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The Battle For The Airwaves

2024/10/10
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FiveThirtyEight Politics

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E
Erica Franklin Fowler
G
Galen Druk
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Erica Franklin Fowler: 就总统竞选而言,贺锦丽竞选团队在电视广告方面占据优势,尤其是在最近一个月。共和党在7月底总统候选人提名之后率先发起广告攻势,但贺锦丽竞选团队在夏季后期开始发力,在电视广告方面占据优势。虽然特朗普竞选团队也在增加电视广告投入,但贺锦丽竞选团队的优势在10月初有所减弱。此外,她还分析了不同类型的政治广告,例如正面广告、负面广告和对比广告,并探讨了不同广告策略的效果。她还讨论了数字广告的重要性,指出贺锦丽竞选团队在数字广告上的支出远高于特朗普竞选团队,并分析了造成这种差异的原因。最后,她还分析了国会竞选中的广告战,指出民主党在众议院竞选中占据广告支出优势。 Galen Druk: 作为主持人,Galen Druk引导了与Erica Franklin Fowler的讨论,提出了关于总统竞选广告战现状、广告策略、广告支出、不同类型广告的有效性以及下级选举广告战等问题。他分析了贺锦丽和特朗普竞选团队在广告支出和策略上的差异,并探讨了广告对选民的影响。他还提出了关于竞选广告中选民证词、候选人自身形象以及不同竞选策略等问题。

Deep Dive

Chapters
This chapter discusses the current state of political advertising in the 2024 presidential election. It covers the strategies employed by both the Harris and Trump campaigns, the key issues being highlighted, and the potential impact of ad spending on voter perception.
  • Harris campaign has had an edge in TV ad spending over Trump in recent weeks, but Trump is catching up.
  • Both campaigns are focusing heavily on economic issues like inflation and taxes.
  • Harris is also addressing healthcare and abortion rights in her ads, while Trump is focusing on housing and Social Security.
  • Democrats are increasingly addressing immigration in their ads, often featuring local sheriffs to appeal to voters concerned about border security.
  • There's a debate about the effectiveness of negative ads, but they tend to be more memorable and contain more policy information than positive ads.
  • Harris campaign significantly outspent Trump campaign on digital advertising, possibly due to Trump's preference for TV and changes in social media policies.

Shownotes Transcript

For those in swing states, political ads are an inescapable part of life. But if you haven’t experienced the blitz firsthand, this episode of the 538 Politics podcast offers a glimpse into the barrage of campaign messages flooding our screens. Erika Franklin Fowler, director of the Wesleyan Media Project and professor of government at Wesleyan University, joins the podcast to break down the wave of ads hitting TVs, phones and browsers this election season. We explore whether Donald Trump or Kamala Harris has the upper hand and the topics dominating both national and downballot races.

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