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cover of episode 2024 Is The First ‘AI Election.’ What Does That Mean?

2024 Is The First ‘AI Election.’ What Does That Mean?

2023/11/30
logo of podcast FiveThirtyEight Politics

FiveThirtyEight Politics

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E
Ethan Bueno de Mesquita
G
Galen Druk
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Galen Druk:探讨了人工智能在2024年美国大选中的潜在影响,包括候选人使用AI聊天机器人与选民互动,AI生成的虚假信息对选民行为和信息传播的影响,以及深度伪造技术带来的风险。他提出,选民应该更多地依靠可信赖的媒体来源获取信息,并关注AI技术可能带来的负面影响。 Ethan Bueno de Mesquita:分析了AI在选举中可能带来的两种主要风险:深度伪造视频或图像的出现以及AI聊天机器人提供不准确的选举信息。他认为,深度伪造技术带来的风险更大,因为它可能在选举前夕发布,影响选举结果。他还讨论了应对深度伪造挑战的多种方法,包括提高公众的AI素养、加强媒体的审核机制、政府的监管以及政治家和政党的承诺。他认为,AI增强微目标定位的风险被夸大了,因为过去的研究表明,微目标定位对选举结果的影响有限。他同时指出,AI技术也可能对民主产生积极影响,例如帮助资金不足的候选人进行竞选宣传,并帮助选民更好地了解候选人和政策。最后,他还强调了对AI进行监管的必要性,以及避免少数几家大型科技公司控制AI的内容审核机制的重要性。 Galen Druk:就AI技术在2024年大选中的应用,提出了几个假设性问题,例如如果出现关于候选人的深度伪造视频,选民应该如何应对。他认为,无论是真实的还是伪造的视频,其出现都改变了选民的信息环境,选民难以判断信息的真伪。他还探讨了政府干预的有效性,以及AI水印标记方案的局限性。 Ethan Bueno de Mesquita:就AI技术在2024年大选中的应用,提出了几个假设性问题,例如如果出现关于候选人的深度伪造视频,选民应该如何应对。他认为,无论是真实的还是伪造的视频,其出现都改变了选民的信息环境,选民难以判断信息的真伪。他还探讨了政府干预的有效性,以及AI水印标记方案的局限性。

Deep Dive

Chapters
The podcast introduces the topic of AI's role in the upcoming 2024 election, highlighting concerns about its influence on voter behavior and information spread.

Shownotes Transcript

Exactly one year ago today, OpenAI launched ChatGPT. And quickly, the program changed the conversation around what is possible for artificial intelligence. In the past 12 months, we've seen campaign videos featuring AI-generated images, legislative proposals and a congressional hearing on AI regulation. By all accounts, the 2024 presidential election is going to be our first "AI election." However, often the specifics around AI’s impact remain vague. How exactly could it impact our electoral politics?

In this episode of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Ethan Bueno de Mesquita, the interim dean of the Harris School of Public Policy at the University of Chicago. Bueno de Mesquita’s research focuses on game theory, political conflict and electoral accountability, and he recently co-authored the white paper "Preparing for Generative AI in the 2024 Election: Recommendations and Best Practices Based on Academic Research."

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