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cover of episode Foreign Policy Has Become A Family Feud

Foreign Policy Has Become A Family Feud

2024/2/22
logo of podcast FiveThirtyEight Politics

FiveThirtyEight Politics
AI Deep Dive AI Chapters Transcript
People
D
Dina Smeltz
G
Galen Druk
J
Jeffrey Skelly
L
Leah Escar
Topics
Galen Druk: 本期节目讨论了美国两党在外交政策上的内部分歧，以及这些分歧对即将到来的总统大选的影响。共和党内部对乌克兰战争的立场存在分歧，而民主党内部则对加沙战争存在分歧。节目还分析了南卡罗来纳州共和党初选的形势，以及一项关于美国总统伟大程度的民调的优缺点。 Jeffrey Skelly: 南卡罗来纳州初选，特朗普领先优势明显，黑利可能退出竞选。南卡罗来纳州初选是一个开放的初选，理论上任何人都可以参加，但实际上大部分参与者都是共和党人。特朗普在共和党选民中占据主导地位，黑利获胜的可能性极小。 Leah Escar: 黑利继续参选，可能提升其全国知名度，为未来政治生涯铺路。即使黑利在南卡罗来纳州初选落败，她仍然可能继续竞选，以提升其在全国范围内的知名度，为未来在共和党内的领导地位做好准备。 Dina Smeltz: 美国民众对乌克兰战争表示担忧，但两党在对乌克兰援助问题上存在重大分歧。共和党对向乌克兰提供经济援助的支持率大幅下降，而民主党支持率则相对稳定。共和党内部对美国在国际事务中的角色存在分歧，一部分人认为美国应该积极参与国际事务，另一部分人则认为美国应该保持中立。在巴以冲突问题上，共和党人普遍支持以色列，而民主党人则存在分歧，尤其是在年轻选民中，希望限制对以色列军事援助的呼声很高。

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The episode discusses how conflicts within both Democrats and Republicans over foreign policy, particularly concerning the wars in Gaza and Ukraine, could influence the presidential race in November.

Shownotes Transcript

Both Democrats and Republicans are facing intraparty conflict over foreign policy, Democrats over the war in Gaza and Republicans over the war in Ukraine. Could these conflicts help determine who wins the presidency in November?

On this episode of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew invites Dina Smeltz, senior fellow on public opinion and foreign policy at The Chicago Council on Global Affairs, to break down how the conflicts in Gaza and Ukraine have divided the parties. They also preview the upcoming South Carolina primary race, and ask whether a recent poll of political scientists intending to create a ranking of American presidents was a good or bad use of polling.

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