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An NBA Fake-Trade Fiesta With Kevin O’Connor

2025/1/23
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The Bill Simmons Podcast

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Bill Simmons: 我认为达拉斯独行侠队现在正处于困境之中,Lively的脚伤和Dončić的伤势让他们雪上加霜。我不信任脚踝伤势的恢复时间表,我认为Lively的缺阵时间可能会超过预期,这将严重影响他们的季后赛前景。即使Lively回归,Dončić的健康状况也是一个巨大的问号。独行侠队已经进行了多次交易,他们的资产也比较有限,这使得他们在交易市场上很难有所作为。他们可能只能在西部第七到第十名的位置徘徊,季后赛之路充满挑战。丹佛掘金队本赛季表现出色,Westbrook和Jokic的合作令人意外,掘金队已经成为西部仅次于雷霆队的顶级竞争者。即使Dončić健康,独行侠队也难以与掘金队抗衡。费城76人队的情况也很糟糕,他们徘徊在放弃赛季和争夺季后赛席位的边缘。如果Embiid健康,他们仍然具有竞争力,但Paul George的状态令人担忧,他的表现下滑严重,甚至没有达到角色球员的水平。76人队需要利用他们手中的四张可交易选秀权,来提升球队的实力,否则他们可能会面临主教练和总经理下课的风险。新奥尔良鹈鹕队的情况很复杂,他们既有天赋,也有糟糕的战绩。他们需要决定是继续努力还是进行重建,并专注于让Zion Williamson恢复健康。洛杉矶湖人队需要提升阵容,但可用的交易选择有限。他们不应该交易Austin Reeves,并且如果得到Zach LaVine,他们仍然无法在西部竞争。湖人队不应该为了保持竞争力而牺牲未来,他们需要认真考虑球队的防守问题。迈阿密热火队与Jimmy Butler的关系非常糟糕,他的交易价值难以评估,他的表现不稳定,受到伤病和纪律问题的影响。 Kevin O'Connor: Lively的伤势解释了独行侠队为何寻求一名中锋,但他们需要考虑选择哪种类型的球员来补充阵容。独行侠队目前的困境很大程度上取决于他们如何填补中锋位置的空缺,仅仅依靠Gafford是不够的。如果俄克拉荷马城雷霆队获得费城76人队的首轮选秀权,这将是对Daryl Morey的报复。费城76人队不能放弃本赛季,因为如果Embiid健康,他们仍然具有竞争力。如果Embiid健康,76人队应该抓住机会争夺季后赛席位,而不是摆烂。如果76人队错过季后赛,那么主教练Nick Nurse或总经理Daryl Morey可能会下课。保罗·乔治的表现下滑严重,他甚至没有达到角色球员的水平。鹈鹕队应该继续努力,除非能得到一个非常好的交易。鹈鹕队应该专注于让Zion Williamson恢复健康,并为夏季的交易做准备。湖人队应该尝试交易来提升阵容,目标是拥有一个强大的首发阵容。湖人队不应该为了保持竞争力而牺牲未来。湖人队本赛季的战绩存在运气成分,他们的防守能力不足。如果太阳队交易得到Jimmy Butler,他们就必须承担他的风险。公牛队不应该交易Zach LaVine,因为他仍然是一名有价值的球员。扎克·拉文是一名有价值的球员,他应该被球队保留。扎克·拉文是一名多才多艺的球员,他的投篮能力和运动能力都很出色。公牛队只有在扎克·拉文存在严重伤病风险的情况下才应该考虑交易他。

Deep Dive

Chapters
The Dallas Mavericks' situation is analyzed following Lively's foot injury. Concerns are raised about their playoff chances and potential trade moves to address the center position.
  • Lively's injury sidelines him for 2-3 months, impacting playoff run.
  • Mavericks' playoff seeding is precarious.
  • Uncertainty about Luka Dončić's return and impact.

Shownotes Transcript

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Coming up, it's fake trade season. Let's go. We're also brought to you by the Ringer Podcast Network. I put up a new Rewatchables on Monday night. We did a Rewatchables mailbag. I had a great time. Thanks to everybody who sent in emails. We came up with new categories, couple theme months, slightly tweaked the structure of the show, had some laughs. It was me and Chris Ryan and producer Craig Horlbeck. If you want to watch that, it is on the Ringer Movies YouTube channel. If you want to watch anything from this podcast, the Bill Simmons YouTube channel, uh,

We did not do a podcast Tuesday night. Making up for it today with a special basketball podcast. Our old friend Kevin O'Connor is coming in. We're going to talk about a bunch of teams that are in trouble. We're going to talk about fake trades. What's realistic? What's not? Where are people like Jimmy Butler going? Could there be a surprise? The trade deadline is February 6th. We're breaking all of it down first. Our friends from Pearl Jam. ♪

All right, we're taping this. It's 4 o'clock Pacific time. There's reasons for that, which I'll get to. But I'm very excited to have Kevin O'Connor here. You might remember him from many, many, many years at The Ringer. He is now at Yahoo. We have not done a podcast during this basketball season. What better time, KOC, than fake trade season for us to reunite?

- Best time of the year, Bill. And I have to say, you know, I called you on the phone when I left for Yahoo, but I have to thank you for everything, you know, over those eight years of the ringer. - Oh, stop, come on. - Publicly, I have to, I have to. - Yeah, we're always good. - Yes, of course. - So, unfortunately, we had to take this a little late on Wednesday, 'cause I was flying back from Boston this morning. And then there was a Wi-Fi issue on the plane,

And I'm like, is this going to work out? Am I going to be able to do a podcast today? The Wi-Fi miraculously came back. And then I was on my iPad for hours making fake trades. And I think a couple of times the lady next to me was like, what's this guy doing? What is this trade machine that he has? But before we do that, a bunch of teams I want to hit, just big picture, that kind of relate to this in some ways. Biggest one, Dallas.

I think Dallas is in real trouble now. This lively injury, it's a foot injury and they're saying out two to three months. And as I've said a million times, I never trust feet injuries. I always feel like they're not being honest about how long the timetable is because I'm not sure they know. And I always go worst case scenario. Three months takes us into the playoffs. It takes us into round one. And on top of it, Lucas hurt. And I just, I thought Dallas was going to be there in the end. This is the first time I got worried.

Yeah, I think with this Lively injury, there's been some trickling out for a few days that like, oh, maybe they're going to go after a center. But I'm like, huh, maybe they want to just have some versatility in the front court. But now that we know about the injury, it completely explains why we're going for a center here. And so my question is, what type of center are they going to go for? Are they going to go for another lob, vertical guy like Lively, like Gafford?

But if you had a third guy like that and then Lively comes back, you can't. Then what's your roster? Yeah, exactly. So I wonder if maybe for them they still go after a pick-and-pop big or a switchable big, somebody like that to give them some frontcourt versatility. But Gafford looked damn good.

and the first half of their game on Sunday. So like Gafford, we know he can step his play up. So I wouldn't say, I don't think I'd go as far as you to say that they're screwed, but it is going to be a lot dependent on what they do to fill that center gap because it can't just be Gafford. That's all they have now. Well, they're screwed in this respect. Right now they're seventh in the West. They're 23 and 20. Doesn't look like Lucas coming back until the all-star break.

There's teams that are just settled in way ahead of them now. The top four, Oklahoma, Houston, Memphis, Denver. I just don't think they're catching any of those teams, especially with the way Denver's playing. So now you're looking at, I don't have home court advantage any round. I don't know when Lively's coming back. They also made a lot of trades already. They don't have like a shitload of assets. You know, they've already made a lot of their moves and they would have to dip into the

Clay, PJ Washington, like that kind of group to improve with their need to improve. So I'm sure their game plan is just going to be, we're probably going to be in that seven to 10 range. Let's hope Lively comes back. Let's hope Luca gets going. We'll be there in the end, but pretty tough, man. If you're in those playing games and then you're on the road every round,

We haven't really seen, we haven't seen a lot of success with that recipe, KOC. I mean, even with a healthy lively, I'm curious, like, do you still view them as like upper tier in the Western Conference, right on the same level as Denver, who's really come along lately? They're like, like,

Russell Westbrook, you've got to give the dude credit. He is playing at the best level that he has in years. Jamal Murray getting along better now. Danny Chow wrote about it for us. It's the most improbable relationship we've had in the NBA this decade. Jokic and Westbrook somehow joining forces in a positive way. I don't understand it.

So it's kind of crazy. Like with Russ, it didn't work with LeBron. It works sometimes with the Clippers, but not all the time. It didn't in one of their playoffs. And not at the end. Yeah. And then with Jokic, it's like you have Jokic after the game talking about like we can read each other's minds.

There is some chemistry that they have. It feels like every other game, once it's Jokic and Westbrook, then it's Jokic and Murray, then it's Jokic and MPJ. It's always a different connection. Their offense, sometimes I felt like it got a bit dry. Sometimes it was always Jokic-Murray end-of-game situations. But there's variety now that makes me think, wait a minute, is Denver actually just the only true contender besides OKC in the Western Conference? Are they actually the team that could take them down? Because I'm not...

I'm not totally sold on Dallas anyway. I think they have too many holes. I'm still worried about Lucas' health. I mean, when you're coming back post-All-Star break with that type of injury, that's the type of thing they can get hurt again. And Kyrie in and out still as well. A lot of questions there with them, even prior to Lively. Yeah, but here's the flip side of this is why it was stupid to give up on Denver a month ago. If you have one of the best six players in the league, you just have to be taken seriously in the playoffs. So the question for me is,

Can he get back to the right shape? When can Lively come back? Can they sneak out? Like if they're playing Houston in round one at two seven, they could beat Houston. I don't know if Houston has another gear, so I'm sure they're not totally panicking yet, but.

