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cover of episode Trump Has Disaster Monday as He Hides From Bad News

Trump Has Disaster Monday as He Hides From Bad News

2025/6/2
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The MeidasTouch Podcast

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Ben Meiselas: 今天特朗普又在弗吉尼亚的高尔夫俱乐部度假,浪费纳税人的钱。周末他还在高尔夫球场上发帖,声称拜登总统在2020年被处决,现在的拜登是个机器人。与此同时,美国和国际上都面临着严重的问题,比如美国与中国的贸易正在再次停止,而特朗普之前与中国达成的协议实际上是美国做出了让步。从中国到美国的集装箱船数量已降至一年多来的最低水平,可能导致商品短缺。港口拥堵问题再次出现,对各种规模的企业都造成了影响。由于贸易政策,中国的全球好感度上升,而美国的好感度下降。中国正在与其他国家建立贸易关系,取代美国作为可靠的贸易伙伴。美国正在攻击和破坏国际自由贸易体系,而中国正在向前发展,建立关系。美国制造业报告显示制造业出现大幅萎缩。在拜登执政期间,制造业蓬勃发展,但现在已经结束。今年以来,美国股市的表现不如国际股市,差距为32年来最大。供应链中断堪比新冠疫情,特朗普政府的关税政策是罪魁祸首。由于经济不确定性,企业正在下调生产计划,商业活动放缓。特朗普在外交政策上总是退缩,尽管他口头上威胁要采取强硬行动,这让国际社会看到了他的软弱。共和党的预算案可能导致数百万美国人失去医疗保险。美国对中国稀土磁铁的依赖正在损害汽车制造业。外国游客赴美旅游的情况非常糟糕,由于政治原因,加拿大人和其他外国游客正在减少在美国的消费。

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at prices you'll love, guaranteed to fit every time. eBay, things people love. Donald Trump is once again hiding in his Virginia golf club right now, spending today golfing on the taxpayer dime. There's nothing on his public schedule in terms of any work we are aware that he is doing, at least publicly today.

Again, over the weekend, Donald Trump was also golfing while ranting and raving that former President Biden, and this was actually a post that Donald Trump made, that former President Biden was actually executed in 2020 and that, uh,

A robotic version of former President Biden is the one that we now see today. But folks, there are real serious issues going on in our country and internationally while Donald Trump is taking another day off golfing on the taxpayer dime. Let's just take a look at some of these charts and graphs.

and take a look at what's actually happening with objective data. Okay, so via the Kobayashi letter, they track these things. Trade between the U.S. and China is coming to a halt again. But wait a minute, I thought Donald Trump did some great deal with China a few weeks back. As I said, of course he didn't. There was a consensus where Donald Trump did another taco, Trump always chickens out, and reduced 145% tariffs to 30% tariffs.

And then he said, oh, maybe we'll talk to Xi Jinping in the future. It was not a deal at all. It was the United States caving. What we see right now, when we take a look at the number of container ships sailing from China to the United States, the number of ships departing from China to the U.S. over the last 15 days has dropped to its lowest level.

since February. But if you exclude the Chinese New Year related decline in February, this is the lowest level in over a year. So remember how we were reporting here, how...

Those ships from Shanghai were not reaching our ports and say Long Beach and Oakland and elsewhere in the United States. Yeah, we're having a major crisis again, which could lead to shortages on our shelves. Small businesses, medium sized business and large businesses are feeling the pain right now as well.

Also, this from an exclusive Axios Morning Consult poll. Morning Consult finds that due to trade policy, the global favorability of China is rising while the global favorability of America is falling. You know, while those ships aren't reaching the American ports, guess where they're going?

they're going to ports of other countries. And whereas China used to, let's say, import beef from the United States, now they look more to Australia. Whereas China used to import, say, soy from the United States, they now look more to Brazil. In other words,

Other countries are replacing the United States as reliable and stable trading partners in the international free trade system that the United States is currently attacking and destabilizing. And China is forging ahead, making relationships while Donald Trump makes the United States look

unstable and someone who you can't do good business with. We've also got bad data today regarding manufacturing. The US ISM Manufacturing Report in May shows a big contraction in the manufacturing from the United States.

