's like within minutes, the media is not laying off of the media is not backing down. Democrats aren't backing down. And I think one of the most interesting things here is.

Nate Silver pointed this out where he says, if you're a Democrat who has concluded that if Joe Biden is the candidate, we have a zero percent chance of winning or something so low as it doesn't make a difference.

Then you really have no incentive to not just go maximum scorched earth. And a lot of the pro Biden gamble is you guys can't attack me too much because you'll make this unwinnable for us. You'll make it so if I stick around, we cannot win. Yes. And they'll want to hold back on that. And instead, if they've concluded it's really zero, they have incentive to just burn everything down as much as they can. Jack, I want to go back to July 2016.

It might have been August. The Republican convention in Cleveland. I was there. I think you were there. I was there. You were there. Isn't that funny? We were all there. We didn't know each other. Isn't that just amazing? Jack, Trump had a lot of opposition throughout that summer, but it was nowhere near this, was it? There was actual consolidation behind Trump at that convention with a couple defectors. This is the greatest interparty fighting leading into conventions we've ever seen.

I mean, it's certainly the biggest, I think, since the Johnson era, since 1968 era, since the 60s, for sure. And it's also on the Democrat side, funny enough, that you don't usually see these types of floor fights. You might say Reagan's first run in 76 against Ford. There was a huge consternation against Ford.

Yeah, against, well, an incumbent president with an asterisk because nobody had ever voted for Gerald Ford to be vice president or president. So that's why, you know, there was this huge piece. And...

And, you know, Ted Kennedy ran against Carter again in 1980. So gave him a strong inner primary, inner party primary then. But it didn't I don't believe that actually made it to the floor. So this might be the first time you might see this. You know, so if you're the Biden campaign right now. All right. Put it this way. If you're the Biden campaign right now, you want to do as much as possible to put this to bed now. And you certainly see that from, as Blake has pointed out, from the people that want him to step down. They want it to happen as quickly.

quickly as possible so that they can do all of the things they need to do to switch the cart over to Kamala Harris and think realistically the only person they would be able, possibly legally able to do that to, would be Kamala Harris, other than massive, massive changes going on. But from the other perspective, you might start thinking, all right, if we can't get rid of him

through the 25th, if we can't get rid of him through this shaming process that they're trying to do right now, then you're going to start thinking floor. You're going to start thinking, how do we open up the convention and take this to the floor in Chicago? So I want to get some CNN tape here. They're still saying he should drop out like full, full throttle that he should drop out. Andrew, what is your reaction to the press fallout here?

Yeah, I mean, the ABC News has the congressman from Texas. I'm trying to get his name. He is now the newest. It seems like this was obviously teed up. He was ready to go with this hit. So this seems to me a plot, right? This has been planned. And you go back to what Speaker Pelosi has been telling the caucus behind closed doors, right? Yes, Jeffries is in charge, but arguably Pelosi still holds power.

way more sway. And so what she's been saying is if you're in a safe district and you want to air those grievances, go ahead and do it. If you're in a toss-up district, actually, let me say that again. If you're in a toss-up district, air your grievances out loud. If you are in a safe district, why don't you come and air them behind closed doors? Don't air your dirty laundry. And so I got to presume this guy from Texas is in a toss-up district.

And this was preplanned. So I think there's a lot of orchestration going on here. They're trying to chip away, chisel away, make the pressure so extreme that he's going to give in. But again, timelines against him, if he just digs his heels in, I think he's going to survive. I think that's my take. Let's play cut 131.

Earlier, you misspoke in your opening answer. You referred to Vice President Harris as Vice President Trump. Right now, Donald Trump is using that to mock your age and your memory. How do you combat that criticism from tonight? Listen to him. This concludes tonight's press conference. Thank you, everybody. Thanks, everyone. That's his answer. Listen to him.

I mean, but he seems psychologically like defiant, strong headed, bullheaded. He is not moving. You know, one of the best. He thinks he's the greatest president ever. Yeah, I think this is I think it's like the entire Democrat establishment bought the fake persona about Joe Biden that they built to win in 2020. This genial grandfatherly Uncle Joe. Joe Biden's kind of a.

Kind of a jerk? Kind of a... Kind of a... A-hole? Bad terms that I guess I... I don't know. Yes. This is a PG-13 thing, but... Like, this is a guy who... I think he went several years without giving an interview to the press. He doesn't like the press. Yeah.

He raised Hunter Biden as his child. He raised Ashley Biden as his child. They're both appalling. His family cashed in in extremely trashy ways off his vice presidency, which he used to enrich himself. Selling paintings. Yeah, so he's really bad in all of those ways. He basically had his son go work for a credit card company that he was a shill for in Congress. He just...