It's not great. You know, and you think like Lucas 26 now, they made the finals last year. They really went all in on this season and Oklahoma city kind of took their spot, but yeah, I'm not, I'm not a full level panic. I don't like the fact that they're not going to have home court any round every round. Uh, and I also don't know what the trade move is. So next one is Philly who is borderline shut it down territory, but you also look at the East and it's like, yeah, they could make the playing game. And what if they have those guys in mid April and, uh,

They're all healthy. And I don't really know what the answer is, but the big thing is their first pick is top six protected, which everybody's been talking about all week. And I thought about how OKC gets that pick, right? If it's like seven in a really good draft that I'm sure, I'm sure you've been become fascinated by. This is the Sam Presti revenge on Daryl Morey.

The James Harden trade, 2012, right? And it became this thing that became this curse over OKC. And they never got to the finals. And Darryl kind of made his career in a lot of ways. The flip side of this, OKC gets this pick because Philly has to dump Al Horford, right? And now this pick is paralyzing Philly with their decisions because...

You maybe want to just throw away the season and yet you can if Embiid is going to be healthy in two weeks. So what do you do if you're Philly?

I don't think you can throw away the season. You can't. Like you said, with Embiid, if he's healthy, they've been good after he got back in December. Granted, he's missed a lot of times since then. But if Embiid's healthy, you know you're competitive. The problem is the fact that you get Paul George and you're saying, well, he's just going to be better than Tobias Harris. He's going to be way better than Harris that has been for us. And then he looks like Tobias Harris for you.

And so if Paul George is actually... Is that an insult to Tobias Harris? I'm not sure. Yeah, it is. Because Tobias Harris was very average, below average with the Sixers. And he's been pretty good with the Pistons. No, but I'm saying is, would Tobias Harris listen to this and be like, yo, I've been better than Paul George. At least I played him.

That would be fair if he did say that he's at least been on the court. But with Paul George, he just looks like a complete shell of his former self. So if the Paul George decline is beginning and this isn't just an off year at 35, 36 years old, whatever he is,

You have to take advantage of these years, especially if like Embiid is healthy come April and you sneak in as the seven or the eight seed. You can't waste a year. There's no way they're going to be the seven or the eight seed. They're going to be nine or 10, but they could still sneak in because they'd have to win two playing games. Yeah. That's what I mean. If they win the two playing games and they sneak in in that case and there's the seven or eight, like you gotta, you have to go for that possibility. You can't completely tank out here. But if Embiid doesn't come back, then,

moving up in the lottery is your silver lining here for Philadelphia. But I don't think you can tank for that. It's not worth doing that. You at least have to go for it. Otherwise, it's another year wasted. And for Daryl Morey in the front office as well, and Nick Nurse as head coach, that could mean your job too. If they do miss the playoffs, and if next year they go into things and it's not better, you might not get another job anytime soon. So I don't think they have much of a choice but to go for it now. We have hit fall guy range.

And it's going to be either Nurse or Daryl. And I don't know which one it's going to be, but we're very close at this point. Those guys don't play hard for Nurse at all. No, they don't seem like they... We've seen this happen over the course of the NBA history. Don Nelson was a great coach. He took over the Ewing Knicks at one point in the mid-90s. And I think he lasted like 45 games. It just didn't work. I don't know if it's that bad for them, but...

When you don't have two of your best three guys basically never playing, you know, they had this huge stretch last week. It was like four and five against all good teams. And Embiid missed all the games. And then he met, and then they were like, he's probably out at least another week. If you look at their schedule,

Any game where he would come back, it's a good team. There's always a Boston or a Cleveland. There's somebody on there. I don't think he's going to come back until he's healthy. I don't think he wants to come back at his ass kick. I don't know if you're Nick Nurse, what do you do on that? The Paul George piece is the shocking thing. I guess we should have known. He's been in the league a while that it was possible, but

I don't know. He was always hit or miss, but he hit and he's not hitting anymore. There's it's more misses or I forgot you were out there than hits. Yeah. I mean, at the least, at a minimum, he was a far better spot up shooter than Tobias Harris. Like he was always above 40% from three. Tobias Harris was very streaky and consistent in lower volume. This year, Paul George, only 35% from three has not been a knockdown guy on top of, you know, just.

stinking it up, end of game situations, losing control of the ball in the final minutes of games, real careless turnovers. And the defense is not at a lockdown level for that matter either. So like the things that you thought at a minimum were getting elite defender and knockdown shooter who can sometimes go off, you're not even getting the role player stuff from him right now. And so that's where your Philadelphia

If he's not producing, I don't know if there's an answer for you to solve that at all with this roster. You were banking on Paul George. You waited for him in free agency. That's what the whole plan was, was to go out and get Paul George for seven months. This was the plan. So if he's not working out, nobody's going to take him for that matter. Who do you think is the most relieved? Orlando? The Clippers?

I wonder who else would have been in the mix on that. Well, Golden State was in the mix for Paul George, too. Golden State. Oh, yeah. But at the same time, can you be relieved if you're them, though? You're super average this year. Yeah, you're a 500 team. Yeah. So we agree. Philly needs to use those picks, though. They have four tradable picks. They need to use those, I'd say. Would you use McCain, who's out for the year? I don't know. He looks pretty damn good, Phil.

Long term, McCain-Maxie is your backcourt? Is that a backcourt that makes sense to you from a basketball standpoint? It's too small. Yeah. It's too small. But I think McCain's value would only go up. To me, I mean, I think like everybody talks about Jimmy Butler as a guy to Phoenix and, you know, all these other teams. Nobody ever mentions Philly. What if Philly offered three firsts with Paul George?

to reunite Jimmy Butler with Joel Embiid. Maybe you don't do that if you're Philly. Maybe you keep your tradable picks and go elsewhere, but I'm just throwing the idea out there. And maybe Miami rolls the dice with Paul George as a longer term salary. I have Paul George coming up later when we get to the fake trade section of this podcast because it's a fascinating topic. So we agree, Philly's not shutting it down. They still have a chance to be a nine or a 10 seed.

If they can get all those guys healthy for two months, that's still the plan. And if I'm Daryl Morey, like that's a better chance than keeping my fingers crossed in the lottery. Okay. Next one. New Orleans is in what the fuck land where they suck. But now that all their guys are back, they're actually like pretty solid and really talented. And Trey Murphy's been playing great.

And they might be too talented to be a full tank team. I'll have Brooklyn and teams like that. They have some good trade assets. Ingram as an expiring is hurt right now. Zion year to year. You can get out CJ McCollum overpriced, but reasonable to for somebody who needs a scoring something. And then I guess Murray, that roster doesn't really make sense. I don't even know what the move is. What do they do? What do you do if you're running new Orleans?

I think you just keep it going. Honestly, I wouldn't, I wouldn't necessarily tank it out unless you're getting a really, really good deal from a column. Yeah. Um, I think trading CJ McCollum would definitely be top of my list aside from the obvious. Now he's going to be upset at me again because he thinks I always throw him in trade rumors. But,

I mean, nobody's wanted Ingram for a year and a half. Especially now that he's hurt. Yeah. Yes. Is that going to change in the next three weeks here? With McCollum, at least he has had some banger performances as of late. He's looked healthy. He looks very good for them right now. So maybe you're trading McCollum. The issue is the fact that he's a tough guy to trade at $33 million this year. He's still a smaller guard. So for New Orleans, part of me, Bill, looks at this as...

A year in which your horrible start with Zion missing time keeps you in the lottery. It's going to keep you having good draft odds. So if you do... And then the Lakers pick.

Yes. So if you win towards the end of the season, maybe you actually have some clarity on what you want to do heading into the summer. So I'm not totally against keeping things together because you're going to have a lottery pick anyway. It's you're not going to get into the play and it's you're too far back right now. So I'm okay with keeping things together right now. And if Zion is, you know, back to prime Zion for the whole rest of the season. Yeah, I think that maybe gives you, you know, an idea of what you want to do in the summer if you're the Pelicans versus dumping things right now just for slightly higher odds.

You just stumbled into the answer. These next two months are about building back Zion up as a genuine asset and then trying to get out of that, get out of that situation as fast as you can. So you're still ejecting from the Zion situation. I am. I, I, no matter what's healthy for two months that trade trade, when the value is high, there are 11 wins or 11 losses behind Phoenix for the 10 seed. That's great. So there's no set area where they catch fire. Unfortunately, uh,

One of the things about trading McCollum is then you could play Jordan Hawkins more. It's weird. They're deep, but they also have a terrible record. They make no sense as a team of assets. Anyway, next one. I didn't know it was going to be today. What's today's date? January 22nd. I thought it was going to be after the Celtics game the next day when we celebrated the annual Lakers holiday, passive aggressive trade day.

When some report comes out that LeBron and AD or just LeBron aren't happy with the roster. It happened today. It was January 22nd. I wish I had had FanDuel put odds with all the different days in January when it was going to happen, but it happened today. LeBron and AD apparently really want them to improve the roster. They're not that happy with it. I don't know what the move is, KOC. When you're paying those two guys a hundred plus million dollars a year and you have Reeves, your roster's pretty good.

