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cover of episode How Serious Is Trump About Greenland?

How Serious Is Trump About Greenland?

2025/1/13
logo of podcast FiveThirtyEight Politics

FiveThirtyEight Politics

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People
J
Jeffrey Skelly
M
Monica Potts
N
Nathaniel Rakich
Topics
Nathaniel Rakich: 我认为特朗普最近的言论值得关注,因为它暗示了美国扩张主义的新时代。他再次呼吁美国从丹麦手中夺取格陵兰岛,并要求美国收回巴拿马运河,还开玩笑说要让加拿大成为美国的第51个州。这些言论的真实性和可行性值得探讨,我们应该如何解读这些言论?是字面意思,还是政治策略? 我认为,我们需要同时考虑这两个方面。特朗普的言论可能一部分是他的个人风格,一部分是他的政治策略。他经常发表出人意料的言论,以此来吸引公众的注意力,并测试公众的反应。同时,我们也需要关注他实际采取的行动。如果他真的开始采取行动来实现这些目标,那么我们就需要认真对待他的言论。 此外,我们还需要考虑公众的反应。民调显示,公众对特朗普言论的解读因其政治立场而异。民主党人往往更倾向于相信特朗普的言论,而共和党人则更倾向于将其视为玩笑或政治策略。 Monica Potts: 我认为特朗普对格陵兰岛和巴拿马运河的言论似乎是认真的,而加拿大成为第51个州的说法则更像是玩笑。格陵兰岛与丹麦的关系复杂,它想独立,也不一定想加入美国。全球变暖使北极地区更容易通行,这可能会导致国际冲突或贸易的增加。特朗普的言论可能与“疯子理论”有关,即通过制造不确定性来吓唬对手。 特朗普的言论可能是他政治风格的一部分,一种策略,即抛出各种说法,看看哪些会奏效。但是,我们也需要关注他实际采取的行动。如果他真的开始采取行动来实现这些目标,那么我们就需要认真对待他的言论。 此外,我们还需要记住,特朗普有贯彻其言论的记录。因此,即使是看似荒谬的言论,也值得关注。 Jeffrey Skelly: 如果加拿大成为美国的一个州,它将是一个民主党的州,并对选举产生重大影响。将格陵兰岛设为州将与美国其他领土的现状形成巨大反差。 我认为,应该关注特朗普最关注的问题和竞选承诺,例如移民问题。特朗普对北约和对乌克兰的立场表明,他对二战后国际秩序可能存在更大的不满。因此,他的格陵兰言论可能与其对北约和国际关系的整体立场有关。 此外,民众对特朗普言论的解读也受到其关注问题的左右。不同群体对特朗普言论的重视程度不同,这与他们的政治立场和关注的议题有关。

Deep Dive

Key Insights

Why is Donald Trump proposing ideas like taking Greenland or renaming the Gulf of Mexico?

Trump's proposals, such as taking Greenland or renaming the Gulf of Mexico, are seen as part of his style of governance and communication. He often makes outrageous statements to keep attention divided and to test public reaction. Some theories suggest this is a strategy to throw ideas at the wall and see what sticks, while others believe it stems from his nationalist instincts and a desire to assert American dominance.

How realistic is it for the U.S. to acquire Greenland or the Panama Canal?

It is highly unlikely for the U.S. to acquire Greenland or the Panama Canal. Greenland has a complex relationship with Denmark, and its population has an independence movement, making it unlikely to join the U.S. The Panama Canal was returned to Panama decades ago, and reclaiming it would involve significant diplomatic and legal challenges. Both scenarios are considered fanciful and hypothetical.

What is the significance of Trump's comments about Greenland in the context of global warming?

Trump's comments about Greenland may be tied to the strategic importance of the Arctic due to global warming. As the Arctic becomes more passable, it could become a new frontier for international trade and conflict. Greenland's location makes it a potential focal point for future geopolitical competition, especially as shipping lanes through the Arctic Ocean become more viable.

How do Americans perceive Trump's more extreme policy proposals?

Americans are divided on how seriously to take Trump's extreme proposals. A Data for Progress poll from October 2024 found that Democrats are more likely to believe Trump is serious about his outlandish statements, while Republicans often dismiss them as jokes or exaggerations. For example, 53% of Democrats believed Trump was serious about using nuclear weapons to stop hurricanes, compared to only 17% of Republicans.

What was Jimmy Carter's legacy as president and in his post-presidency?

Jimmy Carter's presidency was marked by challenges such as inflation, gas shortages, and the Iran hostage crisis, leading to low approval ratings. However, his post-presidency redefined success through humanitarian work, including efforts to eradicate diseases and build homes with Habitat for Humanity. His Nobel Peace Prize and long life helped rehabilitate his image, with 57% of Americans approving of him in a 2023 Gallup poll.

How did Jimmy Carter change the U.S. presidential nomination process?

Jimmy Carter revolutionized the presidential nomination process by prioritizing early states like Iowa. His campaign's focus on grassroots organizing and early momentum set a precedent for future candidates. This strategy helped him win the Democratic nomination in 1976, despite being relatively unknown, and influenced how campaigns are run today.

What were the high and low points of Jimmy Carter's presidency?

Jimmy Carter's presidency had high points, such as the Camp David Accords, which improved relations between Egypt and Israel, and a temporary boost in approval during the Iran hostage crisis. However, his presidency was also marked by low points, including economic struggles, a failed rescue attempt during the hostage crisis, and poor relations with Congress, which hindered his ability to pass legislation.

Chapters
The panelists discuss Trump's recent comments about potential American expansion, including acquiring Greenland, reclaiming the Panama Canal, and making Canada the 51st state. They debate the seriousness and likelihood of these proposals, considering various factors like geopolitical realities and Trump's governing style. The discussion also touches upon public perception and the potential impact on American politics.
  • Trump's renewed interest in territorial expansion, including Greenland and the Panama Canal.
  • Analysis of the realism of these proposals, considering geopolitical constraints.
  • Discussion of Trump's governing style and the interpretation of his statements.
  • Potential electoral impacts of adding Canada or Greenland as states.
  • Public opinion on Trump's outlandish statements and varying interpretations across political affiliations.

Shownotes Transcript

With one week remaining before President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration, the nation is orienting itself towards his policy goals. Will they include the addition of new American territory? On this episode of the podcast, the crew breaks down Trump’s recent comments about Greenland, Canada and the Panama Canal. They also unpack how they are thinking about these types of comments from Trump — should they be taken literally, seriously or both? And, the crew discusses former President Jimmy Carter’s life and legacy.

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