He's a bad guy. And then he thinks he's awesome. And truthfully, I guess he did win in the 2020 election. He won in 2022 when everyone said he was down. So he would have reason to feel smug and think all these people doubted me. They said I couldn't win the nomination. They said I couldn't beat Trump. They said that I couldn't win in the midterms. And I've won all those things. And I'm still here. And they stink. And I'm amazing.

And him getting dementia would only make these thoughts stronger. If if he if he loses to Donald Trump, he will go down as the most hated living Democrat figure since who? I mean, if he's Jimmy Carter, Hillary Clinton, I mean, they hated Hillary, but it would be more than Hillary.

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Well, I was thinking we found a dementia test on the internet. Oh, yeah? We were wondering how one... How I would do? Yeah, we were thinking how you would do. So here's test one. Is there a suspicion that I have dementia? You never know. What is today's date? From memory, no cheating. You can't look. Okay.

Month, date, year. Thursday, July 11th. What year? 2024. You're wrong. It's 2025. A whole year has passed, Charlie. Is that right? While you were in your hyperbaric sleep chamber. It's already Project 2025. Yeah. No. Project 2025. Yes, please. And then, do we have this ready to go? Can you have it on screen? We want him to look at... There's two pictures he has to identify. All right. Let me see. All right. At the bottom, can you tell what that is on the bottom left there? Is this an eye test or a dementia test? It's a dementia test. It looks like a wreath.

Okay, good enough. What's the other thing? A volcano. All right. I mean, you're doing okay. Question three. How are a watch and a ruler similar? They both have numbers. Anything else? They measure. Yeah, I guess they measure. There you go. Anything else? They're both nouns. They have 12. 12. Yeah, I guess they both have 12s on them. Yeah, okay. All right, all right. How many nickels are in 60 cents? Nickels are in 12.

I didn't say nickels in 12. He's got dementia, everybody. He's losing it. How many nickels in 60 cents? Yes. That would be 60. Oh, he answered it. He said 12. I said 12. No, you said in 12. You said in 12. You were totally discombobulated, Charlie. He's completely dementia addled. Guys, we need to invoke the 25th Amendment at turning point. There is no 25th Amendment. I thought I answered it right, didn't I?

You are buying $13.45 of groceries. How much change would you receive for a $20 bill? For a $20 bill? Yeah. I would receive $6.55. Oh, that's pretty good. You got that one on your first try. Yeah, I don't... Keep going. Boomers can't do that. All right. Boomers can't do that, you said?

Zoomers. Oh, yeah. You're right. No, no. I grew up with that. Yeah. Name 12 animals. I have to do this now? Yes. Cat, dog, cow, platypus, salmon, tuna, mackerel, sardine, eagle, turkey, lion, tiger. Is that 12? That's 12. Okay. I think only four of them were things that you don't currently eat, but...

You know, close enough. I was thinking it would be fun to ask him. So, okay, I'll stop quizzing you all the time. No, I think it's hilarious. But one of the things that I actually do do... I don't have dementia. Well, I mean, you did fuzz with the Nichols thing a bit there. I did good on the Nichols thing. Okay. He's losing his...

So, Charlie, real quick, the ABC was Lloyd Doggett from Texas. He was already he had already declared that he was he was calling for Joe Biden to step down. So he wasn't a new. That was your dementia talking. Secondly, the war room, actually. So I'll do my best. So the other thing is that Peter Doocy, quote unquote, did what he had to do tonight.

You're telling me for the first time. When he leans in. I'm so quiet. There's a blue anon. I want me to have a fair shot. There's a blue anon conspiracy theory that they're intentionally sabotaging. Yeah, tell us about that. Yeah, so after he did the interview with Stephanopoulos, you know, his audio was very soft and it was like very crackly because he was very weak.

And this guy did an analysis where he says that they intentionally sabotaged Biden's audio so it would sound even worse. It was too raspy to make it sound really bad. And they're all doing this because it's part of the plot to bring Biden down. And what's funny is I can't even – it did sound bad. And for all I know, it could have sounded better. But I feel like the Occam's Razors, they probably just have incompetent sound engineers. All right. Keep the dementia test up. Here's one of the best parts is question six on the dementia test is –

At the bottom of the last page in the blank provided, write, I am done.

And then what happens is you get to question 12 in it, and it says, have you finished? And you're supposed to remember to write, I am done there at the bottom of the test. At the bottom of the test. Yeah, at the bottom of the test, because otherwise you'll write yes or whatever. But they can forget by the time they finished it. But isn't the telltale one the clock? Yeah, that's one of the ones in here. So problem eight, the drawing test, I don't know if you want to do it, is draw a large face of a clock and place the 12 numbers in it.

Is this number eight? Yes, this is question eight on the test. And so draw the face of a clock, put the numbers in it, and have it be five minutes after 11 o'clock as the time. All right, this is very hard. This is actually, I do not think, I think that every Gen Zer has dementia. They certainly act like it a lot of the time. What time do I have to say? Five minutes after 11 o'clock.