And maybe look in the mirror a little bit. And I went through everybody. I don't, if it's really in Vanderbilt and Vincent and two firsts, I don't even know what you're getting. Who's available. If it's a top 50 player, nobody wants to trade a top 50 players. So you're looking at people like Zach Levine. And if they got Zach Levine, I just don't think they're a contender in the West. They would have the same problems they have anywhere where they can't guard anybody anywhere.

I would never, Reeves is a hang up for me. If somebody called about Reeves at 12 billion a year, it's like, yeah, I'm sure you do want Austin Reeves. Fuck off, hang up. I don't know what the move is for them. I don't know how they're a title contender. And I have some ideas zagging the other way. But what do you think? If you're trying to add, which I don't think they're going to go the other way. Walker Kessler is a center.

Try to go get him from Utah. Then you can play two big lineups. Are you winning four rounds if you make a Walker Kessler trade? No. Just one of the names. You can trade two picks. You can trade multiple swaps. You do have some tradable salaries. So maybe that's one of the guys you go for. And I don't know if you and I feel the same way about this guy, Bill, but I think everything Zach Levine has done this year

Forget it. We're aligned on that. Okay. So like to me, like if you're able to put a package together for Zach Levine and it's a tough deal, it probably have to be a three way. But if you go get Zach Levine and add him to the bunch with LeBron James, Anthony Davis, if you're able to go get a five like Walker Kessler, you have Dorian Finney Smith already. You have Austin Reeves.

Suddenly you have a really good top six, top seven with a lot of dynamic scoring ability, versatility on defense, different lineup configurations that you can play. So I think the Lakers should be adding. They should try to trade their 29 and 31. They should try to trade their swaps. They should try to go for something here. If I was a Laker fan, I would be losing my mind at this.

Like, really? We're going to mortgage basically the next six years so we can fulfill this charade that we're a title contender? There's no chance against Oklahoma City. What if you slightly protect those picks? I wouldn't do it. I would zag the other way. And if Reeves is in a trade, they're just flat out stupid. What's the other way? Does that mean trading AD? Trading LeBron? I have an AD idea. Okay. I think they should think about zagging the other way and trading AD. And...

You know, it's a really interesting thing to bring up to Laker fans because I think they're grateful they won the title in 2020, but I also feel like they don't want to lose the entire decade trying to pretend that they can win a title with these two guys as their best players because they can't, you know, and you watch them. First of all, did you see that stat about how their, their, uh, their record versus what the record actually is, like how far the expected win rate or whatever that status, which backs up what I've watched, like,

They've lucked out with some schedule stuff. I don't think they're that good. And I think they know they're not that good. Whatever their record is, like they're gonna play the Celtics tomorrow night and LeBron will have his a game and they're just not good enough defensively at the Celtics play. Well, granted the Celtics could go seven for 50 from three and get smoked in a second game back to back, but defensively, they're just not good enough. And I don't know if Walker Kessler is changing that.

Yeah, if you look at the teams in the NBA right now with 23-plus wins, the only two teams with a negative point differential are Magic, minus 0.5, and the Lakers, minus 2. And the Magic lost their two best players for most of the season. Yes. Yep. And the Lakers, they're the only team in the West top six right now with a negative plus minus on the entire season. I just don't see it. I would not.

Give away the rest of the future just because LeBron wants a better team. You know, part of it is you insisted on the Anthony Davis trade. You guys want a title for it. You gave away all of these assets. You struck oil with Reeves. That was one of the luckiest things that could have happened to any team to get a guy. Is he undrafted or a second round? He was undrafted, right?

Pretty sure he went undrafted, yeah. Yeah. And then they get him on this crazy contract because he didn't go out and shop himself. So he's like $12 million a year for... That's one of the best contracts in the league. So if you just look at those three things and the role players they have, you would think they would be better than they are, but can't guard anybody. Last team is Miami. So the Butler thing is...

This is about as bad of a player team situation as we've had in a while. It's also the NBA I grew up with where stars would just get mad at teams, stars miss planes. You know, even data going into the 2000s, this would happen with people like Vince Carter. I don't know what his trade value is anymore. And I don't think you probably do either. I don't know what he's worth. I can't decide because he can opt in next year.

He's such a headache. He's 35. You know, they have to trade him. Why am I offering anything for him? And he also hasn't done anything since game two of the East finals against the Celtics two years ago in 2023. Like he was inefficient. The rest of that series inefficient against Denver. It's missed time the last two years for, you know, suspensions for being a malcontent for injuries for age, uh,

I don't know what he's actually worth at this point for all those reasons. So I don't even know if I'd want to trade for him if I'm the Suns. I get the appeal. He's better than Bradley Beal. Obviously, they're going to continue trying to build this thing up. If that's the trade, you're doing that.

Yes. If it's Bradley Beal, you're doing that. Bradley Beal for Butler straight up, which would be just an insane trade for Miami to make. I don't know why they would take on an extra year of Bradley Beal. That's why you have like all these rumors trickling out about how it could be a four or five team trade because somebody else would be taking Beal on the situation. And I actually figured out what that trade would be. This wasn't one of my favorites.

I got one too for this one. I want to know if it came up with the same thing. But the part that has to be true is A, Beal would want to waive his no trade clause to go to Milwaukee, which I find hard to believe. B, Milwaukee would want Bradley Beal for this year and the next too. So you just have to assume that that might be true. I don't think it is. It doesn't have to be the Bucs for Beal. Well, the trade I came up with was Butler to the Suns, Beal to the Bucs.

Miami gets Chris Middleton, Steven Adams from Houston, and Cam Whitmore from Houston. And Houston gets Brooke Lopez. And that actually works. So Houston would be taking on 7, 8 million to turn Adams and Whitmore into Lopez, basically. And then all the contracts work. Bucks just get Beal? Bucks just get Beal. That's it. See, I'm saying no if I'm the Bucks. I think I am too. But I think when people talk about four-teamers, five-teamers...

It's a trade like that. And I think a team like Houston has to be involved.

getting turning Adams and one of their younger, cheaper assets in a better center. Here's what I got for the Jimmy Butler five-way deal. I got- Oh, let's hear it. Five-way. Five-way. Sons get Butler. Heat get Chris Middleton and Pat Connaughton. Bulls get Bradley Beal. Bucks get Zach Levine. And then the Pistons take Bobby Portis into their cap space. And then you

distribute some picks to the teams that should get them like the Bulls for taking Beal instead of Levine. But that would be the players that work salary-wise. And so you've got Beal, maybe he'd waive his no-trade clause, get reunited with his college coach, Billy Donovan, restore his career there. Who knows what his logic would be going there. But

I don't think there's many teams that Beal would waive his no-trade clause for. And I thought it was very, very interesting that Mark Bartlstein, his agent, came out again publicly tonight. It's the second time he's spoken publicly about Beal. And he listed a bunch of teams, the Lakers, the Bucs, the Heat, all these teams he's not waiving his no-trade clause for. The Bulls weren't mentioned.

So that might be because the Bulls aren't a team that a lot of people are talking about publicly in this whole scenario. But you do have the other stuff reported earlier on Thursday about the Bucs looking at Zach Levine. I don't think the Bucs would want Beal either. He's not necessarily an upgrade over this diminished version of Chris Middleton, but Zach Levine damn well is an upgrade over what you have in Middleton right now. So maybe...

Beal to the Bulls is something that could make sense there, which is why I came up with those five teams. And the Pistons is the fifth team. You could put other teams there, but they're the one with cap space, so it's just easy. That's good work, KFC. Here would be my counter. I don't understand why the Bulls have to get rid of Zach Levine.

He's played really well this year. I actually think he's an asset. I don't want to keep him. We did the ringer a hundred. I had him like in the thirties. I, I've watched him single handedly beat like the Knicks, the Celtics. Like he's the better. The competition is the more he goes up a level. If I was Milwaukee and I could turn Chris Middleton or another contract in the Zach Levine, I'm doing that in five seconds. He's way better than Bradley Beal. He, and plus he plays. Yes. If I'm the sons, I'd probably rather get Zach Levine than Jimmy Butler.

I think you're right. I mean, like Jimmy Butler, obviously he's proven it in the playoffs. He was younger at that time. Zach Levine also has not been in those situations. But if you remove last year when he was out for the season with a foot injury, he's been awesome since 2020. He's been awesome. And he has... And this year he has the ball a lot, which is like for the Lakers, he makes no sense because he's not going to have the ball nearly as much and he can't play defense, right? So...

If you're trading for him, it has to be a situation like the rockets won't do it, but he's somebody that makes a ton of sense for me. If I'm the rockets, even though he'd hurt a little defensively, he's somebody in the last five minutes of a game can actually like match baskets with whoever the best player in the other team is. I think that's his superpower. Not a lot of guys like the sons don't necessarily need that. Right. But if you're talking about the bucks who already have Damon Giannis, uh,

but you're improving the Middleton spot with him basically the way Middleton's been playing this year. Like, I think about it. I like, we're aligned though. I think Levine's been good. I hate seeing him get thrown into these trades like he's not an asset. I think he's an asset. It makes no sense. I mean, I just pulled up some numbers prior to the recording bill just because like with Levine, a lot of people still think he's like some diminished asset, but four of the last five years, if you remove last season, 45% on catch and shoot threes.

37% on dribble jumper threes, 45% on mid-range jumpers, 63% on unassisted shots at the rim. He's caught 26 lob dunks. That's the fourth most of all guards in the NBA. So he's versatile. We know he's a great athlete. He's an elite shooter off the dribble and off the catch. He's versatile with how he gets to those shots, screens and handoffs, pick and roll. He can shoot from mid-range.