Remember all of Donald Trump's bluster, I'm going to make manufacturing again. There was actually a manufacturing boom taking place under former President Biden. Not anymore. The Biden manufacturing construction boom is now over. When you take a look at the total private construction spending and manufacturing in the United States, you take a look right here and you will see an increase, an increase, an

through 2024, and then a decrease right now with Donald Trump. When we take a look at the US ISM manufacturing for May right here, this is the fourth consecutive prices paid reading above 60 in a row, the third consecutive sub 50 headline number. And you take a look at the prices paid, you look at the estimate versus the previous, it's heading in the

Wrong direction right here. Manufacturing prices cooler than expected. Manufacturing employment. Manufacturing in general weaker than expected. Also, you take a look at the U.S. stocks. U.S. stocks have underperformed international stocks.

by significant amount year to date. This is the biggest gap in 32 years where international stock markets are outperforming the United States stock market. And when you take a look at the ISM manufacturing survey comments and you see why people in the manufacturing sector say things aren't going as well,

They're saying we see, quote, supply chain disruptions rivaling that of COVID. The administration tariffs alone have created supply chain disruptions rivaling that of COVID. The production index increased from an alarmingly low reading the previous month, but factory output increased.

continue to contract in May, indicating the panelists companies are still revising production plans downward amid economic uncertainty. We have entered the waiting portion of the wait and see it seems. Business activity is slower and smaller this month. Chaos does not bode well for anybody. - You know you're an adult when you start getting way too excited about your cookware, but let me tell you, I am fully obsessed with my Hexclad.

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Take a look at what they're reporting in the Financial Times as well. They've got Donald Trump holding a rubber chicken and they say Trump always chickens out on foreign policy too. Despite his rhetoric about fire and fury, the president is nervous about the use of force.

And we see Trump threatening all these different things. I'm going to unleash hell, hell like you've never seen before. I'm going to sanction you. I'm going to sanction you. And then when push comes to shove on foreign policy, Trump backs down and the international community sees his power.

utter weakness. Take a look right here as well. And this is some alarming stats in terms of people who could be losing health care. The number of legally eligible Americans who would lose health care coverage due to the House GOP budget bill is somewhere between 15.9 million.

and 46 million, the total current combined enrollment in the ACA exchange plans, plus Medicaid via the Affordable Care Act expansion. Not a good fact. I mean, on the low end, we think that it could be closer to, you know, 10 to 13 million people losing their health care, but it could actually mean a lot more people. We're also seeing auto manufacturing hurt

by United States trade war against China as we're struggling to get these rare earth minerals that are needed. The U.S. dependence on China for rare earth magnets is causing shortages. American automakers are the hardest hit. Production at factories across the Midwest and South could cut back in the coming days. Car makers need the magnets for the electric motors that run brakes, steering, and fuel injectors. Also, travel.

foreign tourism to the United States.

doing very, very, very bad. We've been flagging this for months right now. This is from the Wall Street Journal, page one. U.S. travel declines crimping businesses. The summer vacation season has begun. Missing this year in the U.S., Canadians, Europeans, and other foreign travelers who usually flock to the United States. And here's a 53-year-old Canadian long-haul truck driver who says,

There's not a lot politically I can do, but what I can do is not spend my money in the United States. This morning, we have MAGA Republican Congress members attacking Elon Musk and saying that Elon Musk, because Elon Musk is not happy with the disastrous budget bill. They're saying Elon Musk doesn't even know how the budget bill works. Here, play this clip. Even an Elon Musk would say, I mean, he said it on TV, not happy.

Well, I would disagree with Elon in the sense that he doesn't understand how the tax bill works. Again, look at the statistics from 2017, right? Higher wages, lowest unemployment, six and a half million people moved out of poverty. And think about the provisions we have in here. One ninety nine a bonus depreciation, a state tax.

R&D tax credit. This is going to be rocket fuel for the economy. And here you have MAGA Republican Senator from Oklahoma, Mark Wayne Mullen, lying on CNBC, and they just allow him to lie, that the disastrous budget bill is not going to cut people's Medicaid when it's literally going to cut

for tens of millions of people. It's like in the bill. Play the clip. You know, Medicaid, though, there's a lot of confusion that the Democrats have lied about. They went out there, Joe, and said that, you know, we're cutting Medicaid benefits. We're not cutting Medicaid benefits. No one believes that. No one serious believes that. Senator, how much do you focus on what might be described as the bond vigilantes, this idea that the bond market

is a little nervous, maybe a lot nervous about what this bill may do to the long run fiscal situation and economic situation in the country longer term. Well, speculation is what always drives the market. We know this. And in fact, I think the bond market is going to respond well once this bill is passed.

because it brings certainty, right? It brings certainty to the tax code. It's going to bring- Well, there you have it, folks. We'll keep you posted every step of the way. Hit subscribe. Let's get to 5 million subscribers, and thanks for watching. Can't get enough Midas? Check out the Midas Plus sub stack for ad-free articles, reports, podcasts, daily recaps from Ron Filipkowski, and more. Sign up for free now at MidasPlus.com.