Okay, let me think about this. It's how they phrase it. It's been a while since I've actually looked at analog, so... I think that's pretty good. What do you think, Blake? All right, let's see...

Okay, you also, seven and eight are getting a little adventurous there. It is not an art contest, okay? It says on your clock, label L for the long hand and S for the short hand. You can tell which one is which. You have to label them. It says in the quiz. Are you kidding me? Charlie's going to be at his next speech and be like, I aced the cognitive test. Oh, I will. I aced it. What do you think?

All right. Okay. Not bad, right? That's all right. That's all right. You did it better than Biden could. Now, another test. Show it to the camera. Another test. No, it's pretty good. I did it.

So we did a hard mode one before we came out here. Apparently another test that's not on this one, but a common one. We saw one was naming types of fruits or vegetables or naming things that all start with the same letter, like a bunch of words that start with the letter P. You want me to do that now? If you want. Can you name things that start with the letter P? President. Anything besides platypi? President. Pencil. Pen. Pen.

There's plenty of other words that start with P. Oh! Okay, all right! I'm right here, Charlie! I'm right here! Okay. Posobic. Picture. Hey! Posobic. There's plenty of other words. Yeah, and so what we thought would be a fun one is... I might have dementia, you never know. You draw a clock, and at each hour point on the clock, you have to draw a fruit that starts with the letter P. That's part of the test? No, it's a new test we created just for you. Plum pomegranate? Yeah.

There are 12 fruits that start with T. Passion fruit? Papaya? Papaya? There you go. Papaya is a good one. Yeah, there you go. I say pickle counts. Pickle counts as a fruit? Peach? I'm going to give it to you because you need 12. Boy, this is tough.

Could you name 12 fruits to start with a P? Oh, let me think. Could I actually get to 12? Let me think. Plum. I don't think there's 12. Pear. Papaya. I said pomegranate. Plantain. Oh, plantain. Pomegranate. Persimmon. Persimmon? Yeah. Persimmon's a real... They did this to me. That is a real fruit. Look it up. That's what they call the UK. Everyone just calls me a liar here. Prickly pear. They sold it. I went to the Grand Canyon. They were selling it. Pear is a good one. That's right. And prickly pear is a thing too. Yeah.

So is this an IQ test or a cognitive test? Yes. Yes. What's the other questions? Let's see. Can you draw a cube? Boy, not really, but I could try. Jeez, I might have dementia. Ooh, okay. I am very much impaired with my artistic abilities or lack thereof.

boy there's an example of a cube right there that's still a cube you just need to copy it you know it's pretty rough but it's i did it from memory that is a high that is a very ugly cube i feel like that's like a what's the guy who did all this uh the dutch guy who did all the optical illusions or whatever with the water this is the worst cube in the history of cubes but it's still a cube it's like an mc escher yeah but

But it is like an Escher cube. You know, I screwed up the length on one of these. That's what I did. This is a collapsing cube. If Joe Biden's brain was a cube, it would be that one. If it's art, I'm not there. All right. So I'm maybe on dementia. What else you got? They have all these like picture based ones that would be hard to do off of here.

What is one that Trump could ask in a debate to expose he has dementia? Honestly, asking him to draw the clock could be a fun one. Put him on the spot. I brought a pen. They can't do it? I mean, he probably could in a no-holds-barred debate, but probably not in a structured debate. I think that 12 things with the same letter would be hard for him. Name 12 words that start with the letter, you know, W.

He'd get stuck. Or ask him that change question. It's like, if I bought something for $13.45, how much change would you have to give me for a 20? Or they do seven random words in a row and ask him to repeat them. Yeah, yeah. Like wall, mic, computer, glass, or whatever. Yeah. That's another one. So what's the verdict? I don't have dementia. I'm still worried about... This cube is a real problem. The cube's a problem. No, see, Charlie, you're like a...

You're like a, you're like a reverse splits guy. You're like, if you'd give Charlie something impossible to do, he'll ace it. If you give something easy to do, he'll make it look hard. And that's, that's just Charlie. I've known you a long time. And that's basically really true. The harder it is, the more you excel, the easier it is. You know, you're like, you're like those teams that play up to their opponent. The more challenged I am. Yep. Someone mentions a good one is ask him to recite the months backwards.

The months backwards? Yeah. Or have them do the alphabet backwards. December, November, October, September, August, July, June, May, April, March, February, January. Yeah. That could be a tough one. I think a better one, alphabet backwards, because that trips up a lot. I can't do that. C-Y-X-W-B-U-T-S-R-Q-M-L-K-J-I-H-G-F-E-D-C-B-A. Yeah.