He can do a lot for your offense and fit into different roles at this point. So just like I just forget about last year. He's been injury prone, but last year was the only year where it actually affected his performance ever since 2020. So to me, if I'm the Bulls, I'd be happy to keep him. I know that creates some roster issues with Kobe White and all that. Maybe you end up flipping him instead, but Kobe White's also on a value contract. But

Levine's been awesome, dude. I just, I can't, I can't understand why he's still viewed as some horrible asset at this point. The only reason to trade him is if you feel like your team doctors who have spent a lot of time with them are like, sell high right now. This is, this is, this is it. He's going to get hurt in two months. That's the only reason. Maybe you do. Maybe, maybe that's what it ends up being. Like if the Lakers say, we'll give you two unprotected firsts. If, if the Suns say, we'll give you,

Bradley Beal and two or three firsts that we just received in that really interesting deal with the Jazz. I would keep him. I think he's going to be worth more, especially like next year, there'll only be two years left on his deal. They're going to be a playing team unless Philly can catch them. And I wouldn't want to play that game in a winner takes all, that team in a winner take all where all of a sudden it's a tie game with five minutes left and Zach Levine is doing some of the stuff we've seen him do this year. All right. We're aligned on that.

We're gonna take a break. We're gonna come back. Fake trade time.

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All right. I have some fake trades that I don't think will happen, but I thought it would be fun to throw at you. And then I want to hit a couple that I do think could happen, should happen, probably won't happen, but at least are realistic. Trade number one, Bradley Beal for Paul George straight up.

Who says no? Bradley Beal says no. Bradley Beal says no. That's right. All right. Let's say he didn't have no trade clause. Okay. So Bradley Beal has two years left after this year. Paul George has three. The Sixers called Phoenix and said, we'll give you Paul George right now for Beal. The sons are like, really? Okay. And they decide to do it.

Beal has that connection with Embiid. Remember Embiid was pushing for him a couple years ago. I think Phoenix blinks faster with a no than Philly in that trade. I think both say no in the end. Philly needs that big wing. They have enough guards. They have Maxie. McCain's out for the year, but they still have him. So you think they say no faster? I think Philly says no faster, but both end up saying no. I think Phoenix says no faster, but who knows? All right, next one.

Three-teamer. Hell, this is... Miami gets Kevin Durant. Philly gets Jimmy Butler. Phoenix gets Joel Embiid in a 2029 first. And Philly gets a 2029 first. Philly's just out of the Embiid business. They turn Embiid in a 2029 first from Miami into Jimmy Butler. And they're just out. Never going to happen.

Philly says no. Philly's like, no, you can't give up on Embiid today. It leads me to this question. Would Philly ever consider trading Embiid, A? B, would anyone consider trading for Embiid when he plays 40 games a year, max? Is he untradeable? Is he tradeable? I have no idea.

I think Embiid, I think the Sixers would consider trading Embiid this summer. Right now, today, I don't think they would. I just don't think you can today. But this summer, absolutely you could. He starts a whole new contract, $59 million next season, then 64, and then 69 the next three years. Guaranteed. Can you imagine Josh Harris, who also owns Washington, who's playing for the NFC title?

on Sunday and he gets like a call about Sixers and he's just like, I don't even care. Like just whatever, just, just don't make any trades. Like I'll deal with that this summer. I just care about football. That's it. Sixers are a loss. Get them out of here. By the way that, you know, Bob Myers helped Washington with the football team, right? He was on that advisory committee and he, and I just feel like he's looming with the Sixers thing. And I don't think I'm alone. There's been some Bob Myers, Philly buzz, uh,

that I think has been building because I think he had a good experience with Josh Harris. Have you heard this? Very interesting. Now, the only thing I heard of Bob Myers is that the Sonics could be a team when they expand, whenever the NBA is going to do that. I think Bob Myers is lurking in general, but I would not. If there is a fall guy, which we talked about earlier, it's going to be Nick Nurse and Daryl Morey. Unfortunately, I think the fact that Bob Myers is. Yeah, maybe it's both. One thing that Bob Myers does.

builds the culture. That's what he was famous for, the Warriors, and you bring him into Philly. So if it gets really bad, I just wouldn't be surprised. All right. So we both think- Bill, is Bob a teardown guy? Like if he did get hired by the Sixers, was he somebody to reset things or would he try to make it work in the bead? I think he's a, how do we get this to a better place all the way around guy before we decide to blow this up would be my guess. That's what I'm thinking too. Yeah. Yeah.

Okay. So we both think it'd be nothing happens until this summer. I think more because the rest of the league would be like, yeah, cool. Indeed. No, thanks. Third trade. Do we think Brandon Ingram has any value? Not really.

Very little. Making like 33, something like that, but it's expiring. I think the value is New Orleans takes back a contract with another year on it and you get a pick as well. But Ingram himself, the injuries, the iffy production, not a lot of value and just not a lot of time left on his contract for that matter either. If you're Detroit, would you rather have Ingram for one year or Tobias Harris for two?

I'm liking it with Tobias Harris. I don't think I'd want to screw up that chemistry right now. Yeah, I think that's the right answer. All right. So I'm going to get rid of them in that trade and I'm going to knock it down to, is there something with San Antonio and McCollum? Sorry, CJ, I threw you into a trade. McCollum, San Antonio has Trey Jones expiring. Zach Collins, this year, next year, like 16 million.

They have a little wiggle room where they could actually make a trade and take a bigger salary back. So there's ways to finagle it where they're basically just giving up an expiring Collins who is a guy next year. They could give up. They have a million picks. I want to see the Spurs add one or two guys, and that's going to be a recurring theme for the rest of my fake trades. There's another version of this where it could be McCollum and Ingram together.

going from New Orleans to San Antonio, and then New Orleans gets Jones, Collins, Harrison Barnes expiring, and at least one 2025 first. I want to see San Antonio do something. If you have a top seven player, you can't pretend you don't have a top seven player. If you have tradable stuff and a million picks, what's wrong with at least tweaking it and going for it a little bit? Is it possible you don't want to be too good too soon?

Why? To disperse? I mean, what's wrong with having another lottery pick this year in a draft where you can take Cooper Flagg if you end up getting lucky with the 5% or 6% chance with your lottery odds? It's impossible to go under 500 in Wembley. What's their record now? 19 and 22. 19 and 22. All right. So 10th best odds, 3% chance at the number one pick, which is unlikely.

So you're saying right now there's one, two, three, four, five, six, seven teams they're definitely not catching from a loss standpoint, plus Philly.

I mean, I'd like to see them add two for the right pieces. McCollum, point guard in his 30s. I'm iffy there, and I don't love the Ingram fit with Wendy. Okay, so you wouldn't do anything. That's why I put it in the I'm not sure I would do this camp. I wouldn't do that. There's other stuff I think I would do if I'm the Spurs, but I wouldn't do that. Okay. Well, I have another Spurs trade for you. Okay.

This will never happen. None of these four trades I did, none of them are happening. It's just a fun exercise. I'd think about Zion. That'd be fun. Well, Zion's coming later. Okay. This is the official blow it up trade for Philly where San Antonio gets Paul George, Kyle Lowry, and Tyrese Maxey. Philly gets Barnes, Zach Collins, Jones, Kelvin Johnson, CP3, and a slew of firsts.

Like just the San Antonio, like six first, seven first, whatever you do.

And basically Philly just gets out of this whole thing. They do the super tank and they sell high on Maxie knowing they have McCain. This will never happen. I just want to do it as a thought experiment. Maxie, Wemby. That's what I'm talking about. Yeah. That's what I'm talking about. Yeah. San Antonio overpays. They pay 140 cents on the dollar, 170 cents on the dollar with all the extra picks they have just with the end game being Maxie, Castle, Wemby,

the cell. And this is our team going forward. It'll never happen. You kind of like this one. Yeah, I love it. Yeah. I mean, I'm into it. It's kind of like the same reason why I liked Reed Shepard for them in the draft, because I want that shooting smaller, quick guard, speedy guy to pair with Victor. I mean, I know the Chris Paul stuff is working.

I get it. It looks good. It's 40, but he moves so slow. He can't get into the paint anymore. I think Wendy should be getting a lot more lob opportunities than he's been able to, but that's because Chris Paul is very slow and he's not able to beat guys off the dribble and defense because the defenses can just switch. You wouldn't be able to do that as much if it's Maxie or somebody like that. You, you would, would you still have shepherd over castle with that pick?

I think so. I think so. Really? I love Castle. I'm all in on that, dude. I mean, it was so close for me between those guys. I think I had it. Shepard, Castle, Klingon. Who do you have number one in a redraft now? Just throw all the teams out. Who do you think the best asset is? I don't know if I'd change that at this point right now. I think I'd keep those three. Was it Reed Shepard's 49-point performance in the G League that won you over? Yeah.

