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cover of episode It's the economy, stupid

It's the economy, stupid

2024/10/28
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Today, Explained

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John Ralston
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Richard Rubin
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Sean Rameswaram
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Man Who Refuses to Say It Right: 认为经济问题是本次总统大选的核心议题,并暗示内华达州的情况能够反映出全国的经济状况。 John Ralston: 详细分析了内华达州的经济现状,包括疫情后的经济复苏、高失业率和高房价等问题。他指出,两位候选人的竞选策略都针对内华达州选民的经济担忧,例如住房问题。他分析了特朗普和哈里斯的竞选策略,以及他们提出的经济政策,例如取消小费税、增加住房供应等。他还讨论了内华达州选民的投票倾向,以及可能影响选举结果的因素。 Sean Rameswaram: 比较了特朗普和哈里斯的经济提案,指出两者都试图通过政策承诺吸引选民,但特朗普的提案通常比较随意和缺乏细节,而哈里斯的提案则更全面和有计划性。他分析了双方提案中税收抵免和税收减免的区别,以及对不同收入群体的实际影响。 Richard Rubin: 深入分析了特朗普和哈里斯的税收政策,包括税收抵免、税收减免以及对赤字的影响。他指出,两者都试图通过减税来吸引选民,但其方法和侧重点不同。他还讨论了选民对不同税收政策的偏好,以及这些政策对不同收入群体的实际影响。 John Ralston: 内华达州的经济状况在很大程度上影响着本次总统大选。疫情对内华达州经济造成了严重打击,导致失业率飙升和住房市场紧张。特朗普和哈里斯都试图通过经济政策来争取内华达州选民的支持。特朗普的策略是通过一些短期、有针对性的政策来吸引选民,例如取消小费税。哈里斯则采取更传统的民主党策略,例如为首次购房者提供补贴。在内华达州,一场势均力敌的选举中,每一个细微的举动都可能决定最终结果。如果特朗普赢得内华达州,这将表明该州的政治格局发生了变化;如果哈里斯赢得内华达州,这将表明民主党仍然在该州占据主导地位。仍有部分内华达州选民尚未决定支持哪位候选人,他们的选择可能会对选举结果产生影响。一些蓝领工人可能会根据“你比四年前过得更好吗?”这个问题来决定投票给谁。 Sean Rameswaram: 特朗普和哈里斯的经济提案都试图通过提供某种形式的经济利益来吸引选民。特朗普的提案通常比较随意和缺乏细节,而哈里斯的提案则更全面和有计划性。特朗普的提案更倾向于税收减免,而哈里斯的提案更倾向于税收抵免。两者都包含取消小费税的措施,但其具体实施细节可能存在差异。特朗普的政策可能会导致赤字大幅增加,而哈里斯的政策也会导致赤字增加,但幅度较小。 Richard Rubin: 特朗普和哈里斯的经济政策在税收抵免和税收减免方面存在差异。哈里斯更倾向于税收抵免,这更有利于低收入和中等收入家庭。特朗普更倾向于税收减免,这更有利于高收入家庭。两者的政策都会导致赤字增加,但特朗普的政策导致的赤字增加幅度更大。取消对小费和社会保障福利的征税非常受欢迎,即使这会增加国家债务。选民对经济政策有不同的偏好,这取决于他们的个人情况。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why is the economy a central issue in the 2024 presidential election, especially in Nevada?

Nevada's economy, heavily reliant on tourism and service industries, was severely impacted by COVID-19, leading to high unemployment and housing issues.

What are the key economic concerns for voters in Nevada?

Voters are concerned about inflation, particularly in food prices, and the affordability of housing and basic necessities.

How did the COVID-19 pandemic affect Nevada's economy?

The pandemic led to the closure of casinos and non-essential businesses, causing massive job losses and a spike in unemployment rates.

What are the main differences between Trump's and Harris's economic proposals?

Trump focuses on broad tax deductions and exemptions, while Harris emphasizes targeted tax credits and government spending, particularly for lower and middle-income households.

How do Trump's economic proposals impact the national deficit?

Trump's policies are estimated to increase the deficit by $7.5 trillion over the next decade, more than Harris's proposals, which are projected to add $3.5 trillion.

What is the significance of Nevada in the 2024 presidential election?

Nevada is a battleground state with a diverse demographic, making it a crucial state for both parties to win due to its mirroring of the national electorate.

Why did both Trump and Harris adopt the policy of no taxes on tips?

The policy targets service industry workers, a significant part of Nevada's workforce, and was seen as a strategic move to appeal to this demographic.

What does a win in Nevada for Trump signify about his campaign?

A win would indicate a shift in Nevada's political landscape, suggesting the state is becoming more favorable to Republicans and challenging the traditional Democratic stronghold.

Chapters
The episode delves into how economic concerns, particularly in Nevada, are influencing the 2024 presidential election. It highlights the impact of inflation, unemployment, and housing issues on voters.
  • Nevada has the highest unemployment rate in the nation.
  • Inflation has significantly increased the cost of basic goods like tacos.
  • The pandemic disproportionately affected Nevada's economy, especially the casino industry.

Shownotes Transcript

Economic concerns are shaping this year’s election, especially in Nevada. As candidates promise no taxes on you-name-it, it’s a glimpse into how each would reshape American taxes while in office.

This episode was produced by Peter Balonon-Rosen, edited by Amina Al-Sadi, fact-checked by Laura Bullard, engineered by Patrick Boyd and Andrea Kristinsdottir, and hosted by Sean Rameswaram.

Transcript at vox.com/today-explained-podcast)

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Campaign material ahead of a Turning Point Action 'United for Change' campaign rally in Las Vegas. Photo by PATRICK T. FALLON/AFP via Getty Images.

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