You practice that. So here's kind of the consensus here. Um,

Let's go to vice president because I think it's important and it's kind of tied into this. I feel like if Trump could ask him, he might literally be asking someone right now, can I delay this choice until after the RNC? Because he's like playing chicken with the Democrats and he doesn't want to pick it till after they've...

So there the betting odds think J.D.'s the favorite and it seems like it's J.D. Burgum or Rubio. There was a clip on Fox News of Karl Rove and Mark Thiessen going after J.D. Vance. And I want us to defend J.D. Vance. Mark Thiessen came out and said, oh, J.D. Vance has Rust Belt appeal. He only won his Senate race by six points.

But Mike DeWine won by 20 plus points. I want to address this if somebody can find this clip of him. And also Karl Rove came in and was basically like, yeah, Mitch McConnell bailed out J.D. Vance and he shouldn't have done that. I actually have it right here. And let me just first address this, that Mike DeWine was running against a fake candidate where J.D. Vance was up against one of the best funded, most popular Democrats in Ohio, Tim Ryan, and still beat him by six points. Right, Blake? Yeah.

So it seems as if the establishment Republicans are doing everything they can to stop J.D. Vance right now. For sure, for sure. I think Vance is definitely...

a VP who would be able to, like, he's viable as a way to continue Trump's legacy afterwards. It would really show that MAGA as an ideology is here to stay. Whereas I think they'd believe if they could get a very establishment VP in, well, if something happens to Trump, then, oh, we've got our guy there. But it also, it means there's no obvious successor to Trump after his term is up. Or if there is, it'll be this establishment guy and they can try to pivot the whole party back.

I think they see a lot of opportunity if they can get their guy in as Trump's second in command. Jack, how are you thinking about this Veep Stakes? Some people thought it was going to be Saturday. I think that's increasingly less likely, to be honest. It looks like it's going to be in the convention, during the convention. Your thoughts, Jack?

well trump actually said that himself i forget which interview it was um but it was one of those calling interviews recently this week he's done a lot of them and he said specifically that he wanted to be able to do the naming during the convention as well i i think he should i think that's the traditional way to do it the the

really traditional way to do it, by the way, where you build up the suspense, you make it more of a show. You know, you have, it's like giving the rose out on The Bachelor, that kind of thing. And we know that Trump is a showman. This is the kind of thing he likes. And the ratings will be great. Yes, I do.

and the increase of the ratings, et cetera. It gives that level of hype. And plus, by the way, look, we know the RNC is coming up. They're not gonna reschedule it at this point or anything like that. So it keeps the focus on Biden for as long as possible. And then it brings it in. I do, by the way, agree with the analysis

that the question is, do we go down an establishment road or we go down a MAGA road? And it really does seem, and you can see poll after poll show that the grassroots are with JD because they view him as someone who really has that MAGA mantle. I was with him at NatCon when he gave the speech last night and was just full on America first, just full on America first policies and articulated in a way that you would never hear from anyone prior to this generation who's been in politics.

I want to go to two things. I want to get CNN's first reaction after the press conference, but I want to close this Veep thing. This is Karl Rove going all in for Doug Burgum. Play cut 132. Save Pennsylvania? I don't think so. OK, Karl, before we go to your Democrat friends on this panel, I want to give the remaining Republican conservative a chance to weigh in here. What do you think he does? What should he do?

Well, it was actually $35 million that was spent on behalf of J.D. Nance. I stand corrected. And Mark is absolutely right. Absolutely right. Look, and I'm with Josh on this, though. Of the three that names have mentioned, Doug Burgum is not only the safe pick, but also gives him some advantage in that he's got a successful governor who's the governor of the second largest energy-producing state in the union. And if you want to make energy an issue in the campaign, who better than that?

But I'm with Josh. I think we've got to think about Donald Trump as not just simply the former president and potentially future president of the United States, but the executive producer of The Apprentice. And there may be a couple of twists and turns before this thing is all done. All right, Juan, who scares you the most as a Democrat? I think Rubio.

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Get liverhelp.com slash Kirk now to claim your exclusive gift and take a proactive step towards a healthier, more vibrant you. That is get liverhelp.com slash Kirk. Okay, this is CNN's first reaction after the press conference. Let's play cut 133. Did the president put concerns about his candidacy to rest tonight enough?

Well, certainly not. I mean, he obviously was up there for nearly an hour and was able to speak on a variety of topics. But he spoke in sort of the way we've come accustomed to hearing Joe Biden. Certainly nothing that resembled what occurred on the debate stage, but obviously still at times rambling, at times mixing up words. That last question you heard about at the very top of the presser mixing up saying Vice President Trump instead of Vice President Harris.

And then 134. I think he definitely bought himself some more time tonight. But I'm not sure that the bleeding will stop. What I'm hearing from members on the Hill is that there's deep frustration with how the president and his team have handled this situation. You know,

And breaking news, Jim Himes, top Democrat on the House Intelligence Committee, calls on Joe Biden to step away from the campaign. He tweeted, Joe Biden's record of public service is unrivaled. His accomplishments are immense. His legacy as a great president is secure. He must not risk that legacy, those accomplishments, and American democracy.