Yeah. Why do you think he hasn't been better in Houston? I just think it's a lack of playing time. They just have too many guys. Yeah. I mean, who's he going to play over, honestly? I kept all my stock. I haven't sold an ounce of Reed Shepard stock, but I love Castle. Yeah, Castle's awesome. I would have taken Castle first heading into the draft. I would take him first now. I love how competitive he is. I feel like he's getting better. I think physically in like four years, I think he's just going to be like...

just a beast. I can't wait to see how he grows. If they like, let's say they got that maxi deal or whoever the small guard is. Castle can be like your Iguodala type to like Stephen Curry. Like he does, he does everything for your team. He can defend every position, cut,

spot up screen sometimes run pick and roll handle the offense for you the castle is just like a total true Swiss army knife yeah that roster I don't know I love him he's perfect with Victor perfect for the Spurs they're gonna look out at some point there's gonna be a team going sideways that wants to rebuild and trades their expensive point guard

you know, could it three weeks ago, you could have said maybe it's Sacramento, but they kind of readied the ship a little bit, but at some point there's going to be somebody with some leverage and a team that is ready to, uh, to blow it up. Anyway, that trade's never happening. So don't aggregate it. Um, did you have a fake trade that's never happening, but you still were enchanted by it? Um, let's see on my list. Uh, I mean, I, uh,

I think most of mine, maybe you could say there's a chance. So none of them I would say are super crazy. You put them in there, you're saying a chance. All right, let's move into trades we could actually see happening, even though if they probably won. I'll get you. What's your first one? All right. First one, Orlando Magic, Anthony Simons to the magic for Cole Anthony, Jet Howard, and one first round pick.

going to the Blazers. So you upgrade over Cole Anthony with Anthony Simons, younger guy as well, that still fits the roster for you moving forward in Orlando. And Portland gets Jed Howard, maybe he turns into something, a future pick, and they get some salary relief as well, since you're going to have Cole Anthony, Jed Howard in pieces rather than that big Simons deal in the $25 million range.

And Simon's has some Orlando connections. I think he's from Florida. There's always, he's always been rumored in a, it's a possible magic thing. And for Portland, it's all like an all in, you know, let's get a full look at scoot. Scoot's been better as of late. He showed signs of life. That's part of it. That's part of it. Signs of life. All right. Yeah. There's been life.

That's part of it for Portland here. It's like you have Simons who's taking a lot of those touches. He's absorbing a lot of those minutes. Cole Anthony, great chemistry guy for the Magic. That's one reason why you wouldn't want to move him. But he could be that in Portland too. He could be the backup spark plug point guard. Simons is actually deserving of a bigger role. So I think he could get that with the Magic that he can't get with Portland because you still need to invest in Scoot if you're the Blazers despite all the ups and downs.

I think what we've seen the last five, six games, which I've been monitoring very closely, plus the Billups quotes too. Billups seems like really fired up about him all of a sudden, but stuff's clicking, things are happening. They're starting to move the team toward him. They're also in the tanking situation. So it's perfect. Just let him make his mistakes. But I'm with you. They probably, Simon's probably needs to go for the scoop piece. I don't know what he's worth.

So if you're saying like Orlando gives up a first, that's going to be a bottom half of the first round first, unless it's this year's draft because their record isn't nearly as good as it would have been because of all the injuries. So they own their own first the next six years. I would probably want this year's first from them if I traded Simons. Yeah, I think so too. Because going forward, they're probably going to be a top eight or nine team. So, all right, that's a fun one. My first one.

I want to get Cam Johnson, who's been floated around a lot. Brooklyn clearly wants to trade him. I've decided Detroit should be the team that gets him. And Detroit has the Tim Hardaway expiring. They have a weird situation with their pick because New York owns their pick. So it's like protected and it just keeps rolling over. But then you can't trade 2025 or 26 because eventually it'll be realized in 27. So I was thinking, I wonder how the Knicks would help them out.

and remove the protections from the pick so that Detroit could trade this year's pick, try to get Cam Johnson and maybe that other Knicks pick. Then I started thinking, you don't see teams do this as much, but what if the Knicks traded Mitchell Robinson to Detroit as part of the deal? And as part of the deal, they got this giant trade exception and they forfeited their rights to the Detroit first.

And they got day Ron sharp back from, uh, from the nets and they just got a backup center making $10 million less than Robinson. And then the nets would be like, we'll give you D'Angelo Russell too. He's available in the next year. No, thanks. But is there something there where it could be a three team or not a two, the Knicks could get something out of it, cut some salary, create an exception. Maybe it's just Cam Johnson for Tim Hardaway in a pick and it's a later pick.

But is there something there? Because I feel like there is. I would like the Pistons. I want to see them get better. I mean, it's complicated. So, like, I'm just trying to figure out the salaries here. So Mitchell Robinson, to be clear, he's going to. He's $14 million. Detroit could actually take it because. To Detroit. Because they're way under the cap, right? No, they have the cap, yeah. Well, if they're taking Cam Johnson, they won't be under the cap, though.

I did it in the trade machine and it all worked because, uh, there's trade exception stuff too. Anyway, it could just be Cam Johnson and Hardaway and a pick and we make, we could make it easier because that works too. Um,

I mean, regardless of the surrounding pieces, the idea of Cam Johnson on the Pistons makes a lot of sense. I mean, as a better Tim Hardaway. Yes, that's the type of guy they should be going for, for sure. Like if it's if it's an easier deal to make, then that may be. But like, I don't know about all the other pieces, but Cam Johnson on the Pistons. Yes, please. Like, that's a good idea. I made it too complicated. But yes, like just simply that idea. I like. Yes.

If I were the Knicks, I'd be thinking of a way to dump Mitchell Robinson in a trade and get a cheaper big back and try to get some cap space, some apron relief, some luxury tax relief, and some flexibility with some sort of trade exception would be my dream scenario. I have a Mitchell Robinson trade in part for that reason. Let's hear it.

I got the Knicks in the jazz. I got Mitchell Robinson, Deuce McBride, who had pained me to trade, and Precious Achua for Colin Sexton, Walker Kessler, and a salary filler in Zfiba Kyluk. So in this case...

You'd be you you would do this deal if you're the Knicks knowing that Mitchell Robinson may not be coming back for the entire season And so you get Walker Kessler back to fill a similar role you get Colin Sexton as an upgrade over deuce McBride I love deuce. I think deuce is better than this is a tibid oh, I mean Tom Thibodeau barely plays him though he barely plays any of the guys off the bench and

So, maybe you don't even make this deal for that reason, knowing Tibbs is going to have Walker Kessel playing eight minutes a game and Sexton playing 15. But maybe he would play some of those guys more. So, I think if you're the Knicks, something along those lines, I'd be wanting to get another center because as much as I really like Precious Achua.

I want a true five. I want another true rim protector next to Cat because what they've been doing lately in the lineups have worked well, but they've barely played Cat with Achua. It's worked when they have. It's been really successful for that team, but I want to see somebody that allows Cat to be in that role he was next to Gobert in Minnesota. I know Achua doesn't offer...

offer the rim protection that, say, Walker Kessler could. So maybe I've made that deal too complicated and you trim it down. No, I see what you're trying to do with it, though. I just, if I'm Utah, why do I have to trade Kessler if I'm Utah? Is what I keep coming back to every time I see his name in trade rumors. I mean, that's the case with a lot of guys. Why am I trading this guy? Yeah, I'm sure you do want him. He's a young guy and a super cheap contract and he produces and he protects the rim. Why do I have to trade him?

Like they're probably, I would assume they're going to try to be good next year or try to be better. How many years in a row can you throw away? Yeah, there's something there. I think the Knicks have to think that way. How can they package stuff? Next year, Bill, they're going to go get BYU's A.J. Devonsa. One more year of being crappy. Oh, you think they're throwing away another one? One more year. Just one more if you're the Jazz.

That's also next year's class has more than just AJ too. Like next year's class, you get the boozers, you got Kareem Lopez, who's dominating in the NBL right now as 17 years old in a men's league. So there's a lot of guys in next year's class that could be, you know, number one quality pick. So I think it's one more year for Utah. Where's the Bantz and the Brooklyn and the Brockton rankings right now? It's gotta be number one. No, Hagler's gotta be one, right? Oh, I mean, right today, like,

Currently all time rising. All the time. Yes. The bounce is going to prove it. Rocky Marciano from Brooklyn, Brockton. Yeah. Over my shoulder. These two bobbleheads. I got Marvin Hagler and one, two. All the time. Yeah. They're one, two without a doubt. I need to take a break before I throw this next trade at you. So we're taking a quick break. All right. Coming back. I'm glad you're sitting down. Take a deep breath.

What if San Antonio traded for Jordan pool and Jonas Valanciunas and gave up Jones and Collins and a first round pick and kind of dabbled in getting better, but didn't really do it and didn't really give up anything. And if you're Washington, you're like, this is great. Now we got rid of the one guy who can actually win games for us. Um, we got rid of a center that,

keeps getting mentioned in these trade. We know what happens with these centers. They always end up going for second round picks. Nobody gives up a first round pick for the $9 million pretty good center. But if you're San Antonio and you could add just Jordan Poole and Valanchunas for nothing, like basically nothing, why wouldn't you do that?

So with Jordan Poole, Bill. Yeah, let's hear it. Throughout his entire basketball life, he's been a near 90% guy from the free throw line. He's had touch near the basket on floaters, but he's never been a consistent three-point shooter until this season. 25 years old, over 40% from three for the first time in his entire career after he was a below 34% guy. What if this is the new Jordan Poole?

What if 2022 finals, Jordan pool is really Jordan pool and dream on green, just punched it out of him for two years. I think he's worth taking our it's this year and the next two on his contract. He's overpaid. There's no question. But if you're San Antonio, what do you care? You're not spending that much money anyway. And for pool, like it's not like a used to have them until he's 27. Yeah.

