cover of episode Financial New Year’s Resolutions That Work with Peter Mallouk (CEO of Creative Planning)

Financial New Year’s Resolutions That Work with Peter Mallouk (CEO of Creative Planning)

2024/12/30
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Money Rehab with Nicole Lapin

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Nicole Lappin
一位致力于财务教育和媒体的专家,通过多种平台帮助人们提高财务素养。
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Peter Mallouk
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Peter Mallouk: 新年财务计划成功的关键在于持续性和坚持,而非仅仅依靠动力。自动化储蓄能够帮助你养成良好的储蓄习惯,并提高成功概率。设定可实现的短期目标(桥梁目标),逐步实现最终的长期财务目标,切忌好高骛远。 要避免市场择时,因为预测市场高点和低点通常会导致投资失败。市场具有长期上涨趋势,频繁买卖股票会降低投资回报。与其试图把握市场时机,不如长期持有投资。 积极交易通常会导致投资回报降低,因为专业交易员也常常无法战胜市场。投资者应该长期持有资产,而交易员则频繁买卖股票,这通常会导致更高的税收和更低的投资回报。交易应该限制在再平衡投资组合或应对个人财务状况重大变化的情况下。 投资者应该关注风险而非波动性,并理解不同指标的含义。风险与波动性不同,市场波动是正常的,而风险是潜在的损失。投资者应该将自己的投资回报与相关的指数进行比较,以衡量投资绩效。 行为偏差会导致投资者做出情绪化的投资决策,制定投资政策声明有助于避免这种情况。制定投资政策声明,明确投资目标、资产配置和储蓄计划,有助于避免情绪化投资决策。近期偏差、确认偏差和禀赋效应是常见的行为偏差,投资者应该意识到这些偏差并采取措施避免它们。 忽略外部噪音,专注于个人投资目标,是成功的关键。尽管存在经济变化的可能性,但投资者应该坚持自己的长期投资计划。税收政策和利率对经济的影响,以及政府削减开支的潜在影响,都应该被纳入考量,但都不应该改变个人投资计划。 当前经济状况对不同人群的影响不同,一部分人受益于通货膨胀,而另一部分人则受到其负面影响。通货膨胀对不同人群的影响不同,拥有股票和房地产的人受益,而低收入者则受到其负面影响。理想的经济状况是温和的通货膨胀,工资增长能够赶上物价上涨。 Nicole Lappin: 长期持有投资比试图把握市场时机更重要。自动化储蓄能够帮助你养成良好的储蓄习惯,并提高成功概率。 意识到并避免行为偏差,例如近期偏差、确认偏差和禀赋效应,对做出理性的投资决策至关重要。 当前经济状况对不同人群的影响不同,一部分人受益于通货膨胀,而另一部分人则受到其负面影响。控制通货膨胀,并使工资增长与物价上涨相匹配,是理想的经济状况。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

What is the key to making financial New Year’s resolutions stick?

The key is consistency and persistence, not just motivation. Automating financial actions, like setting up automatic transfers to an investment account, helps maintain consistency. Inertia plays a powerful role, and automation ensures that financial goals are met without relying on ongoing motivation.

Why is market timing a common mistake among investors?

Market timing is a mistake because it’s nearly impossible to predict market highs and lows accurately. The market has an upward bias over time, and frequent buying and selling often leads to underperformance. Statistically, 80-90% of people who try to time the market lose, making it a poor strategy for long-term success.

What is the difference between trading and investing?

Investing involves buying and holding assets for the long term, while trading involves frequent buying and selling of stocks to make quick profits. Trading often leads to higher taxes, cash drag, and underperformance compared to the market. Long-term investing, on the other hand, leverages compound interest and reduces unnecessary risks.

How can investors avoid behavioral biases in their decision-making?

Investors can avoid behavioral biases by creating an investment policy statement that outlines their goals and strategies. This helps them stick to a plan rather than reacting emotionally to market fluctuations. Awareness of biases like recency bias, confirmation bias, and the endowment effect also helps maintain discipline.

What economic changes should investors prepare for in 2025?

Investors should focus on their personal financial goals rather than external noise like political changes or social media trends. While interest rates are expected to decrease, which is generally good for markets, the federal deficit remains a significant concern. Staying the course and ignoring short-term noise is the best strategy.

Why is inflation a double-edged sword for different groups of people?

Inflation benefits those who own assets like stocks, real estate, or businesses, as these assets increase in value. However, for those who rely solely on paychecks, inflation leads to higher expenses without a proportional increase in income, creating financial strain. This disparity results in a 'vibecession,' where different groups experience the economy differently.

What is the 'Goldilocks outcome' for inflation?

The 'Goldilocks outcome' is when inflation is under control, and wages rise without the prices of goods increasing at the same pace. This balance is ideal for economic stability, as it prevents both excessive inflation and deflation, ensuring sustainable growth.

Chapters
This chapter explores the importance of consistency and persistence in achieving financial goals. It emphasizes the role of automation in maintaining momentum and suggests breaking down large goals into smaller, manageable steps. The concept of reverse engineering goals to determine necessary savings is also discussed.
  • Motivation is important but consistency and persistence are key to success.
  • Automate savings to build consistency.
  • Break down large goals into smaller, more achievable steps.

Shownotes Transcript

Let’s harness the New Year energy and make 2025 a good year for our wealth, shall we? To help you do exactly that, Nicole sits down with Peter Mallouk, CEO of the award-wining wealth management and investment advisory firm Creative Planning. Peter shares what you can do to make your New Year’s resolutions actually stick, and what common investing mistakes we should all leave in 2024.

If you want some help making a strategy for your 2025 financial goals, set-up a free 15-minute consultation with Creative Planning at creativeplanning.com/nicole