cover of episode James Carville and Michael Weiss: The Whole Country Could Go Under

James Carville and Michael Weiss: The Whole Country Could Go Under

2025/3/4
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James Carville
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Michael Weiss
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Tim Miller
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James Carville: 我认为特朗普的政策正在导致经济崩溃，并且比我预期的要快。民主党需要制定一个长期计划来应对危机，而不是盲目行动。我们应该采取‘战术暂停’策略，而不是立即反击，这类似于穆罕默德·阿里在拳击比赛中的‘绳索策略’。虽然民主党选民可能会对不采取行动感到不满，但我相信众议院领导层已经制定了一个应对债务上限的计划，我正在努力为他们提供掩护。当前的经济和政治局势非常脆弱，特朗普的关税政策和对墨西哥的贸易战可能会导致经济崩溃。 Tim Miller: 特朗普的政策导致市场负面反应，欧洲局势混乱。特朗普暂停对乌克兰的军事援助，并可能对俄罗斯采取制裁放松措施。这可能导致经济崩溃，以及乌克兰战争的进一步恶化。 Michael Weiss: J.D. Vance对英国和法国的侮辱性言论激怒了欧洲，特朗普政府对德国的干预也被视为与俄罗斯的行为类似。特朗普的情绪化行为可能导致他在乌克兰问题上做出错误的决策。如果欧洲和西方联盟保持团结，他们有能力拒绝美国和俄罗斯强加的‘和平’协议。欧洲有足够的经济实力来支持乌克兰，关键是他们的意愿。乌克兰的军事装备有40%来自国内，30%来自美国，30%来自欧洲，即使美国切断援助，乌克兰也不会立即崩溃。美国在俄罗斯网络攻击面前选择不作为，可能导致严重的后果。

Deep Dive

Chapters
James Carville discusses the current state of the Democratic Party, the impact of Trump's policies, and the strategic approach Democrats should take amidst political turmoil and economic instability.
  • Carville believes Trump's actions are leading to an economic and political collapse.
  • He suggests Democrats should adopt a tactical pause, similar to Muhammad Ali's rope-a-dope strategy.
  • The Democratic Party is perceived to be in decline, and Carville emphasizes the need for a long-term strategic plan.
  • The concept of 'tactical pause' involves waiting for the right moment to strike rather than rushing into action.
  • Carville expresses concerns about the Democrats' ability to unify and handle the debt ceiling crisis.

Shownotes Transcript

Trump is anti-American and seems to hate this country: How else can his behavior be explained? The tariffs, the austerity, the threat of a default, along with the corruption and grift— it feels like we're at the beginning stage of something that could go very, very bad. Meanwhile, Trump may not have the cards himself on Ukraine. Europe and the rest of the West have the economic might to continue to back Ukraine. And if that coalition maintains a united front, it would have the power to reject a 'peace' deal imposed by the US and Russia. 

James Carville and Michael Weiss join Tim Miller. *show notes *

- Carville's NYT piece on his advice to the Dems (gifted) )

- Michael's piece on Europe backing Ukraine alone )

- A Cybertruck getting pelted at the Orpheus parade in NOLA Monday night )