28 years old. So it's not a long-term commitment. I think he's been legitimately good this year. I actually like watching him on the Wizards this year, right? I know. The Wizards went from one of the worst watches in the league last year to, oh, wait a minute, they're pretty fun. There's this, like, Poole's been really good. Alex Saar's getting better. They've been a fun team to watch. Well, you can tell who's not watching the Wizards when people are like, what if they can get Kyle Kuzma? And it's like, you obviously haven't watched a Wizards game this year. He's been one of the worst players in the league. Nobody wants Kyle Kuzma.

Kuzma has not been good. But Poole, I'm intrigued. I'm intrigued because for a long time... So you like this one? This might be the first one we've fully agreed on. I like this one because Poole is the type of guy that I think is worth a swing. Like for the Spurs, these guys, I don't want to get...

When they first drafted Webby, Bill, I was thinking, oh, they should accelerate. They should go after Brooke Lopez and have another big. They should go after a veteran and really support Victor and be good right away. I've backed off that the last year and a half. I want them instead to take these short-term guys who are swings. I'd be open to Zion, Jordan Poole types, guys like that who help you be competitive and

But you're not having to overspend all of your future assets because the time you're going to be really wanting to trade in those assets, like the two future picks you got from Minnesota, the picks you have from the Hawks, that's going to be in the next two, three, four years in that range when Victor's into his mid-twenties.

that's when it's time to go build and try to go forward and take those really big swings on proven guys. I still think you want to be, but I still think you want to be competitive in a real way now, which is what Preston did with OKC the last couple of years, right? Yes.

He, just because he lucked out in a bunch of different ways, but his skill as a GM, but also like guys blossoming maybe faster than he thought. But all that stuff was good for them. Those, those games that OKC played the last two years led to this year. I think if you're San Antonio, you want to start thinking that way. Totally. Can this year and next year lead to two years from now, we're a 60 win team.

And they are competitive. They're just slightly below 500. They're really great when Victor's on the floor. They're tough at the end of games. They have the same problem Houston has, where it's, you know, if he's not getting the ball in the right spots, it's really, or Vassell is really the only other one I kind of trust with the ball. CP's too old now. And Vassell's been disappointing this season. No, he has. But I mean, at least I feel like he can get the shot that he wants. I don't know if it's going in.

But it's really hard for them to create offense down the stretch. And Jordan Poole, no issues creating his own shot. Jordan Poole, no issues. So we're aligned on that one. I would love to see them do something like that. I like it. I'm into it. That's a good creative idea. I hadn't thought about Jordan Poole as a target for the Spurs. That's a good one.

do your Zion one. You must have a Zion to the Spurs one. I don't have a Zion to the Spurs one. I was just intrigued by the idea after you mentioned the Pelicans trades. I'm all in. I mean, there's multiple ways that could go. I don't know how many picks would have to be involved, but I think putting Zion, I talked about this a couple weeks ago, rolling the dice with Zion, with that team, with the spotlight of being Wembley's teammate, different organization, a lot of history, titles, Tim Duncan sitting there courtside every once in a while. I would just...

Do it. Can I give you a three-way of just kind of, it's like a Yankee swap and Christmas? Sure. Milwaukee gets Tobias Harris making $25.3 million this year on the books for next year too. Minnesota gets Chris Middleton, $31.7 million. Detroit gets Julius Randolph, $33.1 million. This actually works in the trade machine. So Detroit's taking...

almost $8 million extra salary to quote unquote upgrade from Harris to Randall, maybe for this year, maybe this year and next year. If you opt in Minnesota, saving a little money and getting rid of the Julius Randall issue, that's kind of haunted them all season, even though I think he's a good basketball player, just doesn't make sense for them. So they would save 1.6 million, which with the tax becomes like 20 million or some crazy number and just kind of people passing stuff around.

I kind of like it. And Milwaukee's saving money. But I kind of like the idea of Randall on Detroit because even Monday, everyone was going nuts about Cade. Cade had 10 turnovers in that game. He has the ball all the time. You know, he kind of needs one more person. I don't want Randall on Detroit. So you don't want Randall anywhere. Is there a team you want, Randall? Brooklyn? Brooklyn?

So you think he's become a good stats, bad team guy? Yeah, I think that's exactly what he is. I mean, it's crazy to say that about a dude who was two-time All-NBA and he's had some really good seasons, but he's just been horrible for Minnesota this year. And he's also had times where he was horrible for the Knicks. And so you have this really good thing going right now with the Pistons. I know Cade's not perfect yet, but I

I don't want Randall clogging the lane for Cade when things are finally opening up for him and he's looking like a borderline all-NBA guy. But why do you like it for the other teams, though? I'm just curious. I like saving money if I'm Milwaukee, and I like saving a little money if I'm Minnesota and getting rid of the Randall piece. And for Detroit, I think the bet would just be Randall was 24-10 and was an all-NBA forward a couple times for the Knicks and got put in...

One of the worst possible situations in Minnesota for him as a basketball player, where it just doesn't make sense. Maybe there's an actual asset here. Or is that in part his fault that it's not working perfectly? Oh, it's definitely partly his fault because he doesn't know how to play any other way. But that's the thing. It's like, well, maybe on a different team, there's something more here. I would think about it.

But I also think that Troy probably has better moves. Like I like Cam Johnson for them more than Randall, but I, Randall's not, to me, he's not a sunk cost. Like Beal is a sunk cost to me. I don't see a scenario where he's worth that money ever again. Randall, I'm not positive. So I know I'm sure you do too. I know some Knicks fans who still swear by Randall and we're like, guy's getting a bad rap. He was really good for us. I read those people are out there. Then there's other Knicks fans who can't stand him. Give me a trade.

All right, I got a small one. This is a son's one. Yusuf Nurkic and one of the first you got in that Utah deal to the Blazers for Robert Williams. Send Nurk back to Portland, get time Lord, obviously injury prone, but he's a lob guy, fits the Nick Richards profile. And he makes way less money than Nurkic. Yes, so you're saving money and you're getting a guy who fits your roster. Portland probably has to throw something else in there to make this salary. It works salary-wise. Nurkic for Williams. Oh, yeah, it does.

I mean, I would do it just to get off the Nurkic money next year and save the luxury tax. Nurkic is, I don't know if he's not the worst contract in the league, but when you think about he's one of the most untradeable, I think. Two years. Yeah. It was hilarious earlier in the year when the Suns fans were thinking that they could turn Nurkic into Vucevic somehow. It's like, what planet are you on? Nurkic has been awful. Nobody wants Nurkic. Now they traded for Nick Richards and he doesn't play at all. So I would do that.

for both teams because Nurkic had... The only thing is, if you're trading a center, if I'm Portland, do I want to get a center back? Is it worth it just to get a random pick? Is there a way to make that a three-way deal where Nurkic goes somewhere else? Maybe Nurkic comes off the bench for you behind Klingin. Something like that. But then you have the Aiton issue as well. But I want to see them go with two bigs sometimes. I'd like to see them try that out more often. I don't know. I think Billups is resistant to doing that. But...

At least Nurkic is a guy, he's a vet. Maybe he plays a little bit off the bench for you, but being back in Portland, maybe he won't pout like he is in Phoenix right now. Is Aiton a trade piece to you in any way? I don't think so. So he's another one. I agree with you. He's been productive, but who's trading for him at $30-plus million? So many teams have fives right now. I don't think there's many teams out there that would want a five making his money with how inconsistent he is. Yeah.

I don't know the team. I'm not sure. New Orleans made sense a little bit before the season, but not so much right now. Yeah, they're 12-32. Yes, they're the only team that I really had thought of before the season. At this point, I don't see something there for him.

I have one more big trade, so give me one more from you before I do my big one. Let's see. I got one right here. I got a Cam Johnson one. I mentioned this on my podcast with Bobby Marks earlier in the week, and he was iffy on it, so I'm curious about your thoughts. Cam Johnson to the Cavs for Isaac Okoro, rookie Jalen Tyson, Niang's contract, and their unprotected 2031 firsts.

And Bobby was iffy on it because the Cavs, you could argue, and I think his reason is pretty sound here. You could argue the Cavs should try to get under the luxury tax this year to not get that clock started. So you become a team over the tax multiple years in a row. Once Mobley has to be re-signed and all these guys' deals come up. And so Bobby was like, maybe you go the other way and try to trade a guy to get under the tax. I think that makes sense. At the same time, Cam Johnson is very clearly an upgrade.

over Isaac Okoro. He adds dynamic shooting ability to your team when you're on a 70-win pace. This could be your chance to go for it. This could be the only year. Who knows what's going to happen in the future? So I like the idea of at least going for it this year and trying to roll the dice with somebody like Cam Johnson adding more upside to your team. I don't like it. And I'll tell you why. I think if that team loses in the playoffs, it's going to be because of their inability to guard wings, right?

Cam Johnson's not helping me with that. So if I'm using my last trade chip and I agree, their shooting's great. That would, that always helps, but I don't think he's playing crunch time for them because now I have Garland out there and Cam Johnson. How, like if I'm playing Tatum and Brown, who's guarding Tatum and Brown, if I'm playing those guys together. So I feel like if they, if they're going to do a trade like that and go into the major attacks, I need somebody who can potentially guard Jason Tatum

in the last five minutes of a game six in Boston. And I don't think it's Cam Johnson.

That would be my count. I don't know. I don't know who it is, though, that you can go get. I mean, like, Isaac Okoro is a better defender, but he also is somebody that you're going to be helping off of on defense. It's always a, you know, push-pull with these guys. So for the Cavs, you have limited assets. Well, why do they have to do anything? They're playing really well. Like, I guess that's my other question with them is, like, they seem like they all love playing with each other and they're having a great season. Like, sometimes continuity is the move, right? Mm-hmm.