So I want to just make, I have a theory here that I want to make sure is said, which is that I believe that Pelosi is slow dripping these and that it's going to, there's going to be a cascade this weekend. If Pelosi is Pelosi and Obama are very close, uh,

Andrew, I'd love your thoughts on this. CNN is operating like the Obama network. MSNBC and Morning Joe is like the Biden network. CNN is all in as if they're doing the Obama bidding. Think about it. They have Axelrod. They got John King. All of the Obama alumni are housed at CNN. MSNBC is a different era, more radical. CNN is more transactional party politics. They want Biden out. CNN is still calling for removal. And I'm watching all the headlines right now.

CBS, ABC, they are back into doubt swirl as top Democrats call for Biden. The headlines right now are about the chairman of the intelligence committee. You're trying to tell me the chairman of the intelligence committee would do that without approval of Nancy Pelosi?

Yeah, I think your your read is is spot on. I mean, we have I think that makes 16 House Dems that are now openly calling for Joe Biden to step down. And I have noticed that disparity as well. It does seem like, you know, as much as we talk about the power centers within the Democrat Party being, you know,

Pelosi, Schumer, you know, Schumer quietly leaked this week that he's willing to dump Joe Biden. And that that got leaked to The New York Times. I would say I would say MSNBC morning, Joe, definitely feels more like they're on Team Biden. You've seen Nancy Pelosi go on MSNBC in the past and get very testy with some of their anchors. So I think your read there is probably spot on. There isn't there's this other, you know,

Insight here from Charles Gasparino. He said, breaking an alternative view from a CEO who knows Joe Biden well, says no effing way he's dropping out. Here's his take. Joe Biden couldn't care less what the elite in his party think.

what the elite fundraisers think or anyone else. He really does hate them. He'll take their money, but he knows they'll look down on him as some rube. Plus, he thinks he's earned the presidency after so many times. And there's no way he's giving it up now to go down in history as a loser who dropped out because he isn't tough enough. He only cares what his wife and family about his wife and his family. And he will tell everyone else to F off.

Here's my theory about what's going on with Obama based on the CNN article. I think that's really smart, Andrew, is that I think that Obama and Pelosi have developed a plan and we're living through it right now, which is Obama probably told Nancy, look, Nancy, Joe's not going to listen to me unless there's the conditions around it. So we've got to start to deploy some of the...

Members of the House. So it's easier for me. What I'm saying, Blake, is that I think Obama and Pelosi have developed a plan. Create all of the circum... the chatter, and Obama goes in for the metaphorical kill. What do you think? You know, another interesting part, though, that is in the same CNN article that just was published a few minutes ago, and it says, let's see...

Obama has been fielding more calls than he's making, people who have spoken to him say, when he does talk to anxious Democrat donors and officials, he's been listening more than talking, carefully avoiding taking positions that he assumes would quickly leak. What I think is funny there is I think a lot of Democrats naturally feel Obama should be leading them. And so they're all calling him and they're asking what to do.

And Biden isn't, and Obama isn't saying anything. He's not really doing anything. And so I do wonder, maybe it'll just turn out that Obama didn't actually do anything and people are just attributing it to him. Clooney calls him because he's his friend and he's saying, oh yeah, Obama, I'm writing this op-ed. And he's like, yeah, Clooney, that's, that's crazy what you're doing. Oh, he won't say it that way. But yeah,

They no one really says, oh, Clooney ordered this or Obama ordered the op ed or wrote the op ed for Clooney or even was the source. They just sort of said he talked to him about it. And that's what they're saying here. Everyone just calls him. So so my thing, Charlie, and, you know, Obama probably better than anybody on this on this panel right now. But I mean, Obama, to me, is not the guy that wants to get his hands dirty.

Right. I mean, and he's very, very savvy when it comes to the media. So I think he's going to exert a soft pressure campaign, but he's going to let the chips fall where they, where they will. I mean, I think that I,

it's very clear that Obama harbors those concerns. He did issue that one tweet saying, hey, we've all had bad nights or whatever. He's basically been quiet since then. And I just don't think he's going to want to get his hands dirty or want any fingerprints back to him. But I do believe that him and Pelosi are both, and Schumer, are all three sort of working and pushing to

to exert as much force as they can possible. But ultimately, I think they don't want it. They don't want to injure him so badly that if he does white knuckle this thing and hold on, that there's zero chance that he could win. I think we might be close to there or already there. But, you know, they've got a hell of a machine and Biden knows it. And he's got all these illegals and he's going to veto the save act. So who the heck knows? But at the end of the day, they're trying to injure him, not mortally wound him.

Here is Rachel Maddow. They got her to work on a Thursday, which is rare, next to her twin, Chris Hayes. Play cut 135. I think that what Nicole points out about the reality about polling numbers for incumbent presidents and the...

the real history of that versus what president Biden said, which was not actually factually accurate. As far as I can tell, that's worrying because it makes me worry that the president is being given information about his political standing. That may not be based in reality. That may be sunnier than is real. Rachel Maddow being the voice of reason in the room, Blake.

Man, apparently ABC is now saying Democrats told them they were hoping Biden would screw up. No, that's what I'm saying, is that they were cheering for it. They were cheering for it. And probably on the flip side, Trump was probably like, go on, Joe, hold on. And that would make sense. He is his vice president after all. I will close with this and you guys can keep going for a second here. And I want to just play through this. And Blake, it was your idea that I took and I built out on the show. And Andrew, you thought it was smart. If they really want to get rid of Biden, you peel off a White House aide.

offer them a book deal, get them a primetime interview, and they go into great detail

of he doesn't know where he is. He doesn't have any capacity to lead as brutal as possible. This thing is over. There's so much money in Democrat politics and the stakes are so high. It kind of blows my mind that that just doesn't happen. Someone says we're passing the hat around. Everyone puts in 50K and we find the first Oval Office aide that we can who will tell. And it doesn't even need to really be a lie. It sounds like this is all true. So you just need to get them to say it on camera.

Instead of being some stupid leak that's in. Andrew, what I'm saying, though, is that they have not deployed everything at their disposal yet. No, not I don't think so at all. I think I think you're right. I think what I'm curious to see, you know, we keep saying the RNC is going to suck all the media oxygen out of the room.

I'm starting to just kind of ponder, what if that's exactly what they want? They want a quiet week to really dig in behind the scenes. That's smart. So that every move they make doesn't have to be amplified a hundredfold. I mean, everything they've done, even this big boy press conference, it's like they're building up the expectations so high that...

that Joe Biden can't do anything but fail to meet those expectations because everybody's hanging on every word, right? So I think maybe next week could be a reprieve from this media scrutiny. They focus on the RNC. They get behind the scenes where they're really good operators. I mean, if you want to see a backroom dealing movement, I mean, just look at the Democrats. This is what they do, right? So they're going to hatch some plan, exert some force. And then, like I said...

That the RNC ends on the 19th. They've got the 20th and the 20th and the 21st, I think, to get it done before that roll call. I mean, it's possible this could be actually an opportunity for them. I got to dash. You guys can keep going and keep the thought crimes going. I will hand it off to Blake. Oh, boy. Comes over to me. Do we that's it? Do we have that much else we want to say, guys? It's like I've got one thought that I do when I say and it's it's that look, I'm

The debate audience is a singular different thing in all of politics than anything else we cover. So the people who listen to Thought Crime every week and watch Charlie and watch my show and watch War Room and Tucker and all this stuff, we're in the day-to-day politics business. We're the news junkies. We're in that. And so the press conference is different.

by its own inherent nature, only going to be speaking to those type of people. The debate is something completely different. I mean, I think we saw when producer Angelo had the numbers earlier, there's something like 50 million people watch that. You can't unring that bell.

I saw a Democrat said earlier today that it doesn't matter if Biden goes up there and starts doing pushups on the stage. It's not going to change the fact that people saw what happened on that debate stage. So you can prove that, okay, maybe he doesn't always have a bad night. And every once in a while, he can kind of get through some things.

But what happens when he does? And the simple fact of the matter is that people don't pay attention to politics in this country, certainly not as much as they were in the past. And they saw the debate. That was the first impression. It's very, very hard to undo that. And so while tonight, yeah, I think I agree with the one CNN correspondent who said that this bought him some time, certainly with his own situation. But it doesn't fundamentally change the conversation and it's not going to.

Yeah, basically, I agree. I think they don't have an obvious or easy way out of the jam they've gotten themselves into. And I think if they're not able to convince Biden to gracefully step aside, and they need to realize that quick, they need to realize all they can actually do is they have to start lobbying members of the cabinet, and they have to basically say, you need to

force Biden's hand more directly. Because I think if you get to the point where you don't even necessarily need to do it, where you just have it being talked about that the cabinet could actually do this, or maybe even some specific members of the cabinet come out and say they're willing to do this. I think at that point he probably does have to go, but

it would be a very tough spot for them to get in. And you'd basically be doing a coup d'etat against your own party, your own president and your party's own democratically chosen nominee. It's, it's not a good spot to be in, but I do think it's very funny that it's happening to the party that won't shut up about defending democracy, that they're, they're trying to find the best possible way they can to make it. So they have no primary process. Their party leader is chosen by a completely opaque process. There's been talks about having a secret ballot with the, uh,

delegates to their convention. So that would mean the nominee would be chosen by people who you would not even know who they voted for. So you wouldn't have any idea who was responsible for picking the nominee. It truly is richly deserved that Democrats would get themselves in this stupid disaster of a position. Here's a question. Oh, go ahead. Go ahead, Andrew. Well, I just think that you have to look at this with an understanding of personal incentive structure.

So what on the one hand, you have George Clooney who let them all hang out there, wrote an op ed, put his name on it. That was like the shot heard around the world.

most people and there's 15 house democrats certainly that are in these swing districts that are trying to distance themselves from joe biden because now the house has gone uh plus generic ballot plus two plus three republican right so that all makes sense personal incentive structure but when you look at like an aid inside biden's white house that would have to take a risk to do this and biden ultimately holds a lot of the cards here it doesn't back out

if you're outed, your career could be over. You could be, you know, a pariah. You could never work in, in town again. Same for a lot of these power players behind the scenes. They have a personal incentive to not, not push too hard because Biden's probably going to stick around. Right. What happens then? Uh,

So you have to understand the amount of risk that these people are taking. In other words, a lot of them are cowards and they're not going to just say what they want to say. That's why I appreciate what Senator Bennett out of Colorado did. He said, yeah, I said that behind closed doors. You guys leaked it. I'm going to own it on CNN. All right. Fair enough. That that takes a little bit of courage, some integrity. Most people do not have that kind of courage.

I think that's just an absolute fact of life, and especially so when you're talking about high stakes D.C. politics on the Democrat side. So I just don't think that the incentive structure is there for a lot of these people to take that big of a risk because they don't know what's going to happen and they know how stubborn Biden is. It's unreal to me how

How hard they're fighting through this. Like, I think Biden's team, whoever's most loyal to Biden appears to be his 23 year old social media interns because they're trying to tweet their way through this mess. So a few minutes ago, Biden actually tweeted about the vice president Trump thing because Donald Trump said on Truth Social, he did a thing. Crooked Joe begins his big boy press conference with.

with, I wouldn't have picked Vice President Trump to be Vice President. Great job, Joe. And then Joe Biden's official account tweets back, yes, I know the difference. One's a prosecutor and the other's a felon. Now, I don't know why Biden would just attack his own vice president that way, but I guess he's really living on the edge right now. They're taking a new approach. You can see that. They're trying to be more aggressive. This is something that I want to say to the people out there who are like,

Thinking that, you know, the people who always say that, OK, the election's a loser, you know, the election is going to be stolen. It's totally rigged.

And just guys, would they be going through on their own side all of this? Would they be forcing themselves to do all of this? Would they be putting themselves through such a humiliating ritual, seeing the media completely do the 180 that we've all seen, seeing as whoever is giving the orders? Look, I said on this show, what, two weeks ago now that Obama flipped the kill switch at

But, you know, that seems to be what's happening. But they wouldn't have done all of that and they wouldn't be doing all of this if the election were a fait accompli because they have some sort of, quote unquote, secret mechanism to swing the election in their favor. Whatever they're able to do in terms of ballots, it's not enough to overcome the gap of the collapse of Joe Biden that we've seen. So that means that guess what, boys and girls, this election actually is complete.

a jump ball. It actually is something that you can fight for. And it actually is something that is winnable for the other side. That's why they're freaking out right now. Should we close it out with image number 138? Do it. Put it up. There we go. Nice to meet you, President Putin. There it is. Nice to meet you, Vice President Trump.

It's a brave new world we live in, guys. Reality is being rewritten as we speak. I don't know who will be the vice president tomorrow. I don't know who will be the president of Ukraine tomorrow. It seems to be changing by the moment. It's basically President Biden's world. And he just, he remakes it according to his increasingly melted down brain's will. I think we need to, everybody needs to leave here with a prediction. I predict he stays. I predict Biden is the nominee.

Blake? I think he will fight on, but I do think...

By the end of July, I think Biden will be out either directly or he will have announced that he will be departing at some point in the near future. I think he stays unless there is a major health incident. I don't think the shaming is going to do anything. I don't think the drying up with donations is going to do anything. I think it's going to be a major health incident that requires him to step down in any way. If so, if so, they would hold it for the announcement at

the convention. Okay. Actually, I think so. Everybody's hedging. I just called it straight up, but that's fine, guys. Let's play. This is an interesting clip that we just got. This is Secretaries Blinken, Austin, and National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan when President Biden said Vice President Trump. This is a candid look at them reacting. Play cut. I guess that you guys know what cut it is. It's 139.

I wouldn't have picked Vice President Trump to be vice president, but I think she's not qualified to be president. So let's start there. Number one, the fact is that the consideration is... It's Jake Sullivan just with the hand on his mouth. Painful. Yeah, and you can see, by the way, that...

Keep in mind, these are the guys that and Politico says, by the way, it's a conspiracy that me and Sean Hannity and Stephen Miller have cooked up. It's a conspiracy that that Joe Biden's age was kept from everybody. Yeah, no, it was a conspiracy. Actually, it was a conspiracy by the people that you're sitting you're sitting looking at in the front row right there. It's a conspiracy by people who are in the media to not tell people what this was like. People who spend time with them.

We've all seen the things publicly, so we know that in private it must be 10 times worse. And by the way, it's not us saying that. You can read the Wall Street Journal or the New York Times or Axios or any of these mainstream politicos, got a ton of pieces on this, of these publications who admit it, George Clooney, who admit it over and over and over. Our point is you knew and you said nothing. That was the conspiracy of silence that went down here. And so, you know, I really do think that...

The big spin on this is, and no one's really talking about it tonight because we're talking more about the press conference. He was talking about national security issues. But at the same time, we also know that this is the guy who's ostensibly in control of America's foreign policy, America's nuclear arsenal, America's national security. And we don't even know if this is the guy who's actually making the decisions. So I appreciate that Comer's actually starting to subpoena people on this. And I think it's really something...

that the House GOP should get involved in. What's actually going on inside the White House? What's actually going on within the cabinet? Who's making the decisions? Who's calling the shots? And I think Ben Shapiro, you know, or somebody made the joke earlier, you know, who should we ask? Should we ask Jill? I know it was, excuse me, I'm getting my clips mixed up. That was Peter Doocy who asked that, you know, who should we ask? Should we ask Jill? I would really like to know the answer to that question.

I don't think anybody knows. I mean, it's his inner circle, right? So we've got Jill Hunter is essentially acting as a as a chief of staff right now. Reports have been suggesting. I don't know how real that is. Maybe it's what you think. Do you think that we should say nothing or that House Republicans should actually go on offense and try to like try to really pin this down?

I tend to think that right now you hold your fire mostly. You sort of let it play out because it's painful enough to watch. Never interrupt your opponent while he's making a mistake. They attribute that to Napoleon. I don't think he actually said it, but it's a good idea regardless.

I think it makes sense if it's not coming from Trump, because then you just give them more opportunities that they have to lie. So you get them in front of a camera. Don't do the staff depositions. Don't have Trump be involved, right? Make it Comer, make it the weaponization committee, make it one of these things to go in and actually start getting... Then they've already brought up, I think, three...

uh, officials from Jill Biden's office that are going to be going in. I, I, I just want to see a steady stream of like we're saying opportunities for people from the white house to explain to folks what's going on inside. That's all it is. Yeah. I mean, keeping them on the back foot, there's an argument, argument to be made there and not coming from Trump. I think that makes it better. Um, but you gotta play your, just let them continue to implode. Let that, let the drama play out. Cause it's all crazy. It's all crazy. None of it's good.

And seeing, you know, you got to imagine, Jack, if Trump had just a split press, 50-50, right? And sure, alternative media and alternate channels have emerged and they're more powerful than they were, you know, four and certainly eight years ago. But if Trump had just a little bit of honest media attention.

I would assume his numbers would be five points higher, you know, in each election cycle. Right. But he was constantly, especially in 2020. I mean, it was just like 95 five. There was that Harvard analysis about the press coverage of Donald Trump. And it was 95 percent negative, 5 percent positive. So, you know, when you have this this glaring onslaught of negative attention just beaming down on the Biden campaign and the Democrat machine at large, you

I mean, you're talking about like three to probably seven points, somewhere in between there, that this is going to drive down everything across the board for the Democrats. And I just – I would say, yes, keep them on their back foot. Keep raising questions they need to answer, but don't turn it up to a 10. I would say turn it up to a five or six. Force questions in awkward press conferences.

Leave it at that. And that's why I mean, I sort of sympathize with Trump wanting to potentially delay his VP announcement because that's going to be a positive swing. It's going to be it's going to be a nice beam of attention and also wanting to wait to see what happens here because they're they're destroying themselves in real time. None of us have ever seen anything like this. I think that's that's safe to say. Amen. Blake, final thoughts.

I look forward to see how this ends because, yeah, we've never seen anything like it. And it's the addictive part of politics. It's that real feeling that anything could happen. And it's all very entertaining. And the best part is it is almost entirely bad for people I dislike. And so the stakes are low because almost regardless of what happens, people I dislike will be really unhappy. So as a future president once said, I like to see bad people fail.

I like to see bad people fail a once and future president. Folks, thank you so much for watching Thought Crime this week. Make sure you're following, you're subscribing on all the podcasts. And remember, as always, go out there and commit more thought crimes. Thanks so much for listening, everybody. Email us as always, freedom at charliekirk.com. Thanks so much for listening and God bless. For more on many of these stories and news you can trust, go to charliekirk.com.