Yep. Sometimes it is. And sometimes you regret not trying to add another piece. It can go both ways. I think it depends. Like, Cam Johnson's a good guy. I think he could fit into any locker room flawlessly. I don't think it'd be an issue adding him to the team. Yeah, he's been great. So I just think if you're talking about, like, who defends Tatum, who defends Brown...

it's hard to defend those guys, all these great players at that level anyway, unless you have a truly elite. Maybe it's easy to friend Jalen Brown lately. Right now it is. Yeah. Hey, he's going to try that fall away again from the foul line. That'd be great. Drive to the middle of the floor with your left hand again. But I think for the Cavs, if you're talking about that matchup issue, I mean, you do have Dean Wade, who's

who's been really good defensively for you. But even then, Dean Wade alone isn't stopping those guys. It's having Evan Mobley shade over and help. It's having Jared Allen presence at the basket. It's Donovan Mitchell helping at the nail and shading help over. Like it's more than one guy. So I don't think Cam Johnson's some liability by any means. He's just an average defender, but he's definitely somebody that they would pick on compared to the others. And by the way, if you're picking on anybody, like if it's an end game lineup, it's Garland. It's Garland still.

But now I have two guys I can pick on. I'm using Cam Johnson's guy to set the screen for Garland. And it's like a feast now. Could be. It's an interesting one because on the other hand, you could say, well, we're just going to outscore everybody. Now we have Cam Johnson. We're scoring 120 points a game and we'll figure out how to get some stops.

I'd be really scared to do that much if I was Cleveland, because it seems like one of the few teams we have right now that actually really likes playing with each other. Right. How many teams, when you watch these games, how many teams actually seem like they all like each other? It's less than five. OKC. OKC. OKC, 100%. They're the number one version of that. Cleveland. I mean, obviously one and two, both one seeds. Boston really likes each other, even though they're not playing that well. I'd put them on that list. They're just bored. I think Boston's bored right now. No question.

Do you have another one? Cause I have one big one. Is there another one you want to throw? Go with your big one. You ready for the big one? I got my, I got my favorite ones out. Yeah. It's an Anthony Davis trade. And the thinking is we've gone as far as we can go. We've done everything we could for you, LeBron. You've been here since 2018. We won a title together. We went, got your guy, Anthony Davis. We drafted your son and gave him a no cut contract.

Um, every time you've pushed us to do something, we've done it, including the Russell Westbrook trade, which you were hands off after that happened. Um, we've taken this as far as we can go.

And we're not going to mortgage anymore the future for this because for the first time ever, the Clippers have a better arena than us and probably a better team. And there's something cool happening with them. And there's nothing cool happening with us. And we're not going to be held hostage by this anymore. The story in sports decades after decades is people trying to appease aging superstars. It never ends well. We're not going to do it. We're going to zag the other way. We're going to trade Anthony Davis to the Gold State Warriors.

Oh man. And we're going to get back your buddy, Draymond green shooters, expiring Kaminga Jackson Davis, golden States, 25 and 27 first and a 20, 2029 pick swap. That's LA's call. We're cashing in. What do you think?

Are you sure this is the Lakers going the other way? Draymond's still a really good defender. It's a pretty good trade. They're getting Draymond, Schroeder, Kaminga. They get to roll dice to them. Jackson Davis. And if you're the Warriors, you still have enough left and you're going to build around Davis and Curry going down the stretch and you could probably get creative with some other moves. It's kind of fun. I don't think the Warriors do it, but I'm intrigued. Too many picks? Yeah. Yeah.

Too many picks. All right, so let's just say that this year's number one, which would be in the middle of the draft, and a 27 unprotected first. So now I don't think the Lakers do it now. You think Steph would break out? Let's say the Warriors are in a position. They're no to blowing it up, no to trading Steph and Draymond this summer, right? Let's just say they're not going to do that. Do you think Steph would be willing to break up with Draymond in this scenario? I think the only team...

that you could talk yourself into this being a realistic scenario as the Lakers. Cause Draymond get to live in Los Angeles and play with LeBron. Draymond might want it to happen. Draymond might be like, this sounds great. I've always wanted to be on the Lakers. Let's, let's do it. Um, I also think it's way harder to find an Anthony Davis trade that makes sense than people realize. Cause I see, I have people in my life, it's time to trade Davis. It's like, where?

Like you're not trading me Houston. They can't even trade Shangoon this year. Like it would have to be like this summer. Right. And at that point, LeBron's 41. And, you know, people probably know you go around the league. You would have said in the past, oh, that maybe they get Carl Anthony Towns and some picks for him. But Carl Anthony Towns is playing great, you know, and you go around the league. I think it's really hard to find the right trade for him that he'd be excited about.

to put him on a team that could actually win a title. Like, could it be Oklahoma city? No, they're not mortgaging everything for, for Davis when they have Shays big contract coming up and they got to pay Jalen Williams soon. They're going to have to play Chet Holmgren soon. Like, and they're not trading Chet for him. So you go through all the teams and I think it's way harder to figure. I even was like, Oh, Orlando will be a good one. Go look at their contracts. What's the Orlando trade. They can barely even match all the contracts to get to where AD is. So yeah,

I go and say it was the only one that made sense. Orlando's interesting, though. If they were to give Isaac, who's like $24 million. I'm doing this on top of my head. Cole Anthony, who's like $12 million. So Isaac would have to be in the trade. Yeah. Maybe that gets you there. Orlando would be interesting, too. The problem is the way the league is now with these different rules, it's really hard to make a five for one. You need that one...

awesome $28 million contract that you can put in a trade like that. And they just don't have it. So they could put, you know, they could put, you said, what'd you say? Cole Anthony. Something like that. I'm pulling up a trade machine right now. Yeah. I'm looking at Scott. Isaac at 25, Anthony at 12.9 and then jet Howard. I think Caldwell Pope would have to be in it.

I'm not sure if he has to be on. Oh, Isaac makes $25 this year. That is pretty high. $25, yes. That's not what I said on the trade machine. It would work, yeah. $80 is $43.2 million. And then for Isaac, Anthony, and Jet Howard, those guys are... Well, wouldn't Carter have to be in that trade, though? Exactly.

No, I mean, it wouldn't have to be like finance wise. He wouldn't have to be like you could put him in there instead of Cole Anthony. Potentially, I think it's a Rudy on this. No, no, you can't. You can't do Wendell Carter. You could do Wendell Carter. No, you can't. Rudy on this zoom or no, I can't. Carter. Carter has a train. Yeah.

Suri pop on for a second. Let's talk this out. What's up? You knew this was coming. What's up Suri? All right. 80, 80 for Isaac, Anthony and Howard. And then like, no, let's put Carter in there. I think you cannot, you cannot, you can't trade Carter. Carter can not be traded this season. Cause he had the extension. Yes. So he can't be traded. Yeah. What do you think Suri?

I think about it. I mean, I've been one of the... I feel like... I feel like you, when we were in Denver, that we were talking about that, I was like the king of the, like, yeah, Lakers should trade AD. Like, what's the point? Like, get what you can get for them. I never even thought of this as a possibility. I mean, it's not really what they need, but just imagine that team...

Like that could, that has like all time defensive capabilities. That would be absurd. I mean, just go all in on your identity. I'd be a little bit worried about, you know, I don't know. He just, the injury concerns and the age profile stuff, but it would be kind of fun. So you'd have to do 25, 27, 29, and 31. I think you'd have to do four unprotected first, probably throw in the Denver first that you have that's rolls over and then maybe a swap.

How many picks is that, KOC? I mean, you just listed like almost all of them. Is it five, six? Do you want to give all those picks for AD? I think that's where I say no. I think that's where I say no because...

you know, is the timeline right? Like when in two years, like they're not winning East this year. Maybe next year they could be a top three team and we'll see about the health situation. But like it feels like they're going in completely opposite direction. Can I pause button you right now? Yeah, go ahead. You'd have a starting front line of AD, Palo, and Franz.

The timeline is like now when all those guys come back, I don't want to play that team. You're right. I don't want to see that team in a playoff series. The timeline is this year. If you do that.

I want to do it for all those picks. But if it doesn't work out, you're kind of screwed, right? You wouldn't be getting hurt. I want to do it for all those picks. Three picks? I'd be cheap there if I'm the magic. Like 80 is 31 right now. He's got four years left until he's 34, 35 years old. And he's going to be making almost $60 million the next three years. KOC, this is the part where I remind you that the Knicks traded five first-round picks for Mikael Bridges. I know. That's the bar. 11th best guy in the league. I know. That's the bar.

I think it has to be five picks. I think I'd say no. I think I'm saying, wow. And just wait for something else to happen. Cause we do. But here, here's the one thing. So Rudy, right? Like what is that next thing? Because you're right. But let's say there's a player that anytime a player that becomes available, who's better than ad, right?

It's going to be Utah or the Thunder or the Spurs, the Rockets, the Nets, these teams that have more picks in quantity and quality. Like the Magic only has their own basically. The Rockets can trade for it this summer. They have Shengdun and a bunch of stuff and go get them in July. Yes, exactly. So all these other teams have more quantity and quality. The Magic can't wait for that top five guy. Right, they're jumping the line and grabbing them now. Yep. Yeah, but...

I think I'm okay long term with like, you know, let those guys go big fish hunting and we'll just make moves around the edges and kind of like, because you've got the two guys. You've got the guys that matter, you know? Like, ugh. So I don't, I just disagree with you. It would be a better case if you were like...

I'm not sure we should trade for Anthony Davis, who was super injury prone during the year that Palo and Franz both suffered the exact same injury and Mo Vonder got hurt and Suggs got hurt. We do not want to bring our karma to Anthony Davis. Make sure the obliques are iced up for every game. I know. Yeah, what's Anthony Davis' oblique situation? Is it okay? Oh, my God. I didn't know NBA players hurt obliques until... He just meets those guys and he, like, strains it. Yeah.

Orlando is the only other one. I went through everybody else. There's Sacramento, if you could do a Sabonis-Davis. But I don't know where that gets either team. I think it's Orlando. I like the Golden State one. It feels like that's a timeline match thing that just kind of works out. I will say this. That trade I laid out, if that actually happened, would be one of the most fun trade moments of the 21st century. There's so much going on in that trade.

In all different directions that we, it just feels like we would talk about that for 10, 10 straight days. Thanks to Rudy. Thanks guys. KSA. Any last trades before we go? No, that's all I had listed bill. That 81 has me thinking though. I mean, cause for the Lakers bill, you're right. Like I, I don't think they're gonna necessarily go the other way that you're proposing.

But it's something they should at least think about. Like this week, I made the case writing like the Warriors should blow it up because they're not going anywhere. Steph's declining. Draymond's declining. At least they're showing signs of it this year. Reminds me of the 2012-13 Celtics when KG and Pierce were still really good, but they clearly were beginning to fall a little bit. And they make the deal that leads to Tatum and Brown. Yeah.

And so I think the Warriors are in that spot where at least the front office and ownership should be thinking about it. And for the Lakers, obviously, LeBron, I mean, LeBron's not the same guy. He's just not. He's still a great player, but he's not the same level player. And AD, who knows when the injuries will start perking back up again. So they should think about it.

I just think that Lakers roster is still worth at least exploring adding more. But if the Magic call up and offer you four firsts and two swaps, you've got to take that meeting and really think hard about it. Because if you do that, then that opens up your ability to say, oh, guess what? We are open to LeBron trades. And then if you were to get something for LeBron too, suddenly you'd have the most picks in the NBA.

And then you're in a team that can go get somebody. But how many contenders, teams that actually have a chance to win the title are a realistic option for a 40-year-old guy making $50 million a year with no trade clause? I can't find a single team. Even if you said like, oh, Cleveland, he wants to come back home. It's like, if I'm Cleveland, do I want to... That's a pretty aggressive reshaking of the roster. I wouldn't do that. I want to do it without LeBron if I'm Cleveland. Yeah. Well, also like,

You have such a good thing. Now you're bringing somebody who, who, you know, the two generations of guys in the league, like Revere, it's really hard for him to be like, all right, just set some picks and hit a couple of corner threes for us. Like he's going to have the ball.

I don't know what the team is for him. And I don't think he wants to leave LA anyway, so it's not realistic. Davis, as a trade, is more realistic to me, but I just don't, the Lakers organization, I don't understand why they kowtow to these guys. Maybe the Suns for LeBron, somebody like that. Short flight away from LA.

Instead of Jimmy Butler. Now the Lakers are taking Beal. I don't want to turn LeBron into Beal. No, thank you. Also, if you're the Lakers and you trade LeBron, all of a sudden your games... If you're going to actually rebuild or you're going to blow it up or whatever, there is still...

People go to the games to see LeBron. He's one of the greatest players in the history of the league. Like that's still a draw. And they're still in this mix where they seem relevant. People don't actually watch basketball that much, think they're still a contender. And there's an illusion of competitiveness that is...

to me, not real, but you at least have that. Once you start blowing this up, now you're where you were in the mid-2010s. Why is that? Is that because of LeBron not being top two, top three anymore? Is that why? Or is that more something about the supporting cast? Why do you think that is?

Well, he's, I mean, he's 40. He's not the, not close to being the same guy that he used to be. He's still one of the 10 to 15 best guys. 80, you said 11th best or something like that. So if you still have two top 15 guys. But LeBron doesn't play defense anymore. I don't understand how anyone could put him in the top 12 to 15 at this point. So you don't have him up there? I don't. I don't. I would have him in the top 25, but I think. Wow. I think it's really hard to, to beat good teams. Yeah.

When you have multiple holes on defense, like they have, I think that's a fair statement. Like when they have, they're playing Reeves and connect and LeBron all at the same time. It's like, you can't play defense that way. So, and I'm not, what position is the perfect position for him? Ideally, right? It's the four. Yeah. And then you have really playing with them.

Really, you want to have perimeter guys and you want shooting, but that would mean LeBron would have to guard bigger guys and rebound more and, and, you know, step up on that. And it just doesn't seem like he has enough in the tank to do that anymore. So they're in a weird conundrum with him because he gets his stats. You can catch the right night. He looks great, but I don't see it night to night. And we get to the playoffs. It's every other game.

You know, so if like if I was the Lakers advisor, would either of us say like you guys have a chance to make the finals with this team? You're one move away. I don't think they are. They're two moves away from at least having a chance. Everyone's two moves away. Well, that's exactly why it's difficult for them. They're two moves away from having a chance. And even then, they're still not the favorite. I'm still not taking them in a series against OKC or Denver. I still think they're probably a second round out.

Yeah. Even if they do get Levine, even if they do get Kessler, but you'd have a better shot in that scenario. But I still want to pick them for all the reasons we're talking about. You would need so much luck with you. You'd need an OKC injury. You'd need something weird happen with you'd have to go down and there would have to be a dumb thing that happened with.

Every team. I just think it can happen that like the Warriors had a pretty good path in 2022 and like Kurt talked about recently and they they win it all. Like it's not impossible to happen. So that that's what they know way. But I do think, you know, if a team calls up for 80, it makes a significant offer. They need to be thinking about that. They have to. Who do you have in the finals right now?

Still OKC in the West, though Denver really intrigues me. Just the way they're playing lately, like we talked about earlier with Ross stepping up and everything. And Murray looks way better than he did four weeks ago. He looks way better. He looks more like himself. And then in the East, I'm still going to take the Celtics for now, even though I think the shooting I'm worried about most

because some of the other stuff, I think they're just bored. This happens almost every December into January with them. But the shooting, they're closer to the middle of the pack in three-point percentage this season. I wonder if there's some tired legs there. Drew Holiday has regressed as a shooter. Derek White has as of late. And Jerry Lynn Brown looks like there's something off with him. I worry there, but I'll still lean towards Boston right now over Cleveland. That may change by the end of the season, though. Yeah, it's tough when you win the title.

You go one of two ways. You can either come out the next season like a bat out of hell or you just assume you could turn it on anytime you want. They started out one way and I think they've settled into the other way where it's like, we're fine, we're fine. I don't like that they don't have home court in the last two rounds the way this is shaking out though. I don't think that's nothing. It's all fine until it's

game six at home with a game seven in the other place. You're down three, two for the series and you fall behind by like nine in the second quarter. And the fans are like, Oh my God, like our season might, we'll see. I'd like to see them have one street KOC. Cause I think that's what separates the, the,

the real teams from everybody else. Like these teams that could just rip off 11 straight, 12 straight. Last year, they were a 25-game winning streak threat for every month of the season. And this year, they can't play five good games in a row. Who worries you most besides Cleveland in the East? Still Milwaukee? Milwaukee always because Giannis. Orlando a little bit because of the defense. I'm still like Orlando. I'm not just saying this to make Cerruti's night.

Orlando is just kind of hanging out over there with this crazy defense. They're not beating Boston. Their offense, their 30th and three point percentage. They haven't had their guys. I know, but even with those guys, their offense isn't there yet. The defense scares me because this Celtics team can look really clumsy.

And really static and the toilet ball offense can go into full effect. And with all those guys they have, they've just guys to throw it Tatum and Brown. And I don't like the way the guards on the Celtics have played for two months. You know, I get, we're taping this before I go to the Clipper game tonight.

and I'm going to the Laker game tomorrow night, I really want to see it in person. Like, are these guys, do they look different athletically? Is this just a funk that's going on? So I guess we'll find out. The Olympics may have been very bad for those guys. Very possible. Especially white and holiday, having a long offseason, a long playoffs. Something's off with those guys. That's where my concern is as well, is with those guards and the overall team shooting ability. And the Knicks, obviously...

I wouldn't look forward to seeing them in a series either because they have good basketball players and Brunson's really good and Towns has been playing great. So, you know, I do think when you play that team for two weeks, a little easier to figure out. But, you know, the East is way better than you think last year. It was like a walk in the park, which wasn't their fault, but that's what it was. This year, a little different. Milwaukee, we'll see if they make one more move too.

The team they have right now, I wouldn't be afraid of, but they're one move away from me being more afraid, right? If they were to get Levine, that would be scary because he kills the Celtics. That would be one of those that all the Celtic fans like, oh, no, they got that guy. Levine Giannis would be beautiful together. Like that would be incredible. Lopez has been great this year for them, too. If they if they can subtract Portis and upgrade from Middleton. Yeah, I think I think they're cooking. They get something there.

All right, KFC. Good to see you again. You can follow his podcast, subscribe, listen to it, and you can read him on Yahoo as well. Great to see you. Great to see you too, Bill. Have a good night. All right. That's it for the podcast. Thanks to KFC. Thanks to Kyle and Rudy and how don't forget, you can watch this on the Bill Simmons YouTube channel and I will be back tomorrow night with yet another podcast. We're going heavy on the football tomorrow, as you would probably expect. See it in 24 